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Red Wings at Lightning
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
▸4
Tampa Bay Lightning
2
FinalTV BSSUNX, BSDET·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 4-2. The Red Wings scored first and never trailed. The Red Wings led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jonatan Berggren's goal at 5:59 of the third period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 75% to 93%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 4.9 to 4.6; shots on goal were DET 26, TBL 46. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Ville Husso stopped 44 of 46 (.957), 2.9 goals saved above expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 22 of 24 (.917), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Ville Husso (44 saves, .957), 2. Andrei Vasilevskiy (22 saves, .917), 3. Anthony Cirelli.

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    V. Husso44 saves, .957
  2. ★★
    TBL
    A. Vasilevskiy22 saves, .917
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    A. Cirelli

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET0121737426
TBLTBL01105230246

Scoring

6 goals

2nd period

  1. DET
    M. Rasmussen(4)
    D. Kubalik (15), F. Hronek (17)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +16 pts
    1-0
    1:54

3rd period

  1. DET
    J. Berggren(3)
    O. Maatta (8), J. Veleno (3)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    5:59
  2. TBL
    S. Stamkos(14)
    V. Hedman (10), C. Perry (8)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +10 pts
    2-1
    14:52
  3. DET
    A. Erne(4)EN
    A. Copp (12)
    wristxG 0.59win prob +9 pts
    3-1
    16:22
  4. TBL
    B. Point(11)
    A. Killorn (13), N. Kucherov (26)
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +6 pts
    3-2
    17:34
  5. DET
    D. Perron(8)EN
    A. Copp (13), F. Hronek (18)
    pokexG 0.94win prob +3 pts
    4-2
    19:35

Penalties

DET 6 PIM·TBL 4 PIM

1st

  • 3:27DETOskar Sundqvist · Trippingdrawn by Nick Perbix2 min

2nd

  • 2:53DETAustin Czarnik · Hookingdrawn by Corey Perry2 min
  • 17:23TBLVladislav Namestnikov · Cross checkingdrawn by Olli Maatta2 min
  • 18:36TBLBrandon Hagel · Interferencedrawn by Dominik Kubalik2 min
  • 18:36DETDominik Kubalik · Holdingdrawn by Brandon Hagel2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalDET goalFinal: TBL 0%

Biggest swing: Jonatan Berggren, 3rd 5:59 — DET 75% → 93%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.23A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.22A. Cirelli · Missed · xG 0.21A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.21V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.18A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.17A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.15A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.15B. Point · On goal · xG 0.14N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.14B. Point · On goal · xG 0.14S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.13N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.13B. Point · On goal · xG 0.12M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.11M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.11S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.11A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.10V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.10A. Cirelli · Missed · xG 0.09B. Point · Goal · xG 0.09M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.09A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.09P. Maroon · Missed · xG 0.08N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.08S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.08P. Maroon · Missed · xG 0.08C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.08N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.08N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.08N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.08A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.07N. Perbix · On goal · xG 0.06A. Cirelli · Missed · xG 0.06B. Point · On goal · xG 0.06B. Point · On goal · xG 0.06C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.06B. Point · On goal · xG 0.05R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.05P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.05B. Point · On goal · xG 0.04C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.04B. Point · On goal · xG 0.04N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.04N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.04N. Perbix · On goal · xG 0.03S. Stamkos · Goal · xG 0.03N. Perbix · On goal · xG 0.03V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.03N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.03N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.03M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.02V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.02N. Perbix · On goal · xG 0.02V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.02E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.02M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.01M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.01P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.01N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.01R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.01N. Perbix · On goal · xG 0.01N. Perbix · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL2 G · 4.9 xG · 63 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsTBL
4.62 G
All situations
2 G4.9
2.92 G
Even strength
2 G4.3
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 101 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET27%73%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.03 – 4.68

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsTBL
26
Shots on goal
46
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/1
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
4
31
Hits
24
11
Blocked shots
10
1
Giveaways
16
13
Takeaways
17

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
17F. HronekD022+200.12310—23:33
2O. MaattaD011+210.01520—23:07
53M. SeiderD000020.05420—20:07
8B. ChiarotD000000.00410—19:40
71D. LarkinC000020.041101518:28
57D. PerronL101+121.20300—17:26
18A. CoppC022+220.140005017:12
82J. OesterleD000010.10010—16:42
23L. RaymondL000020.3001010015:57
70O. SundqvistC000+100.00002015:47
96J. WalmanD000010.02210—15:44
73A. ErneL101+220.67300—15:41
24P. SuterC000010.1400010014:17
81D. KubalikL011040.86002—13:31
27M. RasmussenC101030.401005413:02
52J. BerggrenR101030.41100—12:56
90J. VelenoC011000.072103311:56
21A. CzarnikC000000.1120210010:54
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35V. Husso(W)46442.9574.91+2.9160:00

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).