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Pittsburgh Penguins at Ottawa Senators

Final/OTTV SN-PIT, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 2-1 in overtime, Drake Batherson scoring at 3:13. The Senators scored first and never trailed. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Drake Batherson's goal at 3:13 of overtime, which took the Senators' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 3.9 to 3.0; shots on goal were PIT 35, OTT 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Tristan Jarry stopped 37 of 39 (.949), 1.9 goals saved above expected; Joonas Korpisalo stopped 34 of 35 (.971), 2.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Joonas Korpisalo (34 saves, .971), 2. Drake Batherson (1 G), 3. Tristan Jarry (37 saves, .949).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    J. Korpisalo34 saves, .971
  2. ★★
    OTT
    D. Batherson1 G
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    T. Jarry37 saves, .949

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
PITPIT0120131901135
OTTOTT0901011416239

Scoring

3 goals

3rd period

  1. OTT
    M. Joseph (21), C. Giroux (36)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +33 ptsVideo
    0-1
    11:06
  2. PIT
    wristxG 0.45win prob +46 ptsVideo
    1-1
    19:37

Overtime

  1. OTT
    snapxG 0.14win prob +49 ptsVideo
    1-2
    3:13

Penalties

PIT 11 PIM·OTT 9 PIM

1st

  • 2:17OTTMark Kastelic · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by John Ludvig2 min
  • 2:17OTTMark Kastelic · Fightingdrawn by John Ludvig5 min
  • 2:17PITJohn Ludvig · Fightingdrawn by Mark Kastelic5 min
  • 19:55PITSidney Crosby · Trippingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min

2nd

  • 13:07PITKris Letang · High stickingdrawn by Shane Pinto2 min

3rd

  • 15:20OTTMathieu Joseph · Roughingdrawn by Kris Letang2 min
  • 15:20PITKris Letang · Roughingdrawn by Mathieu Joseph2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalPIT goalFinal: OTT 100%

Biggest swing: Drake Batherson, OT 3:13 — OTT 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.29C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.27T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.26J. Sanderson · Missed · xG 0.21T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.19J. Sanderson · Goal · xG 0.18J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.18T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.16M. Guenette · On goal · xG 0.15D. Batherson · Goal · xG 0.13S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.13M. Joseph · Missed · xG 0.11M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.10E. Brannstrom · On goal · xG 0.10J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.09T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.09T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.09B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.08S. Pinto · Missed · xG 0.08T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.08M. Kastelic · On goal · xG 0.08J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.06B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.06Z. Ostapchuk · On goal · xG 0.06D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.06J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Ostapchuk · On goal · xG 0.05D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.05J. Smejkal · On goal · xG 0.05B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.04E. Brannstrom · On goal · xG 0.04M. Kastelic · Missed · xG 0.03T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.03B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.03S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.03E. Brannstrom · On goal · xG 0.03M. Joseph · Missed · xG 0.03M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.03J. Smejkal · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.02J. Smejkal · Missed · xG 0.02M. Joseph · Missed · xG 0.02E. Brannstrom · On goal · xG 0.01M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.01M. Guenette · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.00E. Brannstrom · On goal · xG 0.00J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT2 G · 3.9 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsOTT
3.01 G
All situations
2 G3.9
2.31 G
Even strength
2 G3.5
0.70 G
Power play
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 99 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT36%64%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.94 – 3.83

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsOTT
35
Shots on goal
39
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/1
Power play
0/2
11
Penalty minutes
9
22
Hits
27
15
Blocked shots
15
12
Giveaways
14
13
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
28M. PetterssonD000-230.03330—25:44
65E. KarlssonD011+120.20030—24:53
58K. LetangD000010.08104—23:38
27R. GravesD000010.07120—20:55
87S. CrosbyC000030.110026320:39
17B. RustR000-170.58000—19:30
8M. BuntingL101041.03110—18:34
10D. O'ConnorL000020.19200—18:07
71E. MalkinC011010.121002917:48
20L. EllerC000010.111003616:55
19R. SmithR000040.12110—15:59
73P. JosephD000010.05100—15:44
55N. AcciariC000010.092502013:43
77J. CarterC000010.04200011:56
7J. LudvigD000000.00105—11:06
67R. RakellR000010.13200—11:03
48V. PuustinenR000010.03200—10:23
52E. BemstromC000010.00100008:00
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Jarry(O)39372.9493.90+1.9062:15

Season series

OTT leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).