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Devils at Hurricanes
NHL

New Jersey Devils at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
New Jersey Devils
2
Carolina Hurricanes
▸3
Final/OTPNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the New Jersey Devils 3-2 in overtime, Jesper Fast scoring at 7:09. The Devils scored first; the Hurricanes answered. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jesper Fast's goal at 7:09 of overtime, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 52% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.1 to 2.3; shots on goal were NJD 29, CAR 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Akira Schmid stopped 36 of 39 (.923); Frederik Andersen stopped 27 of 29 (.931). Three stars: 1. Jesper Fast (1 G), 2. Frederik Andersen (27 saves, .931), 3. Brent Burns (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    J. Fast1 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    F. Andersen27 saves, .931
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    B. Burns1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NJDNJD171140503229
CARCAR0821201118339

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    D. Mercer(3)
    T. Meier (2), M. McLeod (4)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    15:06

2nd period

  1. CAR
    J. Slavin(2)
    J. Martinook (7)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    0:50
  2. NJD
    T. Meier(2)PPG
    D. Hamilton (3), J. Hughes (5)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +13 pts
    2-1
    7:15
  3. CAR
    B. Burns(2)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.01win prob +23 pts
    2-2
    19:22

Overtime

  1. CAR
    J. Fast(5)PPG
    J. Kotkaniemi (3), S. Gostisbehere (3)
    deflectedxG 0.12win prob +48 pts
    2-3
    7:09

Penalties

NJD 4 PIM·CAR 2 PIM

1st

  • 9:24NJDOndrej Palat · High stickingdrawn by Brett Pesce2 min

2nd

  • 7:07CARJesperi Kotkaniemi · Roughingdrawn by Curtis Lazar2 min

OT

  • 5:36NJDJonas Siegenthaler · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalNJD goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Jesper Fast, OT 7:09 — CAR 52% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.25S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.17J. Fast · Missed · xG 0.16J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.13J. Fast · Goal · xG 0.12D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.11S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.11M. MacEachern · On goal · xG 0.10J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.10S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.10S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.09S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.09S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.08S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.08M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.07S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.07S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.07J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.07J. Fast · Missed · xG 0.07M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.07M. MacEachern · Missed · xG 0.06M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.06D. Stepan · Missed · xG 0.06M. MacEachern · Missed · xG 0.05B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.05B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.05J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.05J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.04M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.04S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.04J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.04J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.04M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.03M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.03B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.03S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.03J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.02B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.02J. Drury · Missed · xG 0.02J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.02J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · Goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.01P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.01J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.01S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.01S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · Goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.00B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.00J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.00J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR3 G · 3.1 xG · 64 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsCAR
2.32 G
All situations
3 G3.1
2.11 G
Even strength
2 G2.8
0.21 G
Power play
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 109 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD37%63%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.33 – 3.10

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsCAR
29
Shots on goal
39
60%
Faceoffs
40%
1/1
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
32
Hits
32
19
Blocked shots
9
11
Giveaways
15
6
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6J. MarinoD000010.02010—30:36
43L. HughesD000+140.05010—25:02
20M. McLeodC011+110.123207022:39
71J. SiegenthalerD000-210.02012—21:32
7D. HamiltonD011-210.06320—21:27
13N. HischierC000-100.093106719:54
33R. GravesD000020.02010—19:23
91D. MercerC101+130.17030019:05
18O. PalatL000-110.22502—18:24
96T. MeierR112+110.28400—17:10
63J. BrattL000-140.22000—16:29
28D. SeversonD000+100.00010—16:16
44M. WoodL000020.21010—15:34
14N. BastianR000040.36410—15:28
56E. HaulaL000-110.192105514:56
86J. HughesC011-110.02000014:16
90T. TatarL000-110.13110—12:07
42C. LazarC000010.167205012:01
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Schmid(L)39363.9233.14+0.1467:02

Series

CAR leads 4-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).