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Lightning at Flyers
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at Philadelphia Flyers

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
2
Philadelphia Flyers
▸6
FinalTV NBCSP, BSSUN·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 6-2. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tyson Foerster's goal at 0:54 of the third period, which took the Flyers' chances from 53% to 76%. Expected goals were close — TBL 2.3, PHI 2.4; shots on goal were TBL 22, PHI 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 79% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 25 of 29 (.862), 3.1 goals below expected; Samuel Ersson stopped 20 of 22 (.909). Three stars: 1. Tyson Foerster (1 G), 2. Noah Cates (1 G, 1 A), 3. Morgan Frost (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    T. Foerster1 G
  2. ★★
    PHI
    N. Cates1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    M. Frost2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL0511116222
PHIPHI1808515631

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    B. Brink(8)
    M. Frost (19), M. Staal (3)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:22

2nd period

  1. TBL
    N. Paul(17)
    B. Hagel (37)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-1
    4:35

3rd period

  1. PHI
    T. Foerster(14)
    M. Frost (20)
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +24 ptsVideo
    1-2
    0:54
  2. PHI
    T. Sanheim(8)
    N. Cates (9), G. Hathaway (4)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    3:08
  3. PHI
    S. Walker(6)
    J. Farabee (27), N. Seeler (10)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +5 ptsVideo
    1-4
    6:55
  4. TBL
    S. Stamkos(24)
    B. Point (33), N. Kucherov (65)
    slapxG 0.37win prob +1 ptsVideo
    2-4
    14:34
  5. PHI
    N. Cates(3)EN
    R. Poehling (12)
    wristxG 0.55win prob +1 ptsVideo
    2-5
    15:22
  6. PHI
    C. York(8)EN
    T. Sanheim (28)
    wristxG 0.32Video
    2-6
    17:41

Penalties

TBL 6 PIM·PHI 4 PIM

1st

  • 15:51PHIOwen Tippett · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 3:15PHIserved by J. Farabee · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 3:41TBLAnthony Cirelli · Trippingdrawn by Nick Seeler2 min
  • 15:56TBLBrandon Hagel · Slashingdrawn by Ryan Poehling2 min

3rd

  • 18:08TBLEmil Lilleberg · Trippingdrawn by Scott Laughton2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalTBL goalFinal: PHI 100%

Biggest swing: Tyson Foerster, 3rd 0:54 — PHI 53% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Cates · Goal · xG 0.55G. Hathaway · Missed · xG 0.36C. York · Goal · xG 0.32B. Brink · Missed · xG 0.19S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.09S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.09B. Brink · Missed · xG 0.08N. Cates · Missed · xG 0.07M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.06B. Brink · Goal · xG 0.05G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.04O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.04O. Lycksell · On goal · xG 0.04S. Walker · Goal · xG 0.04T. Foerster · Goal · xG 0.04N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.03M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.03G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.03M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.03S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.03T. Sanheim · Goal · xG 0.03S. Laughton · Missed · xG 0.02R. Poehling · Missed · xG 0.02N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.01G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.01O. Lycksell · On goal · xG 0.01O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.01M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.01G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.01M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.01C. York · On goal · xG 0.01N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.01C. York · On goal · xG 0.01N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.01N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.00T. Foerster · On goal · xG 0.00N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.00S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.00S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.00
PHI6 G · 2.4 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsPHI
2.32 G
All situations
4 G2.4
1.12 G
Even strength
4 G0.9
1.30 G
Power play
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL79%21%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.27 – 0.89

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsPHI
22
Shots on goal
31
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
27
Hits
29
11
Blocked shots
24
11
Giveaways
7
3
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
86N. KucherovR011-350.25010—24:05
77V. HedmanD000-130.10120—23:57
38B. HagelL011-320.39012—21:54
21B. PointC011-430.490005621:05
20N. PaulL101030.233005918:08
81E. CernakD000000.00100—17:49
48N. PerbixD000-100.07000—17:20
91S. StamkosC101-130.5230010017:15
43D. RaddyshD000-200.00020—16:31
78E. LillebergD000-110.11302—16:24
71A. CirelliC000-100.000223715:40
41M. ChaffeeR000000.00600—15:09
64T. MotteC000-110.15100013:17
44C. de HaanD000-110.02310—13:07
23M. EyssimontC000000.00110012:59
11L. GlendeningC000000.002007512:51
73C. ShearyL000-100.00300—11:45
65M. CrozierD000-100.00010—09:10
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
88A. Vasilevskiy(L)29254.8620.90-3.1055:41

Season series

TBL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).