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Florida Panthers at Philadelphia Flyers

FinalTV NBCSP+, BSFL·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Philadelphia Flyers 4-1. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Vladimir Tarasenko's goal at 0:55 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 62% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 2.9 to 2.6; shots on goal were FLA 15, PHI 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Anthony Stolarz stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 1.9 goals saved above expected; Felix Sandstrom stopped 11 of 14 (.786), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Anthony Stolarz (32 saves, .970), 2. Sam Reinhart (2 G, 1 A), 3. Brandon Montour (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    A. Stolarz32 saves, .970
  2. ★★
    FLA
    S. Reinhart2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    B. Montour3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA141724415
PHIPHI0709117133

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    wristxG 0.09win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    10:34

2nd period

  1. FLA
    wristxG 0.14win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    0:55

3rd period

  1. FLA
    wristxG 0.04win prob +7 ptsVideo
    3-0
    4:43
  2. PHI
    B. Brink(10)PPG
    wristxG 0.09win prob +2 ptsVideo
    3-1
    12:54
  3. FLA
    wristxG 0.92Video
    4-1
    18:48

Penalties

FLA 12 PIM·PHI 6 PIM

1st

  • 7:46FLASam Reinhart · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 12:06PHIJoel Farabee · Holdingdrawn by Josh Mahura2 min
  • 14:35FLAOliver Ekman-Larsson · Interferencedrawn by Travis Konecny2 min
  • 17:46FLARyan Lomberg · Roughingdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min
  • 20:00PHICam York · Roughingdrawn by Uvis Balinskis2 min
  • 20:00FLAMatthew Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Bobby Brink2 min
  • 20:00PHIBobby Brink · Roughingdrawn by Uvis Balinskis2 min

2nd

  • 8:17FLAEvan Rodrigues · Slashingdrawn by Morgan Frost2 min

3rd

  • 11:20FLANiko Mikkola · Slashingdrawn by Noah Cates2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalFLA goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: Vladimir Tarasenko, 2nd 0:55 — FLA 62% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.18J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.14S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.14O. Lycksell · On goal · xG 0.12O. Lycksell · On goal · xG 0.12S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.12S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.11R. Attard · On goal · xG 0.10T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.10T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.10S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.09O. Lycksell · On goal · xG 0.09B. Brink · Goal · xG 0.09B. Brink · On goal · xG 0.08T. Foerster · Missed · xG 0.08J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.08S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.07M. Frost · Missed · xG 0.07M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.07T. Foerster · On goal · xG 0.07S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.06R. Attard · On goal · xG 0.06B. Brink · On goal · xG 0.05M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.05E. Zamula · Missed · xG 0.05R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.04E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.04T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.04O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.04O. Lycksell · On goal · xG 0.04R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.04R. Poehling · Missed · xG 0.04J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.03R. Poehling · Missed · xG 0.03J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.03C. York · On goal · xG 0.03T. Foerster · On goal · xG 0.03T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.03T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.03S. Laughton · Missed · xG 0.03R. Attard · On goal · xG 0.02G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.02C. York · On goal · xG 0.02T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.01N. Cates · Missed · xG 0.01R. Attard · On goal · xG 0.01O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.00T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.00T. Foerster · Missed · xG 0.00E. Zamula · Missed · xG 0.00T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI1 G · 2.9 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsPHI
2.63 G
All situations
1 G2.9
1.22 G
Even strength
0 G2.1
0.51 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA27%73%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.58 – 2.82

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsPHI
15
Shots on goal
33
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/2
Power play
1/5
12
Penalty minutes
6
39
Hits
32
26
Blocked shots
8
8
Giveaways
4
6
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77N. MikkolaD000000.00512—25:04
7D. KulikovD000+100.00340—20:36
13S. ReinhartC213+341.28012020:15
27E. LuostarinenC011+100.00110020:05
62B. MontourD033+210.01430—19:34
26U. BalinskisD000000.00100—19:28
91O. Ekman-LarssonD000+130.33312—18:29
23C. VerhaegheC101+110.10010018:19
15A. LundellC011+310.092307717:58
19M. TkachukL000000.30202—16:59
9S. BennettC011010.281303616:19
28J. MahuraD000+200.00220—14:23
82K. StenlundC000000.000207012:58
10V. TarasenkoR101010.14210—12:23
17E. RodriguesC000010.02202011:40
18S. LorentzC000000.007103310:29
21N. CousinsC000+120.0321010009:09
94R. LombergL000000.01212—06:18
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41A. Stolarz(W)33321.9702.90+1.9060:00

Season series

PHI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).