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Edmonton Oilers at Chicago Blackhawks

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Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Chicago Blackhawks 2-1. The Blackhawks scored first; the Oilers answered. The Oilers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Connor McDavid's goal at 1:32 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 47% to 63%. Expected goals favored the Blackhawks, 2.9 to 2.6; shots on goal were EDM 15, CHI 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blackhawks win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Stuart Skinner stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 1.9 goals saved above expected; Petr Mrazek stopped 13 of 15 (.867). Three stars: 1. Connor McDavid (1 G), 2. Leon Draisaitl (1 G), 3. Jason Dickinson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    C. McDavid1 G
  2. ★★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl1 G
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    J. Dickinson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM181403215
CHICHI1509012126

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. CHI
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.18win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    5:52
  2. EDM
    wristxG 0.17win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    8:05

2nd period

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.19win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-1
    1:32

Penalties

EDM 6 PIM·CHI 2 PIM

1st

  • 8:35CHILukas Reichel · Hookingdrawn by Brett Kulak2 min

2nd

  • 13:17EDMCody Ceci · Hookingdrawn by Taylor Raddysh2 min

3rd

  • 0:27EDMMattias Ekholm · Interferencedrawn by Colin Blackwell2 min
  • 7:08EDMEvander Kane · Trippingdrawn by Jason Dickinson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalEDM goalFinal: CHI 0%

Biggest swing: Connor McDavid, 2nd 1:32 — EDM 47% → 63%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Pitlick · Missed · xG 0.24R. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.24J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.18R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.18J. Dickinson · Goal · xG 0.18T. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.18Z. Sanford · Missed · xG 0.17R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.16R. Pitlick · Missed · xG 0.16P. Kurashev · Missed · xG 0.11P. Kurashev · Missed · xG 0.10R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.09M. Entwistle · Missed · xG 0.08C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.07R. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.07R. Donato · Missed · xG 0.06P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.06L. Reichel · On goal · xG 0.06C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.05R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.05B. Katchouk · Missed · xG 0.04C. Guttman · On goal · xG 0.04J. Megna · Missed · xG 0.04J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.04P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.04C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.04P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.03K. Korchinski · On goal · xG 0.02P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.02N. Zaitsev · On goal · xG 0.02L. Reichel · On goal · xG 0.01K. Korchinski · Missed · xG 0.01T. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.01K. Korchinski · On goal · xG 0.01P. Kurashev · Missed · xG 0.01J. Dickinson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Tinordi · On goal · xG 0.01T. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.01N. Zaitsev · On goal · xG 0.00J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.00
CHI1 G · 2.9 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsCHI
2.62 G
All situations
1 G2.9
1.32 G
Even strength
1 G1.8
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 67 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM26%74%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.52 – 2.82

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsCHI
15
Shots on goal
26
64%
Faceoffs
36%
0/1
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
9
Hits
19
16
Blocked shots
15
5
Giveaways
5
13
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
97C. McDavidC101030.381005722:37
2E. BouchardD000+110.15020—22:18
25D. NurseD011000.02130—22:09
5C. CeciD000000.00012—22:06
14M. EkholmD011+120.15122—21:23
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC000010.03000019:38
29L. DraisaitlC101+110.171006919:28
18Z. HymanL000-101.11020—18:36
73V. DesharnaisD000000.01000—16:22
37W. FoegeleL011+240.30020—16:13
28C. BrownR000020.080003315:08
71R. McLeodC011+100.05010015:03
27B. KulakD000000.00000—14:45
91E. KaneL000000.01112—13:23
10D. RyanC000000.000007312:46
13M. JanmarkC000000.0001010010:39
21A. ErneL000000.00410—06:25
57J. HamblinL000010.160006705:01
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74S. Skinner(W)26251.9622.89+1.8960:00

Season series

EDM leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).