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Vancouver Canucks at Utah Mammoth

FinalTV BSAZX, SNP·Mullett Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Vancouver Canucks 3-2. The Canucks scored first; the Coyotes answered. The Coyotes led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Travis Boyd's goal at 19:30 of the first period, which took the Coyotes' chances from 38% to 53%. Expected goals favored the Canucks, 4.1 to 1.9; shots on goal were VAN 31, ARI 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 82% of the time. Thatcher Demko stopped 24 of 27 (.889), 1.1 goals below expected; Ivan Prosvetov stopped 29 of 31 (.935), 2.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Travis Boyd (2 G), 2. Ivan Prosvetov (29 saves, .935), 3. Lawson Crouse (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    T. Boyd2 G
  2. ★★
    ARI
    I. Prosvetov29 saves, .935
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    L. Crouse1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN110011110231
ARIARI11011314327

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    wristxG 0.23win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    5:14
  2. ARI
    wristxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    19:30

2nd period

  1. ARI
    T. Boyd(14)PPG
    C. Keller (41), B. Hayton (23)
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    12:44

3rd period

  1. ARI
    L. Crouse(22)PPG
    wristxG 0.08win prob +11 pts
    1-3
    1:19
  2. VAN
    wristxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    2-3
    11:41

Penalties

VAN 6 PIM·ARI 20 PIM

1st

  • 1:34ARIVictor Soderstrom · Holdingdrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min
  • 7:29ARIJuuso Välimäki · High stickingdrawn by Phillip Di Giuseppe2 min
  • 11:16ARIZack Kassian · Roughingdrawn by Conor Garland2 min
  • 11:16ARIZack Kassian · Misconduct10 min

2nd

  • 2:21VANAndrei Kuzmenko · Hookingdrawn by Liam O'Brien2 min
  • 3:34ARITravis Boyd · Trippingdrawn by Nils Aman2 min
  • 7:35ARIVictor Soderstrom · Trippingdrawn by Dakota Joshua2 min
  • 11:48VANJ.T. Miller · Interferencedrawn by Victor Soderstrom2 min

3rd

  • 0:57VANAnthony Beauvillier · Holdingdrawn by Clayton Keller2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalVAN goalFinal: ARI 100%

Biggest swing: Travis Boyd, 1st 19:30 — ARI 38% → 53%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.15B. Hayton · Missed · xG 0.14B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.11T. Boyd · Goal · xG 0.10L. O'Brien · Missed · xG 0.10B. Hayton · Missed · xG 0.09C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.09L. Crouse · Goal · xG 0.08M. Kesselring · On goal · xG 0.08L. O'Brien · Missed · xG 0.08J. Välimäki · On goal · xG 0.08L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.07T. Boyd · Goal · xG 0.06B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.06C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.05J. McBain · On goal · xG 0.05B. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.05B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.05J. Välimäki · On goal · xG 0.04J. Välimäki · On goal · xG 0.04L. Dauphin · Missed · xG 0.04B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.04M. Kesselring · On goal · xG 0.02C. Fischer · Missed · xG 0.02B. Hayton · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Kassian · Missed · xG 0.02J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.02M. Kesselring · On goal · xG 0.02C. Mackey · On goal · xG 0.01M. Kesselring · Missed · xG 0.01M. Kesselring · Missed · xG 0.01V. Soderstrom · On goal · xG 0.01J. Moser · Missed · xG 0.01V. Soderstrom · Missed · xG 0.01J. Välimäki · On goal · xG 0.01V. Soderstrom · On goal · xG 0.01B. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.01J. Välimäki · Missed · xG 0.00P. Nemeth · Missed · xG 0.00T. Boyd · On goal · xG 0.00P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.00P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.00
ARI3 G · 1.9 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsARI
4.12 G
All situations
3 G1.9
2.22 G
Even strength
1 G1.7
1.90 G
Power play
2 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN82%18%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.00 – 1.88

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsARI
31
Shots on goal
27
40%
Faceoffs
60%
0/5
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
20
19
Hits
25
15
Blocked shots
12
4
Giveaways
9
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43Q. HughesD000+140.28010—28:56
40E. PetterssonC112+150.860003323:07
9J. MillerC000030.492124822:46
57T. MyersD000-110.06110—20:37
96A. KuzmenkoL101010.34112—20:14
6B. BoeserR000010.74100—19:51
86C. WolaninD000020.09010—17:40
8C. GarlandR011+130.22100—17:05
55G. BriseboisD000020.05130—15:51
88N. AmanC000010.292102515:01
72A. BeauvillierR022+120.151025013:55
47N. JuulsenD000+200.05320—13:51
44K. BurroughsD000030.29300—13:48
91V. KravtsovR000010.05010—12:39
81D. JoshuaC000010.0511010012:25
15S. DriesC000000.000004011:18
92V. PodkolzinR000000.02110—10:02
34P. Di GiuseppeL000010.06110—09:39
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Demko(L)27243.8891.89-1.1157:57

Season series

VAN leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).