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Utah Mammoth at Vancouver Canucks

Final/OTTV BSAZ, SNP·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Utah Mammoth 3-2 in overtime, Bo Horvat scoring at 4:09. The Coyotes scored first; the Canucks answered. The Coyotes led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Bo Horvat's goal at 4:09 of overtime, which took the Canucks' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Canucks, 4.6 to 2.0; shots on goal were ARI 23, VAN 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 85% of the time. Karel Vejmelka stopped 29 of 32 (.906), 1.6 goals saved above expected; Spencer Martin stopped 21 of 23 (.913). Three stars: 1. Bo Horvat (2 G), 2. Elias Pettersson (2 A), 3. Jakob Chychrun (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    B. Horvat2 G
  2. ★★
    VAN
    E. Pettersson2 A
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    J. Chychrun1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
ARIARI19160800223
VANVAN112071815332

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    wristxG 0.16win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    11:22
  2. VAN
    B. Horvat(18)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +10 pts
    1-1
    16:49

2nd period

  1. ARI
    wristxG 0.04win prob +12 pts
    2-1
    1:52

3rd period

  1. VAN
    wristxG 0.09win prob +34 pts
    2-2
    11:48

Overtime

  1. VAN
    B. Horvat(19)PPG
    Q. Hughes (23), J. Miller (14)
    tip-inxG 0.15win prob +49 pts
    2-3
    4:09

Penalties

ARI 16 PIM·VAN 6 PIM

1st

  • 12:57ARIserved by D. Guenther · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 15:55ARINick Schmaltz · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 1:34VANQuinn Hughes · Holdingdrawn by Clayton Keller2 min
  • 2:15ARITroy Stecher · Interferencedrawn by Sheldon Dries2 min
  • 13:37VANJ.T. Miller · Hookingdrawn by Christian Fischer2 min
  • 14:02ARIJakob Chychrun · Slashingdrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min
  • 17:00ARIJ.J. Moser · Hookingdrawn by Jack Studnicka2 min
  • 17:41ARILawson Crouse · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 12:45VANBo Horvat · Interferencedrawn by Matias Maccelli2 min
  • 14:43ARIBarrett Hayton · Trippingdrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min

OT

  • 3:22ARIserved by C. Keller · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalARI goalFinal: VAN 100%

Biggest swing: Bo Horvat, OT 4:09 — VAN 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.32B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.26N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.24S. Dries · On goal · xG 0.20N. Aman · On goal · xG 0.19E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.18B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.18E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.17B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.17B. Horvat · Goal · xG 0.15E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.15E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.15Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.13B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.13T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.12E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.12I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.11E. Bear · Missed · xG 0.11J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.11A. Kuzmenko · Missed · xG 0.10E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.10B. Boeser · Goal · xG 0.09B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.09B. Horvat · Goal · xG 0.09E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.08E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.08J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.08B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.07B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.06E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.06J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.06T. Myers · Missed · xG 0.04N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.04C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.04N. Aman · Missed · xG 0.04O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.04C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.04B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.03E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.03Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.03T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.02R. Stillman · On goal · xG 0.02E. Bear · On goal · xG 0.02L. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.02B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.02E. Bear · On goal · xG 0.02T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.02J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.01J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.01
VAN3 G · 4.6 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsVAN
2.02 G
All situations
3 G4.6
1.71 G
Even strength
1 G2.4
0.11 G
Power play
2 G2.2
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI15%85%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.98 – 4.46

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsVAN
23
Shots on goal
32
41%
Faceoffs
59%
1/3
Power play
2/8
16
Penalty minutes
6
13
Hits
25
20
Blocked shots
7
3
Giveaways
5
2
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9C. KellerR000010.13110—21:40
3J. BrownD000+110.02040—21:14
90J. MoserD000020.10012—20:33
72T. BoydC000000.000005819:26
14S. GostisbehereD011010.13010—19:26
8N. SchmaltzC000020.150025019:12
6J. ChychrunD101050.18102—18:25
51T. StecherD000-100.10132—17:41
67L. CrouseL000-120.38122—17:21
2P. NemethD000-110.00030—16:48
17N. BjugstadC000-110.000105016:32
38L. O'BrienC011+120.10300015:13
36C. FischerR101+120.22110—14:31
22J. McBainC000+110.013301014:23
63M. MaccelliL011-100.09000—14:17
29B. HaytonC000010.212023812:22
4J. VälimäkiD011+100.04000—11:15
11D. GuentherR000010.12000—09:39
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70K. Vejmelka(O)32293.9064.63+1.6363:44

Season series

VAN leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).