New Jersey Devils at Carolina Hurricanes
Recap
written from the game dataThe Carolina Hurricanes beat the New Jersey Devils 6-1. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jesperi Kotkaniemi's goal at 3:58 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 69% to 85%. Expected goals were close — NJD 3.1, CAR 3.3; shots on goal were NJD 29, CAR 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Akira Schmid stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 1.4 goals below expected; Frederik Andersen stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 2.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jordan Martinook (1 G, 1 A), 2. Frederik Andersen (28 saves, .966), 3. Jesperi Kotkaniemi (2 G).
Three stars
- ★J. Martinook1 G, 1 A

- ★★F. Andersen28 saves, .966

- ★★★J. Kotkaniemi2 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals2nd period
0-11:35
0-23:58
0-317:25
0-419:44
3rd period
1-43:49
1-512:48
1-613:42
Penalties
1st
- 3:33
Jesper Fast · Trippingdrawn by Nico Hischier2 min
- 5:10
Jordan Martinook · High stickingdrawn by Tomas Tatar2 min
- 15:42
Kevin Bahl · Trippingdrawn by Seth Jarvis2 min
- 19:56
Jonas Siegenthaler · Interferencedrawn by Stefan Noesen2 min
2nd
- 18:08
Tomas Tatar · Slashingdrawn by Brent Burns2 min
- 18:08
Brent Burns · Roughingdrawn by Tomas Tatar2 min
3rd
- 9:27
Jalen Chatfield · Roughingdrawn by Curtis Lazar2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Jesperi Kotkaniemi, 2nd 3:58 — 69% → 85%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.11 G
- All situations
- 6 G3.3
- 1.91 G
- Even strength
- 5 G2.3
- 1.10 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.8
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.04 – 3.28
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 29
- Shots on goal
- 35
- 49%
- Faceoffs
- 51%
- 0/3
- Power play
- 1/2
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 31
- Hits
- 24
- 22
- Blocked shots
- 13
- 14
- Giveaways
- 8
- 9
- Takeaways
- 8
Box score
every player line
Series
CAR leads 4-1
1@
5Final
1@
6this game
4@
8Final
6@
1Final
2@
3OTFinal
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
