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Winnipeg Jets at San Jose Sharks

FinalTV NBCSCA, TSN3·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The San Jose Sharks beat the Winnipeg Jets 3-0. The Sharks scored first and never trailed. The Sharks led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kevin Labanc's goal at 2:23 of the third period, which took the Sharks' chances from 77% to 92%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 3.2 to 2.2; shots on goal were WPG 41, SJS 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 27 of 30 (.900), 0.8 goals below expected; James Reimer stopped 41 of 41 (1.000), 3.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. James Reimer (41 saves, 1.000), 2. Noah Gregor (1 G, 1 A), 3. Marc-Edouard Vlasic.

Three stars

  1. ★
    SJS
    J. Reimer41 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    SJS
    N. Gregor1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    M. Vlasic

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG016010015041
SJSSJS11208210330

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    wristxG 0.15win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    9:51

3rd period

  1. SJS
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +16 pts
    0-2
    2:23
  2. SJS
    M. Kaut(4)PPG
    wristxG 0.07
    0-3
    17:57

Penalties

WPG 6 PIM·SJS 6 PIM

1st

  • 7:48WPGMason Appleton · Slashingdrawn by Jeffrey Viel2 min
  • 18:05SJSOskar Lindblom · Trippingdrawn by Saku Maenalanen2 min

2nd

  • 5:58WPGKevin Stenlund · Hookingdrawn by Fabian Zetterlund2 min

3rd

  • 3:23SJSMario Ferraro · Hookingdrawn by Nino Niederreiter2 min
  • 6:39SJSOskar Lindblom · Trippingdrawn by Morgan Barron2 min
  • 16:29WPGJosh Morrissey · Trippingdrawn by Nico Sturm2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalWPG goalFinal: SJS 100%

Biggest swing: Kevin Labanc, 3rd 2:23 — SJS 77% → 92%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Lorentz · Missed · xG 0.25J. Viel · On goal · xG 0.22J. Peterson · Missed · xG 0.19N. Gregor · Goal · xG 0.15J. Viel · On goal · xG 0.14L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.11A. Agozzino · On goal · xG 0.10K. Labanc · Goal · xG 0.09O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.09S. Lorentz · On goal · xG 0.09A. Agozzino · On goal · xG 0.07M. Kaut · Goal · xG 0.07N. Gregor · Missed · xG 0.05S. Lorentz · On goal · xG 0.05F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.05O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.05E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.04J. Peterson · On goal · xG 0.04S. Lorentz · On goal · xG 0.04E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.03T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.03T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.02J. Peterson · On goal · xG 0.02F. Zetterlund · Missed · xG 0.02L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.02J. MacDonald · On goal · xG 0.02M. Kaut · On goal · xG 0.02F. Zetterlund · Missed · xG 0.02J. MacDonald · On goal · xG 0.02M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.01R. Simek · Missed · xG 0.01L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.01M. Kaut · On goal · xG 0.01M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.01R. Simek · Missed · xG 0.00L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.00F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.00E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS3 G · 2.2 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsSJS
3.20 G
All situations
3 G2.2
2.90 G
Even strength
2 G2.0
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 101 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG67%33%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.20 – 2.17

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsSJS
41
Shots on goal
30
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/3
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
15
Hits
15
15
Blocked shots
16
11
Giveaways
11
4
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44J. MorrisseyD000040.15122—27:33
4N. PionkD000-120.02200—21:25
81K. ConnorL000040.43000—20:48
55M. ScheifeleC000-130.321106420:44
2D. DeMeloD000-120.07030—19:42
80P. DuboisC000000.071104618:41
62N. NiederreiterR000000.00200—18:30
26B. WheelerR000-130.2710010017:52
5B. DillonD000-210.03110—17:28
7V. NamestnikovC000-140.39000017:11
88N. SchmidtD000010.09010—15:45
54D. SambergD000000.00320—14:16
27N. EhlersL000040.40000—13:50
17A. LowryC000020.322105813:43
22M. AppletonC000-140.23112012:48
36M. BarronC000040.28010008:57
28K. StenlundC000-120.100126007:58
8S. MaenalanenR000-110.08000—07:21
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(L)30273.9002.22-0.7860:00

Season series

SJS leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).