Philadelphia Flyers at Florida Panthers
Recap
written from the game dataThe Philadelphia Flyers beat the Florida Panthers 2-1. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Garnet Hathaway's goal at 19:38 of the third period, which took the Flyers' chances from 48% to 99%. Expected goals were close — PHI 1.8, FLA 1.9; shots on goal were PHI 26, FLA 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Samuel Ersson stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 24 of 26 (.923). Three stars: 1. Garnet Hathaway (1 G), 2. Samuel Ersson (29 saves, .967), 3. Gustav Forsling (1 G).
Three stars
- ★G. Hathaway1 G

- ★★S. Ersson29 saves, .967

- ★★★G. Forsling1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
3 goals2nd period
1-00:10
1-17:12
3rd period
2-119:38
Penalties
2nd
- 3:24
Nick Cousins · Trippingdrawn by Egor Zamula2 min
- 8:02
Marc Staal · Trippingdrawn by Carter Verhaeghe2 min
- 13:17
Matthew Tkachuk · Slashingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
- 13:17
Garnet Hathaway · Roughingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Garnet Hathaway, 3rd 19:38 — 48% → 99%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.82 G
- All situations
- 1 G1.9
- 1.82 G
- Even strength
- 1 G1.6
- 0.00 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.3
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.81 – 1.88
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 26
- Shots on goal
- 30
- 45%
- Faceoffs
- 55%
- 0/1
- Power play
- 0/1
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 38
- Hits
- 39
- 29
- Blocked shots
- 18
- 4
- Giveaways
- 14
- 6
- Takeaways
- 4
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















