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Penguins at Senators
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Pittsburgh Penguins
4
Ottawa Senators
▸5
Final/OTTV NHLN, SN-PIT·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 5-4 in overtime, Tim Stützle scoring at 1:10. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tim Stützle's goal at 1:10 of overtime, which took the Senators' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.1 to 2.6; shots on goal were PIT 34, OTT 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 21 of 26 (.808), 2.4 goals below expected; Anton Forsberg stopped 30 of 34 (.882), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Brady Tkachuk (1 G, 2 A), 2. Jakob Chychrun (1 G, 1 A), 3. Kris Letang (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    B. Tkachuk1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    OTT
    J. Chychrun1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    K. Letang1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
PITPIT171422300434
OTTOTT2102110411526

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    J. Chychrun(6)
    C. Giroux (17), J. Norris (8)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    11:07
  2. PIT
    L. Eller(4)PPG
    R. Smith (9), K. Letang (13)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    14:31
  3. OTT
    J. Norris(12)
    B. Tkachuk (8), E. Brannstrom (5)
    batxG 0.27win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    15:01

2nd period

  1. OTT
    B. Tkachuk(15)
    C. Giroux (18), J. Chychrun (18)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    2:10
  2. PIT
    R. Rakell(1)
    S. Crosby (16), R. Smith (10)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-3
    4:59
  3. OTT
    E. Brannstrom(2)
    B. Tkachuk (9), J. Sanderson (13)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-4
    7:30

3rd period

  1. PIT
    D. O'Connor(3)
    M. Pettersson (9), K. Letang (14)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +15 ptsVideo
    3-4
    1:51
  2. PIT
    K. Letang(3)
    M. Pettersson (10), E. Malkin (16)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +42 ptsVideo
    4-4
    17:34

Overtime

  1. OTT
    T. Stützle(7)
    D. Batherson (15)
    wristxG 0.31win prob +49 ptsVideo
    4-5
    1:10

Penalties

PIT 8 PIM·OTT 14 PIM

1st

  • 2:03OTTRidly Greig · Interferencedrawn by Marcus Pettersson2 min
  • 2:25OTTserved by B. Tkachuk · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 8:04PITJohn Ludvig · Trippingdrawn by Drake Batherson2 min
  • 12:55OTTJake Sanderson · Holdingdrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min
  • 18:00PITRyan Graves · Holdingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
  • 19:36OTTClaude Giroux · Trippingdrawn by John Ludvig2 min

2nd

  • 2:34PITJohn Ludvig · Cross checkingdrawn by Jiri Smejkal2 min
  • 5:18OTTErik Brannstrom · Hookingdrawn by Rickard Rakell2 min
  • 7:30PITserved by J. Harkins · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 15:12OTTErik Brannstrom · Interferencedrawn by Drew O'Connor2 min

3rd

  • 12:37OTTTravis Hamonic · Cross checkingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalPIT goalFinal: OTT 100%

Biggest swing: Tim Stützle, OT 1:10 — OTT 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Stützle · Goal · xG 0.31J. Norris · Goal · xG 0.27D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.25J. Chychrun · Goal · xG 0.15J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.15E. Brannstrom · Goal · xG 0.14D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.10D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.10T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.10B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.10B. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.10J. Sanderson · Missed · xG 0.09J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.09J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.07D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.06B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.06J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.04P. Kelly · Missed · xG 0.04J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.04A. Crookshank · On goal · xG 0.04C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.04J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.04D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.03C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.03C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.03J. Bernard-Docker · Missed · xG 0.02J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.02T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01A. Crookshank · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.01E. Brannstrom · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hamonic · Missed · xG 0.00J. Sanderson · Missed · xG 0.00J. Bernard-Docker · On goal · xG 0.00T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.00J. Norris · Missed · xG 0.00
OTT5 G · 2.6 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsOTT
3.14 G
All situations
5 G2.6
1.93 G
Even strength
5 G1.8
1.21 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT59%41%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.07 – 2.55

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsOTT
34
Shots on goal
26
59%
Faceoffs
41%
1/7
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
14
16
Hits
16
11
Blocked shots
28
10
Giveaways
13
3
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58K. LetangD123-120.04120—26:39
28M. PetterssonD022-110.02430—23:54
65E. KarlssonD000020.24020—23:17
59J. GuentzelC000-230.45000022:24
87S. CrosbyC011+120.371005921:35
67R. RakellR101-250.64100—19:23
19R. SmithR022020.08000—18:06
20L. EllerC101-120.250008617:54
71E. MalkinC011-140.190006717:52
27R. GravesD000020.06102—17:47
48V. PuustinenR000020.06000—14:49
10D. O'ConnorL101+120.100106714:29
55N. AcciariC000-200.052206012:11
77J. CarterC000020.410003311:22
2C. RuhwedelD000000.00300—10:17
7J. LudvigD000-100.00004—08:32
63R. ZohornaL000+110.04200—08:26
43J. HarkinsC000020.09110006:33
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39A. Nedeljkovic(O)26215.8082.59-2.4161:10

Season series

OTT leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).