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Los Angeles Kings at Edmonton Oilers

FinalRogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Los Angeles Kings 4-2. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Klim Kostin's goal at 2:20 of the third period, which took the Oilers' chances from 53% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 4.9 to 2.7; shots on goal were LAK 24, EDM 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Joonas Korpisalo stopped 33 of 36 (.917), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Stuart Skinner stopped 22 of 24 (.917), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Klim Kostin (1 G), 2. Leon Draisaitl (1 G, 2 A), 3. Phillip Danault (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    K. Kostin1 G
  2. ★★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    P. Danault1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK03211010224
EDMEDM211014212437

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.21win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    2:34
  2. EDM
    snapxG 0.14win prob +12 pts
    0-2
    12:06

2nd period

  1. LAK
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    14:38
  2. LAK
    wristxG 0.18win prob +22 pts
    2-2
    19:16

3rd period

  1. EDM
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.02win prob +25 pts
    2-3
    2:20
  2. EDM
    E. Kane(1)EN
    wristxG 0.96win prob +2 pts
    2-4
    19:37

Penalties

LAK 2 PIM·EDM 8 PIM

1st

  • 6:57EDMLeon Draisaitl · Slashingdrawn by Adrian Kempe2 min
  • 11:13LAKAlex Iafallo · Trippingdrawn by Evan Bouchard2 min

2nd

  • 6:45EDMRyan Nugent-Hopkins · Hookingdrawn by Drew Doughty2 min
  • 15:20EDMLeon Draisaitl · Trippingdrawn by Quinton Byfield2 min
  • 17:04EDMEvander Kane · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalLAK goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Klim Kostin, 3rd 2:20 — EDM 53% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Kane · Goal · xG 0.96E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.35R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.25K. Kostin · On goal · xG 0.22D. Ryan · Goal · xG 0.21E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.20C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.20M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.19C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.18R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.16Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.15L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.14L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.14C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.13R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.13N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.13K. Kostin · Missed · xG 0.12L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.11R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.07Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.07Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.06C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.06R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.06E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.06E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.05R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.05E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.04D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.03C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.03C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.03P. Broberg · On goal · xG 0.03L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.03N. Bjugstad · Missed · xG 0.03C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.03M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.03D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.02B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.02K. Kostin · Goal · xG 0.02V. Desharnais · On goal · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.01R. McLeod · Missed · xG 0.01E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.00C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM4 G · 4.9 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsEDM
2.72 G
All situations
3 G4.9
2.02 G
Even strength
2 G3.1
0.70 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK30%70%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.63 – 3.86

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsEDM
24
Shots on goal
37
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/4
Power play
1/1
2
Penalty minutes
8
52
Hits
60
20
Blocked shots
22
11
Giveaways
15
11
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD000020.14320—27:23
33V. ArvidssonL000-130.28100—23:22
11A. KopitarC000-110.153004521:54
12T. MooreL011+210.09300—20:08
24P. DanaultC101020.244206420:05
9A. KempeR011040.51200—19:34
84V. GavrikovD011+120.05300—19:32
44M. AndersonD011010.01310—19:11
3M. RoyD000+100.17450—18:51
50S. DurziD000-300.00240—17:36
19A. IafalloL000010.04602—16:59
13G. VilardiC101+120.591104514:37
55Q. ByfieldR000010.0060010013:25
46B. LizotteC000010.02110011:30
2A. EdlerD000-110.02230—10:13
91C. GrundstromR000-210.07600—10:01
34A. KaliyevR000-100.07010—08:38
89R. KupariC000-210.212002006:48
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70J. Korpisalo(L)36333.9173.91+0.9159:20

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).