Skip to content

Dallas Stars at Minnesota Wild

FinalTV BSWIX, BSSW·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Minnesota Wild 4-0. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tyler Seguin's goal at 1:28 of the third period, which took the Stars' chances from 72% to 90%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 2.1 to 1.4; shots on goal were DAL 20, MIN 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Matt Murray stopped 23 of 23 (1.000), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 16 of 20 (.800), 1.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Tyler Seguin (1 G, 1 A), 2. Roope Hintz (1 G, 1 A), 3. Matt Murray (23 saves, 1.000).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    T. Seguin1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    DAL
    R. Hintz1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    M. Murray23 saves, 1.000

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL140838420
MINMIN0120902023

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    R. Hintz(16)SHG
    snapxG 0.34win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    9:16

3rd period

  1. DAL
    wristxG 0.02win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-0
    1:28
  2. DAL
    R. Faksa(3)SHG
    snapxG 0.19win prob +5 ptsVideo
    3-0
    8:22
  3. DAL
    J. Benn (18), R. Hintz (19)
    wristxG 0.09Video
    4-0
    9:57

Penalties

DAL 12 PIM·MIN 4 PIM

1st

  • 4:13DALNils Lundkvist · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 9:03DALCraig Smith · High stickingdrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min
  • 10:16DALTyler Seguin · Trippingdrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min
  • 17:53MINMatt Boldy · Holdingdrawn by Mason Marchment2 min
  • 19:02DALWyatt Johnston · Interferencedrawn by Dakota Mermis2 min

2nd

  • 8:31DALJason Robertson · Trippingdrawn by Adam Raska2 min

3rd

  • 6:25DALWyatt Johnston · Slashingdrawn by Marco Rossi2 min
  • 9:24MINRyan Hartman · Holdingdrawn by Roope Hintz2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalDAL goalFinal: MIN 0%

Biggest swing: Tyler Seguin, 3rd 1:28 — DAL 72% → 90%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Rossi · Missed · xG 0.15J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.13P. Maroon · Missed · xG 0.08R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.07B. Faber · Missed · xG 0.07J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.06B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.06R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.06P. Maroon · Missed · xG 0.05B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.05D. Mermis · Missed · xG 0.05M. Rossi · Missed · xG 0.05R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.04J. Merrill · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Bogosian · Missed · xG 0.04J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.04B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.04M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.04M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.03M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.03C. Dewar · On goal · xG 0.03P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.02M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.02D. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.02B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.02M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.02M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.01B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.01J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.00F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.00P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN0 G · 1.4 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsMIN
2.14 G
All situations
0 G1.4
1.21 G
Even strength
0 G0.7
0.21 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.72 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 66 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL66%34%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.13 – 1.39

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsMIN
20
Shots on goal
23
65%
Faceoffs
35%
1/2
Power play
0/6
12
Penalty minutes
4
17
Hits
30
16
Blocked shots
14
5
Giveaways
6
6
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55T. HarleyD000+110.03100—23:10
2J. HakanpääD000+100.00510—22:40
23E. LindellD011+110.00020—22:11
20R. SuterD000+210.01150—18:14
91T. SeguinC112+230.162025516:50
5N. LundkvistD000+100.05312—16:23
12R. FaksaC101+110.241007116:21
24R. HintzC112+130.550005016:16
44J. HanleyD000010.01010—15:54
18S. SteelC011+120.37200015:33
21J. RobertsonL101030.23002—14:50
16J. PavelskiC000010.080006414:39
95M. DucheneC000+100.051308814:37
14J. BennL011000.001007113:43
53W. JohnstonC000010.220044013:20
27M. MarchmentL000+110.03010—11:56
63E. DadonovL000000.05010—11:34
15C. SmithC000010.05012009:49
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32M. Murray(W)232301.0001.39+1.3960:00

Season series

DAL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).