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Ottawa Senators at Pittsburgh Penguins

FinalTV SN-PIT, SN360·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 5-2. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brady Tkachuk's goal at 14:14 of the first period, which took the Senators' chances from 60% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.6 to 2.7; shots on goal were OTT 26, PIT 43. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Joonas Korpisalo stopped 41 of 43 (.953), 1.6 goals saved above expected; Magnus Hellberg stopped 15 of 17 (.882). Three stars: 1. Brady Tkachuk (2 G), 2. Parker Kelly, 3. Ridly Greig (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    B. Tkachuk2 G
  2. ★★
    OTT
    P. Kelly
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    R. Greig1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT2711029526
PITPIT02319111243

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    R. Greig(2)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    4:24
  2. OTT
    snapxG 0.07win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    14:14

2nd period

  1. OTT
    slapxG 0.11win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-0
    5:28
  2. PIT
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +8 ptsVideo
    3-1
    17:34

3rd period

  1. OTT
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +2 ptsVideo
    4-1
    13:07
  2. OTT
    backhandxG 0.12Video
    5-1
    13:38
  3. PIT
    wristxG 0.03Video
    5-2
    19:26

Penalties

OTT 4 PIM·PIT 6 PIM

1st

  • 2:42PITKris Letang · Cross checkingdrawn by Parker Kelly2 min
  • 5:38OTTJosh Norris · Cross checkingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
  • 11:29OTTJacob Bernard-Docker · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 6:39PITSidney Crosby · Cross checkingdrawn by Claude Giroux2 min
  • 18:07PITErik Karlsson · Slashingdrawn by Mathieu Joseph2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalOTT goalFinal: PIT 0%

Biggest swing: Brady Tkachuk, 1st 14:14 — OTT 60% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.48J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.23D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.22B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.19R. Zohorna · On goal · xG 0.15K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.14J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.13J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.12J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.12M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.11B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.09B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.09M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.09S. Crosby · Goal · xG 0.09R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.08J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.08B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.08R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.08B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.07R. Shea · On goal · xG 0.07D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.06E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.06J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.06R. Zohorna · On goal · xG 0.06J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.06R. Zohorna · On goal · xG 0.05S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.05R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.05M. Nieto · Missed · xG 0.04J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.04B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.04J. Guentzel · Goal · xG 0.03E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.03B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.03K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.03S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.03L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.03J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.03E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.02R. Shea · On goal · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.01D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.01J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.01B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.01R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ruhwedel · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ruhwedel · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.00R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.00D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.00R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT2 G · 3.6 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsPIT
2.75 G
All situations
2 G3.6
2.24 G
Even strength
2 G3.2
0.61 G
Power play
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT36%64%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.68 – 3.51

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsPIT
26
Shots on goal
43
49%
Faceoffs
51%
1/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
19
Hits
29
22
Blocked shots
10
2
Giveaways
11
9
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6J. ChychrunD011+220.10060—27:14
85J. SandersonD000-100.00020—25:58
23T. HamonicD000-110.06410—21:45
24J. Bernard-DockerD000+200.09052—21:45
71R. GreigC112020.203101818:53
18T. StützleC022+210.05000018:26
91V. TarasenkoR011000.00100—16:48
28C. GirouxR033+250.522206716:42
9J. NorrisC000020.120125716:39
19D. BathersonR101010.2510010016:37
7B. TkachukL202+240.320002016:27
21M. JosephR011000.1031010016:11
81D. KubalikL101030.38100—15:56
27P. KellyC000000.00010011:28
49R. ChartierC000010.263105009:40
43T. KlevenD000+100.04000—09:23
33N. MatinpaloD000+100.00000—08:24
12M. KastelicC000040.2511010007:44
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70J. Korpisalo(W)43412.9533.65+1.6560:00

Season series

OTT leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).