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San Jose Sharks at Winnipeg Jets

FinalTV NBCSCA, SNW·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the San Jose Sharks 6-2. The Sharks scored first; the Jets answered. The Jets led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dylan DeMelo's goal at 14:26 of the first period, which took the Jets' chances from 67% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 3.6 to 2.4; shots on goal were SJS 21, WPG 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. James Reimer stopped 27 of 33 (.818), 2.4 goals below expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 19 of 21 (.905). Three stars: 1. Josh Morrissey (1 G, 2 A), 2. Adam Lowry (1 G, 1 A), 3. Erik Karlsson (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    J. Morrissey1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    WPG
    A. Lowry1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    E. Karlsson2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS150917221
WPGWPG31401039633

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    wristxG 0.20win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    0:20
  2. WPG
    P. Dubois(27)PPG
    snapxG 0.16win prob +8 pts
    1-1
    1:11
  3. WPG
    wristxG 0.27win prob +12 pts
    1-2
    7:14
  4. WPG
    wristxG 0.02win prob +14 pts
    1-3
    14:26

3rd period

  1. WPG
    slapxG 0.11win prob +6 pts
    1-4
    0:16
  2. SJS
    wristxG 0.05win prob +4 pts
    2-4
    3:42
  3. WPG
    slapxG 0.04win prob +5 pts
    2-5
    5:48
  4. WPG
    slapxG 0.20
    2-6
    7:35

Penalties

SJS 4 PIM·WPG 8 PIM

1st

  • 0:37SJSKevin Labanc · Holdingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min

2nd

  • 12:59WPGKyle Connor · Holdingdrawn by Matt Benning2 min

3rd

  • 3:17WPGserved by N. Ehlers · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 7:29SJSJacob Peterson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 8:49WPGDylan Samberg · Trippingdrawn by Fabian Zetterlund2 min
  • 11:15WPGBlake Wheeler · Holdingdrawn by Nico Sturm2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalSJS goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Dylan DeMelo, 1st 14:26 — WPG 67% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Lowry · Goal · xG 0.27M. Scheifele · Goal · xG 0.20A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.18P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.18P. Dubois · Goal · xG 0.16N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.15K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.15P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.11M. Appleton · Goal · xG 0.11K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.10A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.09A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.09M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.09K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.08M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.08J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.08K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.08K. Stenlund · Missed · xG 0.08M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.07N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.07N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.07P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.07N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.07A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.06N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.06A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.06N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.06N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.06S. Maenalanen · Missed · xG 0.06A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.05M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.04J. Morrissey · Goal · xG 0.04J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.04K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.04N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.03V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.03B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.03D. Samberg · Missed · xG 0.02M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.02M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.02N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.02N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.02M. Barron · Missed · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · Goal · xG 0.02B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.02M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.01D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.01V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.01N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.01
WPG6 G · 3.6 xG · 55 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsWPG
2.42 G
All situations
6 G3.6
1.11 G
Even strength
4 G3.2
1.21 G
Power play
2 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS30%70%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.31 – 3.51

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsWPG
21
Shots on goal
33
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/4
Power play
2/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
28
Hits
13
12
Blocked shots
12
5
Giveaways
10
6
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9J. MacDonaldD000-230.13820—21:22
65E. KarlssonD202-220.34000—19:54
38M. FerraroD000000.00120—19:41
39L. CoutureC011-120.12100019:36
5M. BenningD000010.02130—19:14
48T. HertlC011-120.150005619:00
3H. ThrunD000-100.02000—18:56
24J. PetersonC011-120.47222018:32
62K. LabancR000010.12102—16:53
16S. LorentzC000020.362006716:50
71N. KnyzhovD000-100.02220—16:28
52T. RobinsC000-120.091004516:25
73N. GregorL000-220.13100—14:50
17T. BordeleauC000010.03000014:33
7N. SturmC000-110.082004312:55
10E. SvechnikovL000000.00110—12:26
57A. RaskaR000000.12400—11:49
20F. ZetterlundL000-200.18100—10:26
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
47J. Reimer(L)33276.8183.57-2.4359:30

Season series

SJS leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).