Hurricanes at Red Wings 1-0 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

NHL scoreboard

Carolina Hurricanes

▸1

Detroit Red Wings

FinalTV BSDET, BSSO·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Detroit Red Wings 1-0. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brady Skjei's goal at 17:20 of the first period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 48% to 61%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 2.6 to 1.8; shots on goal were CAR 27, DET 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Pyotr Kochetkov stopped 27 of 27 (1.000), 1.8 goals saved above expected; Ville Husso stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Pyotr Kochetkov (27 saves, 1.000), 2. Ville Husso (26 saves, .963), 3. Brady Skjei (1 G).

Three stars

★
P. Kochetkov27 saves, 1.000
★★
V. Husso26 saves, .963
★★★
B. Skjei1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
CAR	110	06	011	127
DET	08	013	06	027

Scoring

1 goal

1st period

B. Skjei(5)PPG
S. Jarvis (9), J. Kotkaniemi (4)
snapxG 0.18win prob +13 pts
1-0
17:20

Penalties

6 PIM·

4 PIM

1st

15:49Adam Erne · Slashingdrawn by Paul Stastny2 min

2nd

8:00Brent Burns · Hookingdrawn by David Perron2 min
13:36Brent Burns · Hookingdrawn by Dominik Kubalik2 min
18:15Jordan Staal · Trippingdrawn by Austin Czarnik2 min
19:19Dominik Kubalik · Trippingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: DET

Biggest swing: Brady Skjei, 1st 17:20 — CAR 48% → 61%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

0 G · 1.8 xG · 40 att

←

attacks

attacks →

1 G · 2.6 xG · 39 att DET

0 G · 1.8 xG · 40 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

2.61 G
All situations: 0 G1.8; 2.40 G
Even strength: 0 G1.6; 0.31 G
Power play: 0 G0.2; 0.00 G
Shorthanded: 0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

64%36%

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.52 – 1.80

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

27
Shots on goal: 27; 49%
Faceoffs: 51%; 1/2
Power play: 0/3; 6
Penalty minutes: 4; 13
Hits: 16; 11
Blocked shots: 15; 4
Giveaways: 12; 4
Takeaways: 4

Box score

every player line

Carolina Hurricanes skaters
Skater	G	A	P	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
88M. NecasC	0	0	0	1	0.04	2	0	0	44	23:43
8B. BurnsD	0	0	0	1	0.02	1	2	4	—	23:37
22B. PesceD	0	0	0	2	0.06	0	2	0	—	22:57
74J. SlavinD	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	—	22:25
76B. SkjeiD	1	0	1	3	0.21	0	2	0	—	21:57
37A. SvechnikovR	0	0	0	3	0.51	2	0	0	—	20:23
48J. MartinookL	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	0	0	50	19:21
86T. TeravainenC	0	0	0	1	0.17	0	0	0	50	19:02
26P. StastnyC	0	0	0	5	0.63	0	1	0	57	17:00
11J. StaalC	0	0	0	1	0.19	1	1	2	53	16:34
23S. NoesenR	0	0	0	5	0.47	4	0	0	100	15:29
24S. JarvisR	0	1	1	1	0.00	0	0	0	—	15:15
82J. KotkaniemiC	0	1	1	0	0.00	0	0	0	31	14:36
5J. ChatfieldD	0	0	0	0	0.16	1	1	0	—	12:33
44C. de HaanD	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	—	10:48
18J. DruryC	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	0	0	75	07:05
21D. StepanC	0	0	0	1	0.13	0	0	0	67	06:58
42M. LajoieD	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	0	0	—	04:17

Carolina Hurricanes goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
52P. Kochetkov(W)	27	27	0	1.000	1.84	+1.84	60:00

Season series

CAR leads 2-1

Dec 131@0this game
Mar 302@3Final
Apr 111@4Final

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Carolina Hurricanes at Detroit Red Wings

1st period

1st

2nd

Box score