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Maple Leafs at Flyers
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at Philadelphia Flyers

NHL scoreboard
Toronto Maple Leafs
3
Philadelphia Flyers
▸4
FinalTV NBCSP, TVAS·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 4-3. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. The Flyers led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Scott Laughton's goal at 13:00 of the third period, which took the Flyers' chances from 83% to 98%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 3.0 to 1.9; shots on goal were TOR 30, PHI 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Ilya Samsonov stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 2.1 goals below expected; Samuel Ersson stopped 27 of 30 (.900). Three stars: 1. Morgan Frost (1 G, 1 A), 2. Owen Tippett (1 G, 1 A), 3. Cam York (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    M. Frost1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    PHI
    O. Tippett1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    C. York1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TORTOR07011312330
PHIPHI1821517430

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    O. Tippett(25)
    C. York (19), M. Frost (25)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    0:19

2nd period

  1. PHI
    T. Sanheim(9)
    G. Hathaway (6)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    0:56
  2. PHI
    M. Frost(12)
    R. Attard (1)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +7 pts
    0-3
    16:26

3rd period

  1. TOR
    W. Nylander(37)PPG
    A. Matthews (28), J. Tavares (28)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +5 ptsVideo
    1-3
    1:11
  2. TOR
    T. Bertuzzi(14)
    M. Rielly (43), J. Tavares (29)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-3
    10:16
  3. PHI
    S. Laughton(11)
    O. Tippett (20)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-4
    13:00
  4. TOR
    J. Tavares(22)
    T. Bertuzzi (19), A. Matthews (29)
    wristxG 0.35win prob +5 ptsVideo
    3-4
    17:50

Penalties

TOR 9 PIM·PHI 11 PIM

1st

  • 4:53PHINicolas Deslauriers · Fightingdrawn by Ryan Reaves5 min
  • 4:53TORRyan Reaves · Fightingdrawn by Nicolas Deslauriers5 min

2nd

  • 1:44PHIMorgan Frost · Hookingdrawn by John Tavares2 min
  • 12:50TORWilliam Nylander · Slashingdrawn by Joel Farabee2 min

3rd

  • 1:01PHIMorgan Frost · Hookingdrawn by David Kampf2 min
  • 7:47TORPontus Holmberg · High stickingdrawn by Scott Laughton2 min
  • 10:50PHIScott Laughton · Hookingdrawn by John Tavares2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalTOR goalFinal: PHI 100%

Biggest swing: Scott Laughton, 3rd 13:00 — PHI 83% → 98%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Laughton · Goal · xG 0.16R. Poehling · Missed · xG 0.12T. Foerster · Missed · xG 0.12S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.10J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.09T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.09J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.09J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.08T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.07T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.06S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.06T. Foerster · Missed · xG 0.06B. Brink · Missed · xG 0.06T. Sanheim · Goal · xG 0.05O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.05O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.05R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.04T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.04T. Foerster · On goal · xG 0.04O. Lycksell · On goal · xG 0.03S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.03C. York · Missed · xG 0.03T. Foerster · On goal · xG 0.03E. Zamula · On goal · xG 0.03C. York · Missed · xG 0.03M. Frost · Goal · xG 0.03M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.03E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.02N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.02G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.02J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.02T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.02O. Tippett · Goal · xG 0.02T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.01T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.01E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.01R. Attard · Missed · xG 0.00M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.00O. Lycksell · Missed · xG 0.00E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI4 G · 1.9 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsPHI
3.03 G
All situations
4 G1.9
1.82 G
Even strength
4 G1.4
0.91 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR70%30%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.94 – 1.85

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsPHI
30
Shots on goal
30
62%
Faceoffs
38%
1/3
Power play
0/2
9
Penalty minutes
11
28
Hits
34
9
Blocked shots
36
3
Giveaways
4
7
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44M. RiellyD011010.21400—23:42
88W. NylanderR101+140.550025023:29
34A. MatthewsC022-140.251005923:04
78T. BrodieD000-210.08210—21:28
37T. LiljegrenD000+120.16120—21:23
59T. BertuzziL112030.38300—21:20
91J. TavaresC123+130.541107221:04
22J. McCabeD000-100.00210—18:08
11M. DomiC000-230.130003316:32
20J. EdmundsonD000-100.00300—15:51
2S. BenoitD000-110.03210—15:35
74B. McMannC000-120.40000015:31
23M. KniesL000-130.15400—14:50
64D. KampfC000010.011105612:58
24C. DewarC000020.08110012:57
89N. RobertsonL000-200.0001010010:55
29P. HolmbergR000000.0020210009:10
75R. ReavesR000000.00105—00:43
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35I. Samsonov(L)30264.8671.86-2.1457:20

Season series

TOR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).