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New Jersey Devils at Carolina Hurricanes

FinalPNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the New Jersey Devils 6-1. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jesperi Kotkaniemi's goal at 3:58 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 69% to 85%. Expected goals were close — NJD 3.1, CAR 3.3; shots on goal were NJD 29, CAR 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Akira Schmid stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 1.4 goals below expected; Frederik Andersen stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 2.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jordan Martinook (1 G, 1 A), 2. Frederik Andersen (28 saves, .966), 3. Jesperi Kotkaniemi (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    J. Martinook1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    F. Andersen28 saves, .966
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    J. Kotkaniemi2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD0801219129
CARCAR09416210635

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. CAR
    wristxG 0.06win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    1:35
  2. CAR
    wristxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    3:58
  3. CAR
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +7 pts
    0-3
    17:25
  4. CAR
    wristxG 0.37win prob +2 pts
    0-4
    19:44

3rd period

  1. NJD
    wristxG 0.13win prob +1 pts
    1-4
    3:49
  2. CAR
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.13
    1-5
    12:48
  3. CAR
    S. Aho (5), S. Jarvis (3)
    wristxG 0.15
    1-6
    13:42

Penalties

NJD 6 PIM·CAR 8 PIM

1st

  • 3:33CARJesper Fast · Trippingdrawn by Nico Hischier2 min
  • 5:10CARJordan Martinook · High stickingdrawn by Tomas Tatar2 min
  • 15:42NJDKevin Bahl · Trippingdrawn by Seth Jarvis2 min
  • 19:56NJDJonas Siegenthaler · Interferencedrawn by Stefan Noesen2 min

2nd

  • 18:08NJDTomas Tatar · Slashingdrawn by Brent Burns2 min
  • 18:08CARBrent Burns · Roughingdrawn by Tomas Tatar2 min

3rd

  • 9:27CARJalen Chatfield · Roughingdrawn by Curtis Lazar2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalNJD goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Jesperi Kotkaniemi, 2nd 3:58 — CAR 69% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Necas · Goal · xG 0.37S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.20S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.19S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.18S. Noesen · Goal · xG 0.15J. Puljujarvi · Missed · xG 0.15J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.14J. Staal · Goal · xG 0.14J. Martinook · Goal · xG 0.13J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.13M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.10P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.08S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.08J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.07D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.07J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.07J. Kotkaniemi · Goal · xG 0.07D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.07J. Kotkaniemi · Goal · xG 0.06B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.06D. Stepan · Missed · xG 0.06J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.06M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.05D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.05J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.05J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.05S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.04J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.04B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.04S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.03J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.03D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.03M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.03B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.02J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.02J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.02J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.02M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.02S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.02S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.02J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.02B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.02S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.01J. Puljujarvi · Missed · xG 0.01S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.01J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.00J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR6 G · 3.3 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsCAR
3.11 G
All situations
6 G3.3
1.91 G
Even strength
5 G2.3
1.10 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD46%54%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.04 – 3.28

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsCAR
29
Shots on goal
35
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/3
Power play
1/2
6
Penalty minutes
8
31
Hits
24
22
Blocked shots
13
14
Giveaways
8
9
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
71J. SiegenthalerD000-120.02372—24:11
6J. MarinoD000-220.08020—22:16
28D. SeversonD000-130.19010—22:00
7D. HamiltonD000-310.12110—21:58
86J. HughesC000-140.501004019:00
18O. PalatL000-310.01210—17:27
13N. HischierC000-210.203105016:57
96T. MeierR000-150.93210—16:49
56E. HaulaL000-220.223007016:19
91D. MercerC000-100.04010014:57
63J. BrattL000-220.25100—14:51
88K. BahlD000-100.00102—14:14
20M. McLeodC011+120.222102714:10
14N. BastianR011+100.043006014:04
44M. WoodL101+120.13310—13:18
90T. TatarL000-200.00302—12:15
33R. GravesD000010.11040—10:23
42C. LazarC000010.013108009:12
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Schmid(L)25214.8402.65-1.3540:00
41V. Vanecek1082.8000.65-1.3520:00

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).