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Chicago Blackhawks at Edmonton Oilers

FinalTV NBCSCH, SN1·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Chicago Blackhawks 3-0. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Zach Hyman's goal at 6:34 of the third period, which took the Oilers' chances from 80% to 94%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 4.9 to 2.4; shots on goal were CHI 27, EDM 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Petr Mrazek stopped 31 of 33 (.939), 1.5 goals saved above expected; Calvin Pickard stopped 27 of 27 (1.000), 2.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Calvin Pickard (27 saves, 1.000), 2. Connor McDavid (2 G, 1 A), 3. Petr Mrazek (31 saves, .939).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    C. Pickard27 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    EDM
    C. McDavid2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    P. Mrazek31 saves, .939

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI0701208027
EDMEDM07112215334

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. EDM
    C. McDavid(18)PPG
    backhandxG 0.06win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    1:37

3rd period

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.18win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    6:34
  2. EDM
    wristxG 0.86Video
    0-3
    18:45

Penalties

CHI 4 PIM·EDM 2 PIM

1st

  • 8:17EDMConnor McDavid · Holdingdrawn by Jason Dickinson2 min
  • 8:17CHIJason Dickinson · Holdingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 19:48CHINick Foligno · Trippingdrawn by Evan Bouchard2 min

2nd

  • 18:24EDMVincent Desharnais · Ps holding on breakawaydrawn by MacKenzie Entwistle0 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalCHI goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Zach Hyman, 3rd 6:34 — EDM 80% → 94%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.86Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.58C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.30R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.26Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.26Z. Hyman · Goal · xG 0.18R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.18R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.15C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.14M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.12R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.12W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.12R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.10Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.10D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.10C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.09E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.09D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.08E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.08C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.08E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.08M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.07R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.07Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.07L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.07L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.07C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.06E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.04R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.04W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.04E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.04C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.04W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.03V. Desharnais · On goal · xG 0.03R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.02R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.02B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01V. Desharnais · On goal · xG 0.01V. Desharnais · On goal · xG 0.01C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01M. Janmark · Missed · xG 0.01E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01V. Desharnais · On goal · xG 0.00D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM3 G · 4.9 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsEDM
2.40 G
All situations
2 G4.9
2.10 G
Even strength
1 G3.0
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI31%69%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.32 – 3.43

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsEDM
27
Shots on goal
34
42%
Faceoffs
58%
0/0
Power play
1/1
4
Penalty minutes
2
31
Hits
20
13
Blocked shots
9
7
Giveaways
12
8
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4S. JonesD000-120.05230—24:26
72A. VlasicD000-100.00310—22:51
55K. KorchinskiD000-100.00100—21:53
24J. MegnaD000-100.00110—18:45
16J. DickinsonC000-120.041125017:08
43C. BlackwellC000000.00220016:58
41I. PhillipsD000000.00500—16:57
17N. FolignoL000-210.0710210016:13
23P. KurashevC000-230.160005016:11
11T. RaddyshR000-240.39000—15:46
25J. TinordiD000000.00330—15:21
15J. AndersonR000010.03000—15:16
58M. EntwistleR000040.972103614:28
8R. DonatoC000010.041002513:46
27L. ReichelL000010.02000—13:46
14B. KatchoukL000010.01100—12:51
13Z. SanfordL000030.47200—12:32
52R. JohnsonC000040.1861010011:48
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34P. Mrazek(L)33312.9393.47+1.4759:15

Season series

EDM leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).