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Philadelphia Flyers at Florida Panthers

FinalTV NBCSP, BSFL·Amerant Bank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Florida Panthers 2-1. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Garnet Hathaway's goal at 19:38 of the third period, which took the Flyers' chances from 48% to 99%. Expected goals were close — PHI 1.8, FLA 1.9; shots on goal were PHI 26, FLA 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Samuel Ersson stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 24 of 26 (.923). Three stars: 1. Garnet Hathaway (1 G), 2. Samuel Ersson (29 saves, .967), 3. Gustav Forsling (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    G. Hathaway1 G
  2. ★★
    PHI
    S. Ersson29 saves, .967
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    G. Forsling1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI0618112226
FLAFLA01311007130

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. PHI
    C. York (14), T. Sanheim (30)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-0
    0:10
  2. FLA
    snapxG 0.02win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-1
    7:12

3rd period

  1. PHI
    M. Staal (4), N. Cates (10)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +50 ptsVideo
    2-1
    19:38

Penalties

PHI 4 PIM·FLA 4 PIM

2nd

  • 3:24FLANick Cousins · Trippingdrawn by Egor Zamula2 min
  • 8:02PHIMarc Staal · Trippingdrawn by Carter Verhaeghe2 min
  • 13:17FLAMatthew Tkachuk · Slashingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
  • 13:17PHIGarnet Hathaway · Roughingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalPHI goalFinal: FLA 0%

Biggest swing: Garnet Hathaway, 3rd 19:38 — PHI 48% → 99%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.24S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.20V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.14A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.13A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.11A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.10S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.10A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.09S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.07S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.07M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.07S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.06D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.05C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.05C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.04O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.03G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.03C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.03V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.03G. Forsling · Goal · xG 0.02B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.02C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.02B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.02N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.02B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.02G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.01K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.01O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.01O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.01A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.01B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.01O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA1 G · 1.9 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsFLA
1.82 G
All situations
1 G1.9
1.82 G
Even strength
1 G1.6
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI49%51%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.81 – 1.88

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsFLA
26
Shots on goal
30
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/1
Power play
0/1
4
Penalty minutes
4
38
Hits
39
29
Blocked shots
18
4
Giveaways
14
6
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6T. SanheimD011040.06050—23:55
8C. YorkD011+100.01150—21:22
5E. ZamulaD000+100.00230—20:20
11T. KonecnyR000030.290005018:25
50A. GinningD000-100.00510—18:11
23R. AttardD000010.08620—17:48
74O. TippettR000010.04820—17:24
14S. CouturierC000010.255106717:16
86J. FarabeeL000010.14100—16:54
18M. StaalD011+110.01022—16:50
71T. FoersterR000-110.03000—16:46
25R. PoehlingC101+110.110204016:30
27N. CatesL011+110.00010—14:50
48M. FrostC000000.010103314:22
19G. HathawayR101+260.53402—13:52
21S. LaughtonC000020.030104412:02
89C. AtkinsonR000010.14220—12:00
44N. DeslauriersL000020.11410—07:13
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33S. Ersson(W)30291.9671.90+0.9060:00

Season series

PHI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).