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Flyers at Maple Leafs
NHL

Philadelphia Flyers at Toronto Maple Leafs

Final/OTTV NBCSP, TSN4·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Philadelphia Flyers 4-3 in overtime, William Nylander scoring at 0:54. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Maple Leafs led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was William Nylander's goal at 0:54 of overtime, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals were close — PHI 2.8, TOR 2.7; shots on goal were PHI 32, TOR 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Samuel Ersson stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 1.3 goals below expected; Ilya Samsonov stopped 29 of 32 (.906). Three stars: 1. Auston Matthews (3 G), 2. William Nylander (1 G, 1 A), 3. Travis Konecny (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    A. Matthews3 G
  2. ★★
    TOR
    W. Nylander1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    T. Konecny1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
PHIPHI11001121100332
TORTOR083110811428

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.22win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    7:42

2nd period

  1. TOR
    wristxG 0.05win prob +19 ptsVideo
    1-1
    11:06
  2. TOR
    slapxG 0.12win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-2
    14:20
  3. TOR
    wristxG 0.07win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-3
    18:55

3rd period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.28win prob +10 ptsVideo
    2-3
    14:14
  2. PHI
    T. Konecny(26)PPG
    wristxG 0.12win prob +32 ptsVideo
    3-3
    15:15

Overtime

  1. TOR
    wristxG 0.14win prob +49 ptsVideo
    3-4
    0:54

Penalties

PHI 25 PIM·TOR 15 PIM

1st

  • 5:59PHISean Walker · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 20:00PHINick Seeler · Roughingdrawn by Bobby McMann2 min
  • 20:00TORBobby McMann · Roughingdrawn by Nick Seeler2 min

2nd

  • 3:21TORJake McCabe · Trippingdrawn by Owen Tippett2 min
  • 12:52PHIOwen Tippett · Interferencedrawn by Auston Matthews2 min

3rd

  • 4:24PHINicolas Deslauriers · Instigatordrawn by Simon Benoit2 min
  • 4:24TORSimon Benoit · Fightingdrawn by Nicolas Deslauriers5 min
  • 4:24PHINicolas Deslauriers · Fightingdrawn by Simon Benoit5 min
  • 4:24PHINicolas Deslauriers · Instigator misconduct10 min
  • 6:17PHITravis Konecny · Hookingdrawn by Mark Giordano2 min
  • 6:17TORMark Giordano · Embellishment2 min
  • 11:15TORNoah Gregor · Roughingdrawn by Travis Sanheim2 min
  • 14:39TORTyler Bertuzzi · Trippingdrawn by Egor Zamula2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalPHI goalFinal: TOR 100%

Biggest swing: William Nylander, OT 0:54 — TOR 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. McMann · Missed · xG 0.28A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.21M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.21M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.19A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.15W. Nylander · Goal · xG 0.14M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.12A. Matthews · Goal · xG 0.12M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.12M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.11T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.09A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.09W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.08J. McCabe · Missed · xG 0.08A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.08P. Holmberg · Missed · xG 0.08J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.07A. Matthews · Goal · xG 0.07J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.06A. Matthews · Goal · xG 0.05B. McMann · Missed · xG 0.04W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.03J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.03N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.03A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.02T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.02J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.02A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.01M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.01T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.01N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.01N. Gregor · Missed · xG 0.01J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.01B. McMann · On goal · xG 0.01T. Brodie · Missed · xG 0.01D. Kampf · Missed · xG 0.01D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.01M. Domi · Missed · xG 0.01N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.01N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.01D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.00M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.00
TOR4 G · 2.7 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsTOR
2.83 G
All situations
4 G2.7
1.81 G
Even strength
3 G1.9
0.51 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.51 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI52%48%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.78 – 2.67

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsTOR
32
Shots on goal
28
44%
Faceoffs
56%
1/3
Power play
1/3
25
Penalty minutes
15
50
Hits
53
20
Blocked shots
19
9
Giveaways
10
9
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
11T. KonecnyR112040.704125022:12
9J. DrysdaleD000020.12120—20:57
48M. FrostC000-110.002105320:50
26S. WalkerD000+110.01122—20:00
6T. SanheimD101-220.27620—19:59
86J. FarabeeL011010.131005019:20
89C. AtkinsonR000-110.0011010019:13
74O. TippettR011-240.36002—19:07
25R. PoehlingC000+130.251102017:17
24N. SeelerD011010.02462—16:25
8C. YorkD000010.00110—15:28
19G. HathawayR101+130.35910—14:59
21S. LaughtonC011+120.093006014:00
18M. StaalD000000.00410—13:51
27N. CatesL011030.3320010013:04
14S. CouturierC000-220.161103612:53
5E. ZamulaD000010.01200—11:14
44N. DeslauriersL000000.027017—04:25
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33S. Ersson(O)28244.8572.70-1.3060:54

Season series

TOR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).