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Edmonton Oilers at Los Angeles Kings

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Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Los Angeles Kings 5-4. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kailer Yamamoto's goal at 16:57 of the third period, which took the Oilers' chances from 48% to 92%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 3.8 to 2.8; shots on goal were EDM 26, LAK 44. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Stuart Skinner stopped 40 of 44 (.909); Joonas Korpisalo stopped 21 of 26 (.808), 2.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Kailer Yamamoto (1 G, 1 A), 2. Leon Draisaitl (1 G), 3. Phillip Danault (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    K. Yamamoto1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl1 G
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    P. Danault1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM2112817526
LAKLAK117216111444

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    1:25
  2. LAK
    snapxG 0.03win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    8:13
  3. EDM
    snapxG 0.13win prob +14 pts
    2-1
    12:12

2nd period

  1. EDM
    slapxG 0.18win prob +16 pts
    3-1
    4:06
  2. LAK
    A. Kempe(5)PPG
    snapxG 0.15win prob +14 pts
    3-2
    6:36
  3. LAK
    K. Fiala(1)PPG
    snapxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
    3-3
    8:16
  4. EDM
    snapxG 0.14win prob +19 pts
    4-3
    10:54

3rd period

  1. LAK
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.51win prob +30 pts
    4-4
    7:46
  2. EDM
    snapxG 0.02win prob +44 pts
    5-4
    16:57

Penalties

EDM 6 PIM·LAK 4 PIM

2nd

  • 0:49EDMZach Hyman · Elbowingdrawn by Drew Doughty2 min
  • 2:27LAKAlex Iafallo · Trippingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 5:22EDMNick Bjugstad · Holdingdrawn by Anze Kopitar2 min
  • 7:17EDMMattias Ekholm · High stickingdrawn by Phillip Danault2 min

3rd

  • 6:42LAKQuinton Byfield · Holdingdrawn by Kailer Yamamoto2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalEDM goalFinal: LAK 0%

Biggest swing: Kailer Yamamoto, 3rd 16:57 — EDM 48% → 92%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Danault · Goal · xG 0.51A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.27A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.22A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.16A. Kempe · Goal · xG 0.15K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.13V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.13A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.12A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.12K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.12V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.11A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.11G. Vilardi · Missed · xG 0.11K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.11P. Danault · Missed · xG 0.10A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.09A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.08T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.08K. Fiala · Goal · xG 0.08V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.08V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.07A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.06V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.06A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.06P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.05A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.05A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.05A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.05M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.05K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.05M. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.04T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.03S. Durzi · Goal · xG 0.03T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.02T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.02V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.02S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.02P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.02M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.02T. Moore · Missed · xG 0.01V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.01V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.01B. Lizotte · On goal · xG 0.01V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.01M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.01V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.01V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.01V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.01T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.00A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.00
LAK4 G · 3.8 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsLAK
2.85 G
All situations
4 G3.8
2.54 G
Even strength
1 G2.2
0.31 G
Power play
2 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM35%65%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.80 – 3.73

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsLAK
26
Shots on goal
44
57%
Faceoffs
43%
1/2
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
22
Hits
32
18
Blocked shots
11
12
Giveaways
3
6
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
29L. DraisaitlC101+130.390105027:21
97C. McDavidC112+130.290206927:16
2E. BouchardD022000.00210—24:01
91E. KaneL000+130.59520—22:24
25D. NurseD000+110.11020—22:17
14M. EkholmD011+110.01302—20:47
5C. CeciD000+100.00030—19:04
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC000-100.000002516:05
18Z. HymanL000-110.13112—15:44
72N. BjugstadC000000.003225214:43
27B. KulakD000+130.13020—14:43
71R. McLeodC022000.002008014:17
73V. DesharnaisD022000.15010—12:16
56K. YamamotoR112+220.18100—11:26
10D. RyanC000030.182005010:46
37W. FoegeleL000-140.13110—10:10
21K. KostinC213+320.53200008:44
86P. BrobergD000+100.00000—03:43
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74S. Skinner(W)44404.9093.76-0.2460:00

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).