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Vancouver Canucks at Utah Mammoth

Final/OTTV BSAZ, SNP·Mullett Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Utah Mammoth 5-4 in overtime, Conor Garland scoring at 1:19. The Canucks scored first and never trailed. The Canucks led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Conor Garland's goal at 1:19 of overtime, which took the Canucks' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Coyotes, 3.7 to 2.7; shots on goal were VAN 24, ARI 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Coyotes win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Collin Delia stopped 24 of 28 (.857); Karel Vejmelka stopped 19 of 24 (.792), 2.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Conor Garland (3 G), 2. Liam O'Brien (2 G), 3. Clayton Keller (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    C. Garland3 G
  2. ★★
    ARI
    L. O'Brien2 G
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    C. Keller1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
VANVAN416010611524
ARIARI281911001428

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    backhandxG 0.19win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    3:53
  2. ARI
    batxG 0.44win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    5:08
  3. VAN
    C. Garland(15)PPG
    slapxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    2-1
    8:03
  4. VAN
    J. Miller(32)PPG
    snapxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    3-1
    12:21
  5. VAN
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +11 pts
    4-1
    14:16
  6. ARI
    wristxG 0.16win prob +11 pts
    4-2
    19:53

2nd period

  1. ARI
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +17 pts
    4-3
    9:54

3rd period

  1. ARI
    wristxG 0.06win prob +42 pts
    4-4
    16:40

Overtime

  1. VAN
    J. Miller (50), Q. Hughes (69)
    backhandxG 0.22win prob +51 pts
    5-4
    1:19

Penalties

VAN 13 PIM·ARI 15 PIM

1st

  • 2:09ARIConnor Mackey · Roughingdrawn by Brock Boeser2 min
  • 2:09VANBrock Boeser · Cross checkingdrawn by Connor Mackey2 min
  • 6:06ARIClayton Keller · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 10:48ARITravis Boyd · Holdingdrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min

2nd

  • 6:14VANEthan Bear · Hookingdrawn by Barrett Hayton2 min
  • 14:42VANTyler Myers · Interferencedrawn by Barrett Hayton2 min

3rd

  • 2:42VANQuinn Hughes · Holding the stickdrawn by Jan Jenik2 min
  • 9:17ARIJoshua Brown · Trippingdrawn by Nils Aman2 min
  • 9:17ARIJoshua Brown · Fightingdrawn by Kyle Burroughs5 min
  • 9:17VANKyle Burroughs · Fightingdrawn by Joshua Brown5 min
  • 12:10ARINick Schmaltz · Trippingdrawn by Ethan Bear2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalVAN goalFinal: ARI 0%

Biggest swing: Conor Garland, OT 1:19 — VAN 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. O'Brien · Goal · xG 0.44B. Hayton · Missed · xG 0.30N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.22N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.16T. Boyd · Goal · xG 0.16B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.16B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.15J. Välimäki · Missed · xG 0.15J. McBain · Missed · xG 0.14T. Boyd · Missed · xG 0.14V. Soderstrom · Missed · xG 0.11M. Maccelli · Missed · xG 0.09N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.08L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.08N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.08B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.08C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.08B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.06N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.06B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.06J. Brown · On goal · xG 0.06M. Kesselring · Missed · xG 0.06J. McBain · On goal · xG 0.06N. Schmaltz · Goal · xG 0.06N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.06T. Boyd · Missed · xG 0.05J. Välimäki · Missed · xG 0.05J. Välimäki · Missed · xG 0.05L. O'Brien · Goal · xG 0.05J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.05L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.04C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.04C. Mackey · Missed · xG 0.04N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.03L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.03B. Hayton · Missed · xG 0.03N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.03C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.02L. O'Brien · On goal · xG 0.02C. Mackey · On goal · xG 0.02J. Välimäki · Missed · xG 0.02J. McBain · On goal · xG 0.01M. Kesselring · Missed · xG 0.01C. Mackey · On goal · xG 0.01L. O'Brien · On goal · xG 0.00L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.00
ARI4 G · 3.7 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsARI
2.75 G
All situations
4 G3.7
1.63 G
Even strength
4 G3.0
1.12 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN35%65%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.69 – 3.63

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsARI
24
Shots on goal
28
53%
Faceoffs
47%
2/4
Power play
0/3
13
Penalty minutes
15
24
Hits
25
11
Blocked shots
16
7
Giveaways
8
2
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43Q. HughesD033+110.08102—25:54
74E. BearD000-100.02002—20:02
40E. PetterssonC101010.192205819:25
57T. MyersD000-210.02122—19:13
9J. MillerC112020.121003319:08
36A. HiroseD000-210.06100—19:02
44K. BurroughsD022+120.06505—17:43
96A. KuzmenkoL022+110.24000—16:39
72A. BeauvillierR011010.1200010015:30
6B. BoeserR000-240.83102—15:15
15S. DriesC000+110.142004215:04
8C. GarlandR303+250.51000—14:47
34P. Di GiuseppeL011-110.04210—14:32
48C. McWardD000000.00020—14:32
18J. StudnickaC000-110.013106713:09
25A. McDonoughL000-100.07200—12:45
88N. AmanC000-210.0622010012:21
81D. JoshuaC000-210.16110010:56
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
60C. Delia(W)28244.8573.71-0.2961:19

Season series

VAN leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).