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Red Wings at Hurricanes
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
1
Carolina Hurricanes
▸4
FinalTV BSSO, BSDETX·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Detroit Red Wings 4-1. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brent Burns's goal at 9:10 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 71% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 2.7 to 1.3; shots on goal were DET 21, CAR 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 24 of 27 (.889), 1.3 goals below expected; Antti Raanta stopped 20 of 21 (.952). Three stars: 1. Antti Raanta (20 saves, .952), 2. Jordan Martinook (1 G), 3. Stefan Noesen (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    A. Raanta20 saves, .952
  2. ★★
    CAR
    J. Martinook1 G
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    S. Noesen1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET061807121
CARCAR21211115428

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    S. Noesen(13)
    J. Kotkaniemi (25), S. Gostisbehere (27)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.10win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    2:46
  2. CAR
    J. Martinook(13)
    B. Skjei (20), J. Fast (19)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    7:50

2nd period

  1. DET
    R. Hagg(2)
    J. Veleno (11), D. Perron (32)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    5:05
  2. CAR
    B. Burns(16)
    J. Slavin (20), J. Drury (5)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    9:10

3rd period

  1. CAR
    J. Kotkaniemi(17)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.47
    1-4
    19:18

Penalties

DET 2 PIM·CAR 4 PIM

1st

  • 8:14CARJordan Martinook · High stickingdrawn by Jake Walman2 min

2nd

  • 2:31DETJordan Oesterle · Holdingdrawn by Stefan Noesen2 min
  • 18:55CARBrady Skjei · Slashingdrawn by Jonatan Berggren2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalDET goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Brent Burns, 2nd 9:10 — CAR 71% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.50J. Kotkaniemi · Goal · xG 0.47S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.27S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.18J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.12T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.10S. Noesen · Goal · xG 0.10S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.10J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.09J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.07J. Martinook · Goal · xG 0.07T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.07J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.06J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.05B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.03J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.03T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.03M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.03J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.03M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.03M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.02J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.02B. Burns · Goal · xG 0.02S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.02B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.02B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.01S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.01J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.01S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.01J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.00B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.00B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.00S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.00
CAR4 G · 2.7 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsCAR
1.31 G
All situations
3 G2.7
1.21 G
Even strength
3 G1.5
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 68 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET42%58%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.31 – 1.66

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsCAR
21
Shots on goal
28
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
15
Hits
14
10
Blocked shots
6
5
Giveaways
10
6
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
53M. SeiderD000-110.01410—24:09
18A. CoppC000-120.190107021:38
57D. PerronL011+110.15110—21:17
23L. RaymondL000+110.05100—20:53
8B. ChiarotD000-310.05210—20:19
2O. MaattaD000-220.05000—19:25
96J. WalmanD000-120.17100—19:22
28G. LindstromD000000.00130—16:12
24P. SuterC000-130.080004515:36
48A. ChiassonR000-210.10100—15:21
90J. VelenoC011-100.003004615:17
81D. KubalikL000-210.10000—15:06
38R. HaggD101+110.03100—14:39
52J. BerggrenR000-120.13000—14:29
21A. CzarnikC000-110.080004313:12
82J. OesterleD000-210.02022—12:08
25T. HiroseL000010.1100010011:03
22M. LuffR000-100.00010—10:16
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39A. Nedeljkovic(L)27243.8891.69-1.3157:38

Season series

CAR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).