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Panthers at Maple Leafs
NHL

Florida Panthers at Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
▸3
Toronto Maple Leafs
2
Final/OTScotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 3-2 in overtime, Nick Cousins scoring at 15:32. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nick Cousins's goal at 15:32 of overtime, which took the Panthers' chances from 48% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 4.1 to 3.5; shots on goal were FLA 43, TOR 52. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 50 of 52 (.962), 2.1 goals saved above expected; Joseph Woll stopped 40 of 43 (.930), 0.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Sergei Bobrovsky (50 saves, .962), 2. Morgan Rielly (1 G), 3. Nick Cousins (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    S. Bobrovsky50 saves, .962
  2. ★★
    TOR
    M. Rielly1 G
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    N. Cousins1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
FLAFLA2120180716343
TORTOR01311611409252

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    A. Ekblad(1)PPG
    G. Forsling (3), C. Verhaeghe (7)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    3:31
  2. FLA
    C. Verhaeghe(5)
    A. Duclair (4), A. Ekblad (4)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    16:18

2nd period

  1. TOR
    M. Rielly(4)
    S. Lafferty (2), D. Kampf (3)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    7:50

3rd period

  1. TOR
    W. Nylander(4)
    J. Tavares (4), T. Brodie (3)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +40 pts
    2-2
    15:33

Overtime

  1. FLA
    N. Cousins(2)
    R. Gudas (3)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +52 pts
    3-2
    15:32

Penalties

FLA 4 PIM·TOR 4 PIM

1st

  • 1:37TORJake McCabe · High stickingdrawn by Eetu Luostarinen2 min
  • 7:57FLAAaron Ekblad · Trippingdrawn by Sam Lafferty2 min
  • 13:02FLARadko Gudas · Interferencedrawn by TJ Brodie2 min

OT

  • 7:35TORTJ Brodie · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalFLA goalFinal: TOR 0%

Biggest swing: Nick Cousins, OT 15:32 — FLA 48% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.37A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.25C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.23M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.21N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.20W. Nylander · Goal · xG 0.18J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.16S. Lafferty · On goal · xG 0.15J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.15M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.13J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.13R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.12J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.12M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.11W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.11A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.10A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.09A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.07A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.07A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.07A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.06A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.05W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.05N. Acciari · Missed · xG 0.05A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.05A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.05A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.05S. Lafferty · On goal · xG 0.05A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.04W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.04R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.04M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.04J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.04M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.03J. Holl · Missed · xG 0.03J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.03C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.03M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.03W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.03M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.02M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.02J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.02J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.02W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.02L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.02M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.02J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.02W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.02D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.02W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.01J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.01M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.01L. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.01M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.01W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rielly · Goal · xG 0.01T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.01A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.01M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.01J. Holl · On goal · xG 0.01D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.01R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.00J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.00D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.00J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.00J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.00
TOR2 G · 4.1 xG · 67 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsTOR
3.53 G
All situations
2 G4.1
2.22 G
Even strength
2 G3.3
1.31 G
Power play
0 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 121 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA38%62%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.30 – 4.08

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsTOR
43
Shots on goal
52
38%
Faceoffs
62%
1/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
49
Hits
63
20
Blocked shots
24
19
Giveaways
22
16
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
62B. MontourD000-190.45110—32:41
42G. ForslingD011-110.04310—32:29
5A. EkbladD112010.08322—27:08
16A. BarkovC000030.625103826:26
18M. StaalD000-110.01320—25:34
23C. VerhaegheC112040.49200025:26
19M. TkachukL000+160.85410—25:07
13S. ReinhartC000-140.432001724:45
9S. BennettC000030.176103624:18
15A. LundellC000040.061205020:24
10A. DuclairL011010.02210—19:39
27E. LuostarinenC000000.0021010019:38
21N. CousinsC101010.127002519:13
7R. GudasD011+210.00542—18:58
28J. MahuraD000+110.01200—12:08
12E. StaalC000020.090206008:47
6C. WhiteC000000.001006705:57
22Z. DalpeC000010.06010005:02
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(W)52502.9624.15+2.1575:32

Series

FLA leads 4-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).