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Canadiens at Hurricanes
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Montréal Canadiens
3
Carolina Hurricanes
▸5
FinalTV BSSO, TSN2·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Montréal Canadiens 5-3. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Andrei Svechnikov's goal at 13:51 of the third period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 52% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 2.6 to 2.0; shots on goal were MTL 21, CAR 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Cayden Primeau stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 1.7 goals below expected; Antti Raanta stopped 18 of 21 (.857), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Andrei Svechnikov (3 G), 2. Jesper Fast (2 G), 3. Sebastian Aho (4 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    A. Svechnikov3 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    J. Fast2 G
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    S. Aho4 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL2701212321
CARCAR2151729531

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    A. Svechnikov(4)
    B. Burns (11), S. Aho (22)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    1:35
  2. CAR
    J. Fast(3)
    S. Aho (23), B. Burns (12)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    12:40
  3. MTL
    M. Stephens(2)
    M. Pezzetta (4), J. Struble (2)
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    13:51
  4. MTL
    M. Matheson(6)PPG
    S. Monahan (12), C. Primeau (2)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.06win prob +11 ptsVideo
    2-2
    19:56

2nd period

  1. CAR
    J. Fast(4)
    S. Noesen (12), J. Drury (9)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-3
    1:29

3rd period

  1. MTL
    J. Anderson(6)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +23 ptsVideo
    3-3
    0:25
  2. CAR
    A. Svechnikov(5)
    B. Pesce (4), S. Aho (24)
    slapxG 0.10win prob +36 ptsVideo
    3-4
    13:51
  3. CAR
    A. Svechnikov(6)EN
    S. Aho (25), B. Burns (13)
    wristxG 0.34win prob +1 ptsVideo
    3-5
    19:41

Penalties

MTL 6 PIM·CAR 8 PIM

1st

  • 8:01CARBrady Skjei · Trippingdrawn by Nick Suzuki2 min
  • 16:14MTLJayden Struble · Interferencedrawn by Seth Jarvis2 min
  • 19:25CARAndrei Svechnikov · Trippingdrawn by Cole Caufield2 min

3rd

  • 4:19CARBrady Skjei · Trippingdrawn by Juraj Slafkovský2 min
  • 6:40CARMichael Bunting · Hookingdrawn by Jayden Struble2 min
  • 16:08MTLJoel Armia · Hookingdrawn by Dmitry Orlov2 min
  • 19:01MTLCole Caufield · Slashingdrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalMTL goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Andrei Svechnikov, 3rd 13:51 — CAR 52% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Svechnikov · Goal · xG 0.34J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.21J. Fast · Goal · xG 0.20J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.18S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.17J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.17A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.13J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.12A. Svechnikov · Goal · xG 0.10S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.10J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.10S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.08J. Fast · Goal · xG 0.07J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.07B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.06A. Svechnikov · Goal · xG 0.06J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.06B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.05S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.04B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.03S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.03B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.03S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.03T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.03J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.02J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.02B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.02S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.02A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.01S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.01T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.01J. Drury · Missed · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.00J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.00D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.00D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.00J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR5 G · 2.6 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsCAR
2.03 G
All situations
4 G2.6
1.72 G
Even strength
4 G1.6
0.31 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL43%57%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.96 – 2.31

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsCAR
21
Shots on goal
31
55%
Faceoffs
45%
1/4
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
17
Hits
19
26
Blocked shots
13
6
Giveaways
10
6
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8M. MathesonD101020.11120—25:13
58D. SavardD000010.01450—22:46
14N. SuzukiC000-320.111005422:08
20J. SlafkovskýL000-200.21010—20:04
22C. CaufieldR000-210.13012—19:59
28C. DvorakC000-210.110006017:40
21K. GuhleD000-310.03120—17:13
47J. StrubleD011+120.12352—16:38
54J. HarrisD000+110.04150—16:16
91S. MonahanC011+110.221006916:02
17J. AndersonR101+120.36110—15:50
11B. GallagherR000-130.28000—15:47
52J. BarronD000-300.00100—15:38
40J. ArmiaR000-210.02102—15:16
71J. EvansC000+100.000104414:01
13M. StephensC101+110.070106009:08
56J. YlonenR000+100.01010—09:01
55M. PezzettaL011+120.15210—06:48
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30C. Primeau(L)30264.8672.31-1.6959:52

Season series

CAR leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).