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Islanders at Capitals
NHL

New York Islanders at Washington Capitals

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
2
Washington Capitals
▸5
FinalTV NBCSWA, MSGSN·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the New York Islanders 5-2. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Rasmus Sandin's goal at 1:03 of the first period, which took the Capitals' chances from 65% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 3.5 to 3.1; shots on goal were NYI 40, WSH 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 79% of the time. Ilya Sorokin stopped 20 of 23 (.870), 1.3 goals below expected; Darcy Kuemper stopped 38 of 40 (.950), 1.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Darcy Kuemper (38 saves, .950), 2. Craig Smith (1 G, 1 A), 3. Dylan Strome (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    D. Kuemper38 saves, .950
  2. ★★
    WSH
    C. Smith1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    D. Strome2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI01409217240
WSHWSH31001025525

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    D. Strome(22)
    J. Carlson (19)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:36
  2. WSH
    R. Sandin(6)
    C. Smith (7), N. Backstrom (13)
    snapxG 0.02win prob +13 pts
    0-2
    1:03
  3. WSH
    C. Smith(8)
    M. Fehérváry (10)
    snapxG 0.28win prob +10 pts
    0-3
    13:13

3rd period

  1. NYI
    H. Fasching(9)
    C. Clutterbuck (6), N. Dobson (34)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +1 pts
    1-3
    14:52
  2. WSH
    T. Wilson(11)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.38win prob +1 pts
    1-4
    15:44
  3. NYI
    C. Cizikas(6)
    B. Horvat (32), S. Aho (17)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +1 pts
    2-4
    16:43
  4. WSH
    D. Strome(23)EN
    C. Sheary (22), T. Wilson (9)
    wristxG 0.50
    2-5
    18:50

Penalties

NYI 2 PIM·WSH 8 PIM

1st

  • 13:43WSHserved by C. Smith · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 17:36WSHTom Wilson · Roughingdrawn by Pierre Engvall2 min
  • 17:36NYIPierre Engvall · Slashingdrawn by Darcy Kuemper2 min

3rd

  • 3:44WSHTom Wilson · Holdingdrawn by Ryan Pulock2 min
  • 6:39WSHJohn Carlson · Holding the stickdrawn by Kyle Palmieri2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalNYI goalFinal: WSH 100%

Biggest swing: Rasmus Sandin, 1st 1:03 — WSH 65% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.55D. Strome · Goal · xG 0.50T. Wilson · Goal · xG 0.38C. Smith · Goal · xG 0.29C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.18N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.12C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.11C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.10T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.09N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.09D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.07N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.06C. Sheary · Missed · xG 0.06D. Strome · Goal · xG 0.05D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.05C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.04T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.04B. Malenstyn · On goal · xG 0.04C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.04C. Sheary · Missed · xG 0.04M. Irwin · On goal · xG 0.04R. Sandin · Goal · xG 0.02M. Irwin · On goal · xG 0.02N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.02A. Alexeyev · Missed · xG 0.02J. Snively · Missed · xG 0.02N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.02D. Strome · Missed · xG 0.01M. Irwin · On goal · xG 0.01N. Aube-Kubel · Missed · xG 0.01T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Jensen · Missed · xG 0.01A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.01N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.00J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.00C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH5 G · 3.1 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsWSH
3.52 G
All situations
3 G3.1
3.02 G
Even strength
3 G1.7
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 103 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI79%21%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.47 – 1.69

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsWSH
40
Shots on goal
25
61%
Faceoffs
39%
0/3
Power play
0/0
2
Penalty minutes
8
16
Hits
17
13
Blocked shots
27
13
Giveaways
22
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6R. PulockD000-320.20000—24:49
3A. PelechD000-350.15010—22:12
8N. DobsonD011030.16020—20:58
14B. HorvatC011050.510005920:30
27A. LeeL000-140.4110010020:01
29B. NelsonC000-110.151007119:51
44J. PageauC000-120.314106719:07
18P. EngvallL000-210.15002—18:14
21K. PalmieriC000-130.43200017:18
24S. MayfieldD000-130.06040—16:33
25S. AhoD011+220.14000—16:15
4S. BolducD000-100.03120—15:53
11Z. PariseL000-330.22000—15:03
53C. CizikasC101030.232104713:48
20H. FaschingR101030.27010—11:33
15C. ClutterbuckR011+100.00300—10:44
10S. HolmstromR000-200.11110—10:19
17M. MartinL000000.00100—08:00
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Sorokin(L)23203.8701.69-1.3156:52

Season series

WSH leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).