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Penguins at Hurricanes
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Pittsburgh Penguins
2
Carolina Hurricanes
▸3
Final/OTTV SN-PIT, BSSO·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 3-2 in overtime, Brett Pesce scoring at 1:41. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brett Pesce's goal at 1:41 of overtime, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.5 to 2.6; shots on goal were PIT 40, CAR 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Tristan Jarry stopped 32 of 35 (.914); Antti Raanta stopped 38 of 40 (.950), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Brett Pesce (2 G), 2. Antti Raanta (38 saves, .950), 3. Sebastian Aho (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    B. Pesce2 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    A. Raanta38 saves, .950
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    S. Aho1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
PITPIT01001621400240
CARCAR2160801011335

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    B. Pesce(2)
    S. Aho (33), A. Svechnikov (18)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    6:12
  2. CAR
    J. Martinook(4)
    J. Chatfield (7)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    9:04

3rd period

  1. PIT
    J. Guentzel(19)
    S. Crosby (20), B. Rust (13)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    6:45
  2. PIT
    B. Rust(11)
    E. Karlsson (23), K. Letang (25)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +46 ptsVideo
    2-2
    19:07

Overtime

  1. CAR
    B. Pesce(3)
    T. Teravainen (11), S. Jarvis (17)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +49 ptsVideo
    2-3
    1:41

Penalties

PIT 8 PIM·CAR 10 PIM

1st

  • 14:51CARBrent Burns · Slashingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min
  • 15:02PITErik Karlsson · Slashingdrawn by Seth Jarvis2 min

2nd

  • 8:41CARJordan Martinook · Roughingdrawn by Bryan Rust2 min
  • 8:41PITBryan Rust · Cross checkingdrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min
  • 9:46PITPierre-Olivier Joseph · Trippingdrawn by Teuvo Teravainen2 min
  • 13:33CARAndrei Svechnikov · Slashingdrawn by Kris Letang2 min
  • 17:15CARAndrei Svechnikov · Holding the stickdrawn by Ryan Graves2 min
  • 18:48CARserved by M. Bunting · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 12:33PITJake Guentzel · Holdingdrawn by Jalen Chatfield2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalPIT goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Brett Pesce, OT 1:41 — CAR 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.27A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.23J. Martinook · Goal · xG 0.20T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.20B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.16S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.14S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.14S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.13J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.13B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.13J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.12S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.12B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.11B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.09J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.09D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.09J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.08T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.07J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.07A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.06B. Pesce · Goal · xG 0.06T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.06T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.06J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.05S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.05M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.05S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.05S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.05J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.05B. Pesce · Goal · xG 0.04D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.04J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.03A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.03J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.03M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.03B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.02B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.02S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.02B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.02J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.01B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.01B. Lemieux · On goal · xG 0.01D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.01S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.01D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.00T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR3 G · 3.5 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsCAR
2.62 G
All situations
3 G3.5
2.12 G
Even strength
3 G2.9
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 100 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT36%64%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.60 – 3.46

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsCAR
40
Shots on goal
35
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/4
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
10
19
Hits
19
9
Blocked shots
16
7
Giveaways
14
6
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58K. LetangD011+210.06310—24:40
59J. GuentzelC101070.74012024:09
87S. CrosbyC011+260.422104824:04
65E. KarlssonD011-160.09112—23:59
28M. PetterssonD000+120.05100—22:57
71E. MalkinC000000.001002020:42
17B. RustR112+230.34102—20:34
67R. RakellR000000.16020—17:52
10D. O'ConnorL000030.38000—17:28
2C. RuhwedelD000-140.06410—15:26
27R. GravesD000-110.01200—15:25
77J. CarterC000020.071005014:58
20L. EllerC000-210.050108013:42
73P. JosephD000-100.00002—13:20
43J. HarkinsC000020.05200009:47
36C. WhiteC000000.00000007:21
48V. PuustinenR000-220.17010—07:04
63R. ZohornaL000-100.0110010004:26
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Jarry(O)35323.9143.48+0.4860:50

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).