Philadelphia Flyers at Toronto Maple Leafs
Recap
written from the game dataThe Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Philadelphia Flyers 4-3 in overtime, William Nylander scoring at 0:54. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Maple Leafs led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was William Nylander's goal at 0:54 of overtime, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals were close — PHI 2.8, TOR 2.7; shots on goal were PHI 32, TOR 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Samuel Ersson stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 1.3 goals below expected; Ilya Samsonov stopped 29 of 32 (.906). Three stars: 1. Auston Matthews (3 G), 2. William Nylander (1 G, 1 A), 3. Travis Konecny (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★A. Matthews3 G

- ★★W. Nylander1 G, 1 A

- ★★★T. Konecny1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
1-07:42
2nd period
1-111:06
1-214:20
1-318:55
3rd period
2-314:14
3-315:15
Overtime
3-40:54
Penalties
1st
- 5:59
Sean Walker · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- 20:00
Nick Seeler · Roughingdrawn by Bobby McMann2 min
- 20:00
Bobby McMann · Roughingdrawn by Nick Seeler2 min
2nd
- 3:21
Jake McCabe · Trippingdrawn by Owen Tippett2 min
- 12:52
Owen Tippett · Interferencedrawn by Auston Matthews2 min
3rd
- 4:24
Nicolas Deslauriers · Instigatordrawn by Simon Benoit2 min
- 4:24
Simon Benoit · Fightingdrawn by Nicolas Deslauriers5 min
- 4:24
Nicolas Deslauriers · Fightingdrawn by Simon Benoit5 min
- 4:24
Nicolas Deslauriers · Instigator misconduct10 min
- 6:17
Travis Konecny · Hookingdrawn by Mark Giordano2 min
- 6:17
Mark Giordano · Embellishment2 min
- 11:15
Noah Gregor · Roughingdrawn by Travis Sanheim2 min
- 14:39
Tyler Bertuzzi · Trippingdrawn by Egor Zamula2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: William Nylander, OT 0:54 — 51% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.83 G
- All situations
- 4 G2.7
- 1.81 G
- Even strength
- 3 G1.9
- 0.51 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.8
- 0.51 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.78 – 2.67
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 32
- Shots on goal
- 28
- 44%
- Faceoffs
- 56%
- 1/3
- Power play
- 1/3
- 25
- Penalty minutes
- 15
- 50
- Hits
- 53
- 20
- Blocked shots
- 19
- 9
- Giveaways
- 10
- 9
- Takeaways
- 8
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















