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Maple Leafs at Flyers
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at Philadelphia Flyers

NHL scoreboard
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸6
Philadelphia Flyers
2
FinalTV ESPN+, HULU·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Philadelphia Flyers 6-2. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. The Maple Leafs led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Pontus Holmberg's goal at 9:57 of the first period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 59% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 2.9 to 2.2; shots on goal were TOR 27, PHI 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Ilya Samsonov stopped 26 of 28 (.929); Felix Sandstrom stopped 12 of 15 (.800), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Tyler Bertuzzi (1 G, 1 A), 2. William Nylander (1 G, 1 A), 3. Auston Matthews (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    T. Bertuzzi1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    TOR
    W. Nylander1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    A. Matthews1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TORTOR3120738627
PHIPHI0121917228

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    T. Bertuzzi(13)
    A. Matthews (27), W. Nylander (51)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    2:01
  2. TOR
    P. Holmberg(4)
    C. Dewar (5), M. Rielly (40)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    9:57
  3. TOR
    T. Liljegren(3)
    T. Bertuzzi (18), I. Samsonov (1)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +12 ptsVideo
    3-0
    15:39

2nd period

  1. PHI
    O. Tippett(24)PPG
    M. Frost (24), T. Konecny (30)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +8 ptsVideo
    3-1
    1:42

3rd period

  1. TOR
    A. Matthews(55)
    P. Holmberg (9), I. Lyubushkin (6)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +7 ptsVideo
    4-1
    4:45
  2. TOR
    W. Nylander(35)
    M. Domi (27), D. Kampf (8)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +2 ptsVideo
    5-1
    4:53
  3. TOR
    M. Knies(12)
    J. McCabe (18), T. Liljegren (16)
    wristxG 0.15Video
    6-1
    9:00
  4. PHI
    T. Foerster(17)SHG
    T. Sanheim (31), S. Couturier (25)
    slapxG 0.17Video
    6-2
    18:28

Penalties

TOR 16 PIM·PHI 18 PIM

1st

  • 13:14TORMorgan Rielly · Hookingdrawn by Denis Gurianov2 min

2nd

  • 1:29TORJake McCabe · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Poehling2 min
  • 1:55PHISean Couturier · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 15:55TORBobby McMann · Trippingdrawn by Owen Tippett2 min
  • 17:11PHIBobby Brink · Hookingdrawn by Ilya Lyubushkin2 min

3rd

  • 6:53PHITravis Konecny · Roughingdrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi2 min
  • 14:16TORMax Domi · Misconduct10 min
  • 14:16PHIGarnet Hathaway · Misconduct10 min
  • 17:11PHICam York · Roughingdrawn by Matthew Knies2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalTOR goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: Pontus Holmberg, 1st 9:57 — TOR 59% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.19G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.18G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.18T. Foerster · Goal · xG 0.17O. Tippett · Goal · xG 0.15S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.15J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.14T. Foerster · On goal · xG 0.12R. Attard · On goal · xG 0.11T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.10N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.08O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.07J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.07J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.05O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.05T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.04C. York · On goal · xG 0.03T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.03O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.03T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.03G. Hathaway · Missed · xG 0.03M. Frost · Missed · xG 0.03O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.02C. York · Missed · xG 0.02C. York · Missed · xG 0.02G. Hathaway · Missed · xG 0.02D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.02T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.02S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.02M. Staal · Missed · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.01R. Attard · Missed · xG 0.01E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.01M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.01S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.01R. Attard · Missed · xG 0.01J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.01R. Attard · Missed · xG 0.01E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.00E. Zamula · Missed · xG 0.00T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.00R. Attard · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI2 G · 2.2 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsPHI
2.96 G
All situations
2 G2.2
2.46 G
Even strength
0 G1.4
0.40 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.10 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR62%38%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.90 – 2.22

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsPHI
27
Shots on goal
28
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/4
Power play
1/3
16
Penalty minutes
18
28
Hits
37
12
Blocked shots
18
11
Giveaways
7
6
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
22J. McCabeD011+200.00232—22:08
44M. RiellyD011+220.08312—20:37
78T. BrodieD000+100.00020—20:04
34A. MatthewsC112+320.371006519:46
88W. NylanderR112+240.31010—19:07
37T. LiljegrenD112+220.06130—18:50
59T. BertuzziL112+320.44100—18:04
74B. McMannC000+100.0040210016:48
20J. EdmundsonD000+200.08300—16:43
91J. TavaresC000080.931005316:39
46I. LyubushkinD011+200.00610—16:08
23M. KniesL101010.15100—15:10
29P. HolmbergR112+130.230005014:19
24C. DewarC011010.051004314:13
64D. KampfC011+110.091106814:10
11M. DomiC011+200.090010013:51
75R. ReavesR000010.01300—10:54
19C. JarnkrokC000+100.04000008:16
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35I. Samsonov(W)28262.9292.22+0.2260:00

Season series

TOR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).