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Philadelphia Flyers at Tampa Bay Lightning

FinalTV NBCSP, BSSUN·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Philadelphia Flyers 7-0. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 5-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nick Paul's goal at 5:55 of the first period, which took the Lightning's chances from 68% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 2.8 to 1.7; shots on goal were PHI 25, TBL 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Felix Sandstrom stopped 8 of 11 (.727), 1.4 goals below expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 25 of 25 (1.000), 1.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Darren Raddysh (5 A), 2. Victor Hedman (2 G, 1 A), 3. Anthony Duclair (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    D. Raddysh5 A
  2. ★★
    TBL
    V. Hedman2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    A. Duclair1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI0901105025
TBLTBL4161327726

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    wristxG 0.03win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    1:49
  2. TBL
    N. Paul(18)PPG
    backhandxG 0.21win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-2
    5:55
  3. TBL
    wristxG 0.04win prob +8 ptsVideo
    0-3
    9:10
  4. TBL
    B. Point(33)PPG
    wristxG 0.30win prob +5 ptsVideo
    0-4
    10:49

2nd period

  1. TBL
    tip-inxG 0.23win prob +1 ptsVideo
    0-5
    15:42

3rd period

  1. TBL
    B. Point (34), D. Raddysh (21)
    wristxG 0.11Video
    0-6
    7:33
  2. TBL
    B. Hagel(23)PPG
    wristxG 0.03Video
    0-7
    8:16

Penalties

PHI 43 PIM·TBL 21 PIM

1st

  • 4:31PHIRonnie Attard · Holdingdrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min
  • 5:56PHINicolas Deslauriers · Fightingdrawn by Austin Watson5 min
  • 5:56TBLAustin Watson · Fightingdrawn by Nicolas Deslauriers5 min
  • 9:24PHIRonnie Attard · Trippingdrawn by Michael Eyssimont2 min
  • 10:02PHIGarnet Hathaway · Misconduct10 min
  • 10:49PHIserved by J. Farabee · Unsportsmanlike conduct bench2 min
  • 10:49PHIBench · Game misconduct head coach0 min
  • 14:08TBLMichael Eyssimont · Trippingdrawn by Felix Sandstrom2 min

2nd

  • 9:04TBLMathew Dumba · Fightingdrawn by Sean Couturier5 min
  • 9:04PHISean Couturier · Fightingdrawn by Mathew Dumba5 min

3rd

  • 2:00TBLDarren Raddysh · Cross checkingdrawn by Cam Atkinson2 min
  • 8:00PHISean Couturier · High stickingdrawn by Mathew Dumba2 min
  • 10:22TBLNikita Kucherov · Holdingdrawn by Owen Tippett2 min
  • 17:58PHIGarnet Hathaway · Misconduct10 min
  • 18:01TBLMichael Eyssimont · Fightingdrawn by Cam Atkinson5 min
  • 18:01PHICam Atkinson · Fightingdrawn by Michael Eyssimont5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalPHI goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Nick Paul, 1st 5:55 — TBL 68% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Point · Goal · xG 0.30A. Duclair · Goal · xG 0.23N. Paul · Goal · xG 0.21B. Point · On goal · xG 0.15M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.15A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.14A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.14S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.12A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.12V. Hedman · Goal · xG 0.11A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.10V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.10D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.09D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.08V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.07N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.06L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.05T. Motte · Missed · xG 0.05V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.05C. Sheary · Goal · xG 0.04N. Perbix · Missed · xG 0.04N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.04S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.04S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.04M. Eyssimont · Missed · xG 0.04V. Hedman · Goal · xG 0.03B. Hagel · Missed · xG 0.03B. Hagel · Goal · xG 0.03M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.03D. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.03C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.02D. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.02V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.02N. Perbix · On goal · xG 0.01N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.01V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.01D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.01T. Motte · Missed · xG 0.01
TBL7 G · 2.8 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsTBL
1.70 G
All situations
7 G2.8
1.50 G
Even strength
4 G1.5
0.10 G
Power play
3 G1.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI30%70%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.67 – 2.72

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsTBL
25
Shots on goal
26
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/3
Power play
3/4
43
Penalty minutes
21
46
Hits
16
15
Blocked shots
20
3
Giveaways
6
6
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6T. SanheimD000-220.07420—28:49
8C. YorkD000-320.12530—25:32
23R. AttardD000-110.04104—20:09
77E. JohnsonD000-120.02620—19:57
18M. StaalD000-120.04430—19:10
11T. KonecnyR000-110.04200—16:42
86J. FarabeeL000-200.001003316:29
21S. LaughtonC000-200.003103616:09
71T. FoersterR000-220.22100—16:06
25R. PoehlingC000-120.351006715:30
74O. TippettR000-230.09210—15:21
48M. FrostC000010.062104714:29
27N. CatesL000-120.25010—13:58
14S. CouturierC000020.142077713:22
89C. AtkinsonR000010.0720510012:19
15D. GurianovR000000.01000—11:57
19G. HathawayR000-110.148020—10:01
44N. DeslauriersL000010.04215—09:02
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32F. Sandstrom1183.7271.55-1.4549:04
33S. Ersson(L)15114.7331.27-2.7310:49

Season series

TBL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).