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Red Wings at Lightning
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
0
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸5
FinalTV BSDET, BSSUN·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Detroit Red Wings 5-0. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brandon Hagel's goal at 7:27 of the third period, which took the Lightning's chances from 81% to 95%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 5.0 to 2.2; shots on goal were DET 32, TBL 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Ville Husso stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 0.6 goals below expected; Brian Elliott stopped 32 of 32 (1.000), 2.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Brayden Point (2 G, 1 A), 2. Brian Elliott (32 saves, 1.000), 3. Brandon Hagel (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    B. Point2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    TBL
    B. Elliott32 saves, 1.000
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    B. Hagel1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET01201505032
TBLTBL13014415532

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    A. Killorn(27)
    A. Cirelli (18), R. Colton (15)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    7:49

3rd period

  1. TBL
    B. Hagel(30)
    B. Point (44), A. Killorn (37)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    7:27
  2. TBL
    B. Point(50)PPG
    N. Kucherov (83), M. Sergachev (53)
    wristxG 0.26win prob +2 pts
    0-3
    10:47
  3. TBL
    B. Point(51)EN
    B. Hagel (34), M. Sergachev (54)
    wristxG 0.76
    0-4
    15:59
  4. TBL
    M. Eyssimont(5)
    R. Colton (16)
    wristxG 0.02
    0-5
    19:50

Penalties

DET 6 PIM·TBL 6 PIM

2nd

  • 9:28TBLserved by C. Perry · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 11:42TBLMichael Eyssimont · Roughingdrawn by Andrew Copp2 min
  • 11:42DETAndrew Copp · Roughingdrawn by Michael Eyssimont2 min

3rd

  • 5:22DETGustav Lindstrom · Holdingdrawn by Alex Killorn2 min
  • 7:54TBLNick Perbix · Holdingdrawn by Dominik Kubalik2 min
  • 10:29DETGustav Lindstrom · Trippingdrawn by Steven Stamkos2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalDET goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Brandon Hagel, 3rd 7:27 — TBL 81% → 95%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Point · Missed · xG 0.81B. Point · Goal · xG 0.76B. Point · Goal · xG 0.26S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.23B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.20C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.17N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.15R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.15R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.13B. Hagel · Goal · xG 0.12B. Point · On goal · xG 0.12M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.12N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.12R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.11M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.10S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.10N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.10B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.10B. Point · On goal · xG 0.08A. Cirelli · Missed · xG 0.08A. Killorn · Goal · xG 0.08D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.08N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.07N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.07A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.06B. Point · On goal · xG 0.06P. Maroon · Missed · xG 0.05M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.05R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.05D. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.05S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.05N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.04R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.04N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.04A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.04D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.04N. Perbix · Missed · xG 0.02M. Eyssimont · Goal · xG 0.02D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.02M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.02H. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.02H. Fleury · Missed · xG 0.01B. Hagel · Missed · xG 0.00M. Eyssimont · Missed · xG 0.00
TBL5 G · 5.0 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsTBL
2.20 G
All situations
4 G5.0
2.00 G
Even strength
3 G2.7
0.10 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET29%71%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.13 – 3.39

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsTBL
32
Shots on goal
32
36%
Faceoffs
64%
0/2
Power play
1/2
6
Penalty minutes
6
36
Hits
22
17
Blocked shots
12
4
Giveaways
8
13
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
53M. SeiderD000-210.07410—20:43
2O. MaattaD000-100.00340—20:40
96J. WalmanD000-120.10110—18:57
8B. ChiarotD000-140.09310—18:39
71D. LarkinC000-330.170104718:35
38R. HaggD000-110.14410—18:30
28G. LindstromD000-200.00314—18:00
57D. PerronL000-310.16200—17:08
18A. CoppC000-130.111123616:33
23L. RaymondL000-120.22100—16:27
81D. KubalikL000-220.39200—16:13
90J. VelenoC000-120.112102715:56
52J. BerggrenR000050.19120—15:34
24P. SuterC000010.14100014:22
48A. ChiassonR000-100.00100—13:21
73A. ErneL000-120.09020—12:28
21A. CzarnikC000010.022102712:12
82J. OesterleD000020.15500—11:59
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35V. Husso(L)31274.8713.43-0.5759:25

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).