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Hurricanes at Red Wings
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Detroit Red Wings

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
2
Detroit Red Wings
▸3
FinalLittle Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Carolina Hurricanes 3-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jake Walman's goal at 19:56 of the third period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 52% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 2.7 to 1.7; shots on goal were CAR 33, DET 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Frederik Andersen stopped 19 of 22 (.864), 1.3 goals below expected; Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 31 of 33 (.939), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jake Walman (1 G), 2. Alex Nedeljkovic (31 saves, .939), 3. Dylan Larkin (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    J. Walman1 G
  2. ★★
    DET
    A. Nedeljkovic31 saves, .939
  3. ★★★
    DET
    D. Larkin1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR01021409233
DETDET181717322

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    D. Kubalik(20)
    D. Perron (29), M. Seider (33)
    snapxG 0.08win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:59

2nd period

  1. CAR
    B. Burns(14)
    J. Slavin (18), J. Fast (18)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    0:42
  2. CAR
    J. Slavin(7)
    S. Aho (30), J. Staal (15)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    4:18
  3. DET
    D. Larkin(28)PPG
    A. Chiasson (3), D. Perron (30)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +13 pts
    2-2
    7:26

3rd period

  1. DET
    J. Walman(9)
    A. Copp (32), A. Erne (9)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +48 pts
    2-3
    19:56

Penalties

CAR 6 PIM·DET 6 PIM

1st

  • 14:06DETRobert Hagg · Holdingdrawn by Stefan Noesen2 min

2nd

  • 2:11DETSimon Edvinsson · Slashingdrawn by Jack Drury2 min
  • 7:19CARMartin Necas · Hookingdrawn by Moritz Seider2 min
  • 19:54CARJordan Martinook · Trippingdrawn by Ben Chiarot2 min

3rd

  • 3:35DETSimon Edvinsson · Interferencedrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min
  • 14:31CARJordan Staal · Cross checkingdrawn by David Perron2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalCAR goalFinal: DET 100%

Biggest swing: Jake Walman, 3rd 19:56 — DET 52% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.30D. Larkin · Goal · xG 0.18D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.12D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.11P. Suter · Missed · xG 0.11A. Chiasson · On goal · xG 0.10D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.09D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.09A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.08D. Kubalik · Goal · xG 0.08L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.07L. Raymond · Missed · xG 0.06D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.04J. Veleno · On goal · xG 0.03M. Luff · Missed · xG 0.03J. Walman · Missed · xG 0.03A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.03D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.03D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.02J. Walman · Goal · xG 0.02D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.01D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.01M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.01J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.01J. Veleno · On goal · xG 0.00D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.00M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.00J. Berggren · On goal · xG 0.00
DET3 G · 1.7 xG · 28 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsDET
2.72 G
All situations
3 G1.7
2.32 G
Even strength
2 G1.2
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR69%31%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.63 – 1.62

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsDET
33
Shots on goal
22
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/3
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
7
Hits
23
6
Blocked shots
26
4
Giveaways
10
3
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8B. BurnsD101+230.17010—22:55
74J. SlavinD112+120.03000—22:25
22B. PesceD000-110.12010—22:24
76B. SkjeiD000-110.08020—21:26
20S. AhoC011-110.140006019:35
24S. JarvisR000-220.06100—17:43
88M. NecasC000-140.29002017:41
71J. FastR011+120.19200—17:03
48J. MartinookL000+110.09102—15:50
41S. GostisbehereD000020.15000—15:40
11J. StaalC011+220.241024415:35
82J. KotkaniemiC000010.050005815:02
23S. NoesenR000000.000103314:02
18J. DruryC000040.40000013:46
5J. ChatfieldD000-130.06010—12:46
13J. PuljujarviR000040.26200—11:43
26P. StastnyC000000.000005610:25
21D. StepanC000000.330005009:52
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31F. Andersen(L)22193.8641.67-1.3360:00

Season series

CAR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).