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Chicago Blackhawks at Edmonton Oilers

FinalTV ESPN, TVAS·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Chicago Blackhawks 4-1. The Blackhawks scored first; the Oilers answered. The Oilers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Leon Draisaitl's goal at 13:22 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 72% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.3 to 1.5; shots on goal were CHI 23, EDM 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 81% of the time. Petr Mrazek stopped 25 of 29 (.862), 0.7 goals below expected; Stuart Skinner stopped 22 of 23 (.957), 0.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Connor McDavid (2 A), 2. Evan Bouchard (2 A), 3. Sam Gagner (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    C. McDavid2 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    E. Bouchard2 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    S. Gagner1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI1140504123
EDMEDM2811417429

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CHI
    snapxG 0.11win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    3:21
  2. EDM
    wristxG 0.29win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    9:58
  3. EDM
    wristxG 0.09win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    18:19

2nd period

  1. EDM
    snapxG 0.02win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-3
    13:22

3rd period

  1. EDM
    Z. Hyman(16)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +6 ptsVideo
    1-4
    0:43

Penalties

CHI 4 PIM·EDM 6 PIM

2nd

  • 18:07CHIRyan Donato · Slashingdrawn by Vincent Desharnais2 min
  • 18:10EDMZach Hyman · Trippingdrawn by Connor Murphy2 min
  • 18:49CHINikita Zaitsev · Hookingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min

3rd

  • 7:31EDMBrett Kulak · Holdingdrawn by Joey Anderson2 min
  • 10:41EDMLeon Draisaitl · Slashingdrawn by Isaak Phillips2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalCHI goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Leon Draisaitl, 2nd 13:22 — EDM 72% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Nugent-Hopkins · Goal · xG 0.29D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.29L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.16Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.15L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.15E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.14C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.13Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.11C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.11Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.11Z. Hyman · Goal · xG 0.10E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.10Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.09S. Gagner · Goal · xG 0.09E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.09C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.09C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.08W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.08M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.07D. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.07E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.07C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.07L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.07C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.06D. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.06D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.05E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.05R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.05E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.04B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.04S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.03R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.02C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.02C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.02L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.02C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.02B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.01E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.01C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.01V. Desharnais · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM4 G · 3.3 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsEDM
1.51 G
All situations
4 G3.3
1.51 G
Even strength
3 G2.6
0.00 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI19%81%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.48 – 3.28

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsEDM
23
Shots on goal
29
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/2
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
31
Hits
18
22
Blocked shots
11
8
Giveaways
13
18
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72A. VlasicD011010.01340—24:58
5C. MurphyD000+140.06620—22:45
41I. PhillipsD000000.00400—21:24
98C. BedardC101020.231206019:27
23P. KurashevC000020.110104319:11
22N. ZaitsevD000-120.01152—18:43
17N. FolignoL000030.113003317:07
46L. CrevierD011-210.04020—16:43
16J. DickinsonC000020.392003516:34
11T. RaddyshR000-120.21210—16:06
8R. DonatoC000000.0000210015:39
91A. BeauvillierR000-110.003106715:01
90T. JohnsonC000-130.301106015:00
15J. AndersonR000000.02010—14:27
48F. RoosD000-200.00210—11:25
70C. GuttmanC000-100.000104311:01
58M. EntwistleR000-100.00200—10:21
27L. ReichelL000-100.00100—10:14
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34P. Mrazek(L)29254.8623.33-0.6760:00

Season series

EDM leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).