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Wild at Stars
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
2
Dallas Stars
▸7
FinalTV TNT, MAX·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Minnesota Wild 7-2. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matt Duchene's goal at 4:28 of the second period, which took the Stars' chances from 70% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 3.1 to 1.8; shots on goal were MIN 23, DAL 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Jesper Wallstedt stopped 27 of 34 (.794), 3.9 goals below expected; Scott Wedgewood stopped 21 of 23 (.913). Three stars: 1. Nils Lundkvist (1 G, 1 A), 2. Esa Lindell (3 A), 3. Mason Marchment (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    N. Lundkvist1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    DAL
    E. Lindell3 A
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    M. Marchment2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN0603214223
DALDAL18216410734

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    J. Pavelski(16)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.06win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    16:45

2nd period

  1. DAL
    M. Duchene(12)
    R. Suter (7), N. Lundkvist (11)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    4:28
  2. DAL
    R. Hintz(17)
    M. Marchment (18), E. Lindell (12)
    snapxG 0.21win prob +8 ptsVideo
    0-3
    14:59

3rd period

  1. MIN
    M. Boldy(14)
    B. Faber (18), J. Eriksson Ek (12)
    deflectedxG 0.12win prob +5 ptsVideo
    1-3
    4:22
  2. DAL
    J. Robertson(15)
    E. Lindell (13)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +4 ptsVideo
    1-4
    8:05
  3. DAL
    N. Lundkvist(1)
    R. Faksa (5)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +1 ptsVideo
    1-5
    9:26
  4. MIN
    R. Hartman(12)PPG
    M. Zuccarello (24), M. Boldy (12)
    snapxG 0.22win prob +1 ptsVideo
    2-5
    11:03
  5. DAL
    T. Seguin(16)
    M. Marchment (19)
    wristxG 0.03Video
    2-6
    16:10
  6. DAL
    S. Steel(4)
    E. Lindell (14), C. Smith (2)
    snapxG 0.20Video
    2-7
    18:17

Penalties

MIN 6 PIM·DAL 6 PIM

1st

  • 8:59MINMats Zuccarello · Trippingdrawn by Jason Robertson2 min

2nd

  • 13:01MINMatt Boldy · Interferencedrawn by Jason Robertson2 min
  • 13:01DALJason Robertson · Embellishment2 min
  • 17:23MINBrock Faber · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 9:45DALJoel Hanley · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 10:19DALTyler Seguin · Trippingdrawn by Matt Boldy2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalMIN goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Matt Duchene, 2nd 4:28 — DAL 70% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Hintz · Goal · xG 0.21S. Steel · Goal · xG 0.20M. Duchene · Goal · xG 0.19J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.18R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.13T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.13J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.12R. Faksa · Missed · xG 0.11J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.11M. Marchment · Missed · xG 0.10E. Lindell · Missed · xG 0.10J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.10J. Robertson · Goal · xG 0.09E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.07J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.07T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.07M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.07R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.07E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.07C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.07J. Pavelski · Goal · xG 0.06J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.06M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.06J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.06M. Marchment · Missed · xG 0.05C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.05C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.05N. Lundkvist · Goal · xG 0.05T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.04J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.04J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.04N. Lundkvist · Missed · xG 0.04T. Seguin · Goal · xG 0.03C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.03N. Lundkvist · On goal · xG 0.02J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Hanley · On goal · xG 0.02N. Lundkvist · On goal · xG 0.02J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.02E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.02W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.02S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.02T. Harley · On goal · xG 0.01J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.01J. Hakanpää · On goal · xG 0.01C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01J. Hakanpää · On goal · xG 0.01E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.00R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.00N. Lundkvist · Missed · xG 0.00
DAL7 G · 3.1 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsDAL
1.82 G
All situations
7 G3.1
1.21 G
Even strength
7 G2.6
0.61 G
Power play
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN27%73%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.79 – 3.14

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsDAL
23
Shots on goal
34
56%
Faceoffs
44%
1/2
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
6
34
Hits
13
13
Blocked shots
20
1
Giveaways
15
11
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
24Z. BogosianD000-120.08110—25:11
7B. FaberD011-220.20042—21:11
12M. BoldyL112-140.31202—19:49
5J. MiddletonD000-210.03520—19:45
33A. GoligoskiD000-100.01000—19:14
36M. ZuccarelloR011-210.01212—18:52
14J. Eriksson EkC011-220.123005818:25
23M. RossiC000-120.271007017:54
6D. MermisD000-300.00230—16:07
90M. JohanssonL000-110.01000—15:58
89F. GaudreauC000-210.063204715:32
17M. FolignoL000-100.2040010015:29
4J. MerrillD000-300.00100—15:17
38R. HartmanR101-140.412007114:10
20P. MaroonL000-200.01200—13:49
26C. DewarC000-100.011003310:45
21B. DuhaimeL000-210.04500—08:26
19N. PetanC000-120.05000008:07
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30J. Wallstedt(L)34277.7943.14-3.8660:00

Season series

DAL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).