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Stars at Wild
NHL

Dallas Stars at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
▸8
Minnesota Wild
3
FinalTV NHLN, BSSWX·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Minnesota Wild 8-3. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 5-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Radek Faksa's goal at 9:49 of the first period, which took the Stars' chances from 57% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 3.6 to 2.6; shots on goal were DAL 37, MIN 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Jake Oettinger stopped 23 of 26 (.885); Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 29 of 37 (.784), 4.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jason Robertson (2 G, 1 A), 2. Miro Heiskanen (3 A), 3. Wyatt Johnston (2 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    J. Robertson2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    DAL
    M. Heiskanen3 A
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    W. Johnston2 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL313212312837
MINMIN2121905326

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    J. Pavelski(6)PPG
    M. Heiskanen (7), J. Robertson (8)
    backhandxG 0.06win prob +8 ptsVideo
    1-0
    0:57
  2. DAL
    R. Faksa(1)SHG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.09win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    9:49
  3. MIN
    B. Duhaime(4)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-1
    10:38
  4. DAL
    M. Duchene(5)
    M. Marchment (3), T. Seguin (5)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-1
    10:52
  5. MIN
    V. Lettieri(2)
    M. Rossi (3), J. Brodin (6)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-2
    19:12

2nd period

  1. DAL
    W. Johnston(6)PPG
    M. Duchene (6), T. Seguin (6)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +15 ptsVideo
    4-2
    2:34
  2. DAL
    E. Dadonov(4)PPG
    W. Johnston (6), N. Lundkvist (5)
    wristxG 0.34win prob +9 ptsVideo
    5-2
    12:11
  3. MIN
    M. Zuccarello(4)PPG
    K. Kaprizov (10), M. Boldy (7)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +7 ptsVideo
    5-3
    15:59

3rd period

  1. DAL
    J. Robertson(4)PPG
    M. Heiskanen (8), J. Benn (7)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +5 ptsVideo
    6-3
    1:02
  2. DAL
    J. Robertson(5)PPG
    M. Heiskanen (9), R. Hintz (7)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +2 ptsVideo
    7-3
    3:09
  3. DAL
    W. Johnston(7)SHG
    J. Benn (8)
    snapxG 0.27Video
    8-3
    17:57

Penalties

DAL 15 PIM·MIN 30 PIM

1st

  • 0:50MINBrandon Duhaime · Interferencedrawn by Joe Pavelski2 min
  • 8:14DALCraig Smith · Holdingdrawn by Marco Rossi2 min
  • 13:37MINConnor Dewar · Fightingdrawn by Craig Smith5 min
  • 13:37DALCraig Smith · Fightingdrawn by Connor Dewar5 min
  • 16:09DALRyan Suter · High stickingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min

2nd

  • 0:45MINJake Middleton · Hookingdrawn by Roope Hintz2 min
  • 10:52MINConnor Dewar · Holdingdrawn by Craig Smith2 min
  • 13:42MINMarcus Johansson · Trippingdrawn by Mason Marchment2 min
  • 15:05DALJason Robertson · Roughingdrawn by Jake Middleton2 min
  • 18:14MINBrandon Duhaime · Boardingdrawn by Thomas Harley5 min
  • 18:14MINBrandon Duhaime · Game misconduct10 min

3rd

  • 6:16MINMarc-Andre Fleury · Trippingdrawn by Roope Hintz2 min
  • 15:30DALRadek Faksa · Trippingdrawn by Vinni Lettieri2 min
  • 17:11DALTyler Seguin · High stickingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalDAL goalFinal: MIN 0%

Biggest swing: Radek Faksa, 1st 9:49 — DAL 57% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.33M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.17M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.15B. Duhaime · Goal · xG 0.14M. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.14J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.13M. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.12M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.11V. Lettieri · Missed · xG 0.10V. Lettieri · On goal · xG 0.10J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.09J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.09M. Rossi · Missed · xG 0.08M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.07M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.06K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.06J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.05M. Rossi · Missed · xG 0.05M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.05M. Zuccarello · Goal · xG 0.04J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.04M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.04M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.04B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.04M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.04M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.03V. Lettieri · Goal · xG 0.03M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.03M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.02R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.02J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.01J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.01J. Brodin · Missed · xG 0.01B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.01B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.01D. Mermis · On goal · xG 0.00J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN3 G · 2.6 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsMIN
3.68 G
All situations
3 G2.6
1.41 G
Even strength
2 G1.0
1.85 G
Power play
1 G1.5
0.42 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL67%33%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.58 – 2.52

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsMIN
37
Shots on goal
26
65%
Faceoffs
35%
5/8
Power play
1/5
15
Penalty minutes
30
8
Hits
19
11
Blocked shots
16
4
Giveaways
6
2
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4M. HeiskanenD033+220.09110—21:39
2J. HakanpääD000+100.00230—21:17
53W. JohnstonC213+140.830006019:38
23E. LindellD000+120.07010—19:12
20R. SuterD000+210.00222—18:41
95M. DucheneC112010.100005718:23
91T. SeguinC022030.251026218:10
14J. BennL022+120.140106017:08
21J. RobertsonL213-250.31102—16:33
5N. LundkvistD011-240.12000—16:33
16J. PavelskiC101-140.4510010016:07
24R. HintzC011-110.060008314:35
18S. SteelC000+110.09000014:02
27M. MarchmentL011+110.03000—13:22
63E. DadonovL101040.78000—12:47
12R. FaksaC101+110.160126912:06
55T. HarleyD000-210.06010—11:19
15C. SmithC000000.09017009:34
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29J. Oettinger(W)26233.8852.56-0.4460:00

Season series

DAL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).