Dallas Stars at Minnesota Wild
Recap
written from the game dataThe Dallas Stars beat the Minnesota Wild 4-0. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tyler Seguin's goal at 1:28 of the third period, which took the Stars' chances from 72% to 90%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 2.1 to 1.4; shots on goal were DAL 20, MIN 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Matt Murray stopped 23 of 23 (1.000), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 16 of 20 (.800), 1.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Tyler Seguin (1 G, 1 A), 2. Roope Hintz (1 G, 1 A), 3. Matt Murray (23 saves, 1.000).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
4 goalsPenalties
1st
- 4:13
Nils Lundkvist · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- 9:03
Craig Smith · High stickingdrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min
- 10:16
Tyler Seguin · Trippingdrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min
- 17:53
Matt Boldy · Holdingdrawn by Mason Marchment2 min
- 19:02
Wyatt Johnston · Interferencedrawn by Dakota Mermis2 min
2nd
- 8:31
Jason Robertson · Trippingdrawn by Adam Raska2 min
3rd
- 6:25
Wyatt Johnston · Slashingdrawn by Marco Rossi2 min
- 9:24
Ryan Hartman · Holdingdrawn by Roope Hintz2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Tyler Seguin, 3rd 1:28 — 72% → 90%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.14 G
- All situations
- 0 G1.4
- 1.21 G
- Even strength
- 0 G0.7
- 0.21 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.7
- 0.72 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 66 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.13 – 1.39
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 20
- Shots on goal
- 23
- 65%
- Faceoffs
- 35%
- 1/2
- Power play
- 0/6
- 12
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 17
- Hits
- 30
- 16
- Blocked shots
- 14
- 5
- Giveaways
- 6
- 6
- Takeaways
- 8
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















