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Los Angeles Kings at Edmonton Oilers

Final/OTRogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Edmonton Oilers 4-3 in overtime, Alex Iafallo scoring at 9:19. The Kings came back from two goals down. The Oilers led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Iafallo's goal at 9:19 of overtime, which took the Kings' chances from 48% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 4.2 to 3.4; shots on goal were LAK 35, EDM 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Joonas Korpisalo stopped 37 of 40 (.925), 1.2 goals saved above expected; Stuart Skinner stopped 31 of 35 (.886), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Adrian Kempe (2 G), 2. Leon Draisaitl (2 G), 3. Anze Kopitar (1 G, 3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    A. Kempe2 G
  2. ★★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl2 G
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    A. Kopitar1 G, 3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
LAKLAK0601131414435
EDMEDM2901317011340

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    snapxG 0.11win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    6:57
  2. EDM
    snapxG 0.14win prob +13 pts
    0-2
    12:31

3rd period

  1. LAK
    backhandxG 0.03win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    0:52
  2. EDM
    snapxG 0.23win prob +14 pts
    1-3
    8:46
  3. LAK
    snapxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    2-3
    11:23
  4. LAK
    backhandxG 0.45win prob +42 pts
    3-3
    19:43

Overtime

  1. LAK
    snapxG 0.16win prob +52 pts
    4-3
    9:19

Penalties

LAK 8 PIM·EDM 14 PIM

1st

  • 7:53LAKBlake Lizotte · Roughingdrawn by Klim Kostin2 min
  • 7:53EDMKlim Kostin · Roughingdrawn by Blake Lizotte2 min
  • 11:25LAKDrew Doughty · Hookingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 11:55LAKMikey Anderson · Holdingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 15:53EDMEvan Bouchard · Interferencedrawn by Trevor Moore2 min

2nd

  • 0:58EDMEvander Kane · Trippingdrawn by Quinton Byfield2 min
  • 4:39EDMZach Hyman · Slashingdrawn by Quinton Byfield2 min
  • 18:57EDMEvander Kane · High stickingdrawn by Adrian Kempe2 min
  • 19:30LAKAlex Iafallo · High stickingdrawn by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins2 min

3rd

  • 18:10EDMEvan Bouchard · High stickingdrawn by Trevor Moore2 min

OT

  • 9:03EDMVincent Desharnais · Trippingdrawn by Blake Lizotte2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalLAK goalFinal: EDM 0%

Biggest swing: Alex Iafallo, OT 9:19 — LAK 48% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.23C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.20M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.18Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.16W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.15L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.15M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.14E. Bouchard · Goal · xG 0.14C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.14E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.12C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.11L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.11C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.11L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.10C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.10Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.10D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.10W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.10B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.09D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.09R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.08M. Janmark · Missed · xG 0.07B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.07Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.07L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.07M. Janmark · Missed · xG 0.06L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.06L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.06K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.06C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.06C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.05C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.04W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.04E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.04N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.04N. Bjugstad · Missed · xG 0.04E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.04W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.04W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.03R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.03M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.03R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.03C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.03B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.03K. Kostin · Missed · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.02E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.02M. Janmark · Missed · xG 0.02V. Desharnais · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.01D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.01R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.00W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.00
EDM3 G · 4.2 xG · 60 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsEDM
3.44 G
All situations
3 G4.2
1.82 G
Even strength
2 G3.3
1.52 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 107 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK39%61%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.39 – 4.13

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsEDM
35
Shots on goal
40
42%
Faceoffs
58%
2/6
Power play
1/3
8
Penalty minutes
14
49
Hits
50
17
Blocked shots
19
12
Giveaways
18
8
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD000030.19222—27:20
24P. DanaultC011020.176004024:29
33V. ArvidssonL022040.421305023:53
50S. DurziD000010.05330—22:56
11A. KopitarC134030.821105222:42
12T. MooreL000020.06310—22:35
9A. KempeR202080.56400—21:59
19A. IafalloL101020.35302—21:54
44M. AndersonD000010.00322—21:19
3M. RoyD011010.06220—20:54
84V. GavrikovD000020.26200—20:43
2A. EdlerD000000.00120—18:01
34A. KaliyevR000010.10300—15:44
55Q. ByfieldR011-120.02400—15:01
46B. LizotteC000020.113021313:07
89R. KupariC000000.254105711:01
91C. GrundstromR000010.03200—10:25
28J. Anderson-DolanC000000.00200006:53
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70J. Korpisalo(W)40373.9254.19+1.1967:52

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).