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Canadiens at Hurricanes
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Montréal Canadiens
1
Carolina Hurricanes
▸4
FinalTV BSSO, TSN2·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Montréal Canadiens 4-1. The Canadiens scored first; the Hurricanes answered. The Hurricanes led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Stefan Noesen's goal at 19:35 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 53% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 4.4 to 2.2; shots on goal were MTL 25, CAR 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Samuel Montembeault stopped 35 of 38 (.921), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Frederik Andersen stopped 24 of 25 (.960), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Frederik Andersen (24 saves, .960), 2. Brady Skjei (2 G), 3. Stefan Noesen (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    F. Andersen24 saves, .960
  2. ★★
    CAR
    B. Skjei2 G
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    S. Noesen1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL1701107125
CARCAR18113218439

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    J. Roy(3)
    A. Newhook (11)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    5:53
  2. CAR
    B. Skjei(9)
    A. Svechnikov (25), M. Necas (25)
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    13:02

2nd period

  1. CAR
    S. Noesen(14)
    J. Drury (19), J. Chatfield (11)
    backhandxG 0.31win prob +23 ptsVideo
    1-2
    19:35

3rd period

  1. CAR
    B. Skjei(10)
    B. Pesce (8), S. Aho (41)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +8 ptsVideo
    1-3
    15:31
  2. CAR
    A. Svechnikov(14)EN
    T. Teravainen (22)
    snapxG 0.65Video
    1-4
    18:57

Penalties

MTL 10 PIM·CAR 12 PIM

1st

  • 8:07CARMartin Necas · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Samuel Montembeault2 min
  • 8:07MTLJesse Ylonen · Hookingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min
  • 8:58CARBrett Pesce · Hookingdrawn by Nick Suzuki2 min
  • 14:50MTLJosh Anderson · Slashingdrawn by Dmitry Orlov2 min
  • 19:30MTLAlex Newhook · Holding the stickdrawn by Jesper Fast2 min

2nd

  • 1:19CARBrady Skjei · Holdingdrawn by Nick Suzuki2 min
  • 16:33CARSebastian Aho · High stickingdrawn by Jake Evans2 min

3rd

  • 3:42CARJalen Chatfield · Trippingdrawn by Joel Armia2 min
  • 9:40MTLBrendan Gallagher · Trippingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min
  • 14:43MTLAlex Newhook · Holdingdrawn by Dmitry Orlov2 min
  • 14:52CARJack Drury · Trippingdrawn by Mike Matheson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalMTL goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Stefan Noesen, 2nd 19:35 — CAR 53% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Svechnikov · Goal · xG 0.65S. Noesen · Goal · xG 0.31S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.23J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.22M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.19B. Skjei · Goal · xG 0.17S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.14J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.13T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.12S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.11S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.11B. Skjei · Goal · xG 0.11T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.10S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.10S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.09B. Lemieux · On goal · xG 0.08J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.08B. Lemieux · On goal · xG 0.08S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.07J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.07S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.07J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.07J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.06A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.06A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.06S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.05T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.05M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.05B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.05J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.04J. Drury · Missed · xG 0.04A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.04T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.04B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.04J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.04M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.04T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.03A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.03S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.03A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.03B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.03D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.03M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.03T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.03B. Lemieux · On goal · xG 0.02B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.02B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.01J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.01B. Lemieux · Missed · xG 0.01M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.01J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.01S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chatfield · Missed · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.00M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.00J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR4 G · 4.4 xG · 64 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsCAR
2.21 G
All situations
3 G4.4
1.31 G
Even strength
3 G2.7
0.90 G
Power play
0 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 101 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL27%73%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.18 – 3.63

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsCAR
25
Shots on goal
39
40%
Faceoffs
60%
0/5
Power play
0/4
10
Penalty minutes
12
15
Hits
13
24
Blocked shots
10
13
Giveaways
10
8
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8M. MathesonD000-220.06120—25:09
14N. SuzukiC000-330.430003220:39
21K. GuhleD000-110.01150—20:14
22C. CaufieldR000-340.68000—19:53
58D. SavardD000-100.00160—19:28
20J. SlafkovskýL000-210.06200—18:30
54J. HarrisD000000.00010—17:52
15A. NewhookC011020.420044617:09
71J. EvansC000-100.000304417:00
47J. StrubleD000000.00520—15:26
40J. ArmiaR000020.08020—15:21
72A. XhekajD000-100.00310—15:03
89J. RoyR101+130.13010—12:30
17J. AndersonR000-120.09102—11:58
11B. GallagherR000-120.21002—11:46
56J. YlonenR000010.00002—11:39
70T. PearsonL000020.05000—10:42
49R. Harvey-PinardL000000.001106010:10
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35S. Montembeault(L)38353.9213.72+0.7259:31

Season series

CAR leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).