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New Jersey Devils at Carolina Hurricanes

FinalPNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the New Jersey Devils 5-1. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Seth Jarvis's goal at 14:43 of the first period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 67% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.7 to 1.6; shots on goal were NJD 18, CAR 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Vitek Vanecek stopped 10 of 11 (.909); Frederik Andersen stopped 17 of 18 (.944), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Brett Pesce (1 G), 2. Jordan Martinook (2 A), 3. Frederik Andersen (17 saves, .944).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    B. Pesce1 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    J. Martinook2 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    F. Andersen17 saves, .944

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD011908118
CARCAR2101627523

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    wristxG 0.04win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    9:41
  2. CAR
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.15win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    14:43

2nd period

  1. CAR
    snapxG 0.17win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    1:55
  2. NJD
    wristxG 0.15win prob +9 pts
    1-3
    5:02

3rd period

  1. CAR
    S. Aho (4), S. Noesen (3)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +3 pts
    1-4
    10:17
  2. CAR
    J. Fast(3)EN
    snapxG 0.88
    1-5
    16:44

Penalties

NJD 6 PIM·CAR 4 PIM

1st

  • 4:06CARBrent Burns · Trippingdrawn by Kevin Bahl2 min
  • 5:02NJDErik Haula · Trippingdrawn by Jalen Chatfield2 min
  • 18:17NJDMichael McLeod · Trippingdrawn by Derek Stepan2 min

2nd

  • 13:05NJDNico Hischier · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 15:34CARJordan Martinook · High stickingdrawn by Dougie Hamilton2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalNJD goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Seth Jarvis, 1st 14:43 — CAR 67% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Fast · Goal · xG 0.88J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.36S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.20S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.18J. Kotkaniemi · Goal · xG 0.17S. Jarvis · Goal · xG 0.15S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.14J. Fast · Missed · xG 0.12M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.11D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.11S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.09S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.09M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.08S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.07J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.07B. Skjei · Goal · xG 0.07M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.06S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.06M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.06J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.06S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.05S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.05S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.04B. Pesce · Goal · xG 0.04S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.04B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.04S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.04D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.04S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.03B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.03M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.03J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.02J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.02S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.02B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.02J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.01J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.01D. Stepan · Missed · xG 0.00J. Drury · Missed · xG 0.00
CAR5 G · 3.7 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsCAR
1.61 G
All situations
4 G3.7
1.61 G
Even strength
4 G1.5
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD32%68%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.56 – 2.47

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsCAR
18
Shots on goal
23
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
34
Hits
37
16
Blocked shots
15
12
Giveaways
14
7
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
71J. SiegenthalerD000-100.00720—22:45
7D. HamiltonD000-210.02320—21:14
28D. SeversonD000000.00110—20:54
86J. HughesC000-320.16000019:43
6J. MarinoD000-210.02130—18:37
13N. HischierC000-210.211026118:18
20M. McLeodC011+140.212125518:17
14N. BastianR101030.17110—18:11
88K. BahlD000020.08500—17:36
56E. HaulaL000-200.165124116:44
18O. PalatL000-300.00300—16:16
63J. BrattL000-110.05010—16:14
33R. GravesD000-200.01030—15:06
90T. TatarL000-110.2910010014:46
44M. WoodL000+110.02400—13:30
91D. MercerC000-210.170105012:44
17Y. SharangovichC000-100.00000007:46
70J. BoqvistC000-100.00000006:18
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41V. Vanecek11101.9091.17+0.1737:01
40A. Schmid(L)1183.7271.31-1.6921:55

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).