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San Jose Sharks at Winnipeg Jets

Final/OTTV NBCSCA, SN1·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The San Jose Sharks beat the Winnipeg Jets 3-2 in overtime, Logan Couture scoring at 1:21. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Logan Couture's goal at 1:21 of overtime, which took the Sharks' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 3.8 to 2.4; shots on goal were SJS 24, WPG 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. James Reimer stopped 36 of 38 (.947), 1.6 goals saved above expected; David Rittich stopped 21 of 24 (.875), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nino Niederreiter (1 G), 2. James Reimer (36 saves, .947), 3. Morgan Barron.

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    N. Niederreiter1 G
  2. ★★
    SJS
    J. Reimer36 saves, .947
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    M. Barron

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
SJSSJS17071812324
WPGWPG0141141802238

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    backhandxG 0.29win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    14:13

2nd period

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.05win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    6:05

3rd period

  1. WPG
    snapxG 0.12win prob +34 pts
    1-2
    14:53
  2. SJS
    wristxG 0.09win prob +46 pts
    2-2
    19:49

Overtime

  1. SJS
    backhandxG 0.27win prob +51 pts
    3-2
    1:21

Penalties

SJS 14 PIM·WPG 6 PIM

1st

  • 5:43WPGDylan DeMelo · Holdingdrawn by Kevin Labanc2 min
  • 5:43SJSJacob MacDonald · Roughingdrawn by Dylan DeMelo2 min
  • 14:21SJSWilliam Eklund · High stickingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 18:07SJSNikolai Knyzhov · Trippingdrawn by Vladislav Namestnikov2 min

2nd

  • 0:44WPGAdam Lowry · Interferencedrawn by Mario Ferraro2 min
  • 2:44SJSNoah Gregor · Interferencedrawn by Saku Maenalanen2 min
  • 7:23WPGBlake Wheeler · Trippingdrawn by Mario Ferraro2 min
  • 18:21SJSAndreas Johnsson · Slashingdrawn by Nino Niederreiter2 min

3rd

  • 4:15SJSMario Ferraro · High stickingdrawn by Nino Niederreiter2 min
  • 12:49SJSAlexander Barabanov · Hookingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalSJS goalFinal: WPG 0%

Biggest swing: Logan Couture, OT 1:21 — SJS 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.35N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.26B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.25N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.21M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.13N. Schmidt · Goal · xG 0.12M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.11K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.11N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.11N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.10M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.10N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.09K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.09S. Maenalanen · Missed · xG 0.09N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.09K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.09K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.08N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.08K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.08A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.08N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.07N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.07M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.07K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.07V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.07K. Stenlund · Missed · xG 0.06N. Niederreiter · Goal · xG 0.05A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.05M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.05N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.04B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.04B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.04N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.04M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.04M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.04B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.04J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.03V. Namestnikov · Missed · xG 0.03N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.03K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.03K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.02K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.02K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.02N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.01M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.01N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.01S. Maenalanen · On goal · xG 0.01M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.01
WPG2 G · 3.8 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsWPG
2.43 G
All situations
2 G3.8
1.53 G
Even strength
2 G2.1
0.90 G
Power play
0 G1.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS32%68%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.36 – 3.47

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsWPG
24
Shots on goal
38
68%
Faceoffs
32%
0/2
Power play
0/6
14
Penalty minutes
6
21
Hits
19
18
Blocked shots
18
5
Giveaways
9
2
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
65E. KarlssonD022+130.13020—28:42
5M. BenningD000000.00060—26:03
38M. FerraroD000-100.06702—24:23
39L. CoutureC112+220.431206123:40
44M. VlasicD000+120.06010—20:37
72W. EklundL000+210.03202—19:44
48T. HertlC101+150.702008419:23
20F. ZetterlundL000+120.14200—16:23
7N. SturmC000-100.002104415:45
94A. BarabanovL000-110.05002—15:20
71N. KnyzhovD000-100.00112—14:19
18A. JohnssonL000+120.1011210013:46
23O. LindblomL011030.0611010011:49
16S. LorentzC101020.390006711:42
10E. SvechnikovL000-110.20110—11:33
73N. GregorL000-100.01022—11:06
62K. LabancR011+100.03000—05:31
9J. MacDonaldD000000.00102—01:55
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
47J. Reimer(W)38362.9473.56+1.5659:43

Season series

SJS leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).