Ottawa Senators at Pittsburgh Penguins
Recap
written from the game dataThe Ottawa Senators beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 5-2. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brady Tkachuk's goal at 14:14 of the first period, which took the Senators' chances from 60% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.6 to 2.7; shots on goal were OTT 26, PIT 43. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Joonas Korpisalo stopped 41 of 43 (.953), 1.6 goals saved above expected; Magnus Hellberg stopped 15 of 17 (.882). Three stars: 1. Brady Tkachuk (2 G), 2. Parker Kelly, 3. Ridly Greig (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★B. Tkachuk2 G

- ★★P. Kelly

- ★★★R. Greig1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
1-04:24
2-014:14
2nd period
3-05:28
3-117:34
3rd period
4-113:07
5-113:38
5-219:26
Penalties
1st
- 2:42
Kris Letang · Cross checkingdrawn by Parker Kelly2 min
- 5:38
Josh Norris · Cross checkingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
- 11:29
Jacob Bernard-Docker · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
2nd
- 6:39
Sidney Crosby · Cross checkingdrawn by Claude Giroux2 min
- 18:07
Erik Karlsson · Slashingdrawn by Mathieu Joseph2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Brady Tkachuk, 1st 14:14 — 60% → 76%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.75 G
- All situations
- 2 G3.6
- 2.24 G
- Even strength
- 2 G3.2
- 0.61 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.4
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.68 – 3.51
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 26
- Shots on goal
- 43
- 49%
- Faceoffs
- 51%
- 1/3
- Power play
- 0/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 19
- Hits
- 29
- 22
- Blocked shots
- 10
- 2
- Giveaways
- 11
- 9
- Takeaways
- 8
Box score
every player line
Season series
OTT leads 3-0
5@
2this game
4@
5OTFinal
1@
2OTFinal
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















