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Capitals at Islanders
NHL

Washington Capitals at New York Islanders

FinalTV NBCSWA, MSG·UBS Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the New York Islanders 5-1. The Islanders scored first; the Capitals answered. The Capitals led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anthony Mantha's goal at 4:15 of the third period, which took the Capitals' chances from 75% to 92%. Expected goals were close — WSH 2.5, NYI 2.5; shots on goal were WSH 27, NYI 18. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Darcy Kuemper stopped 18 of 18 (1.000), 1.5 goals saved above expected; Semyon Varlamov stopped 22 of 27 (.815), 2.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nicklas Backstrom (1 G), 2. Anthony Mantha (1 G, 1 A), 3. Dylan Strome (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    N. Backstrom1 G
  2. ★★
    WSH
    A. Mantha1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    D. Strome1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH2120837527
NYINYI140806118

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    Unassisted
    xG 0.05win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    5:18
  2. WSH
    snapxG 0.06win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    6:41
  3. WSH
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    19:13

3rd period

  1. WSH
    wristxG 0.45win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    4:15
  2. WSH
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.06win prob +3 pts
    4-1
    12:18
  3. WSH
    R. Sandin (23), A. Mantha (16)
    tip-inxG 0.09
    5-1
    13:19

Penalties

WSH 10 PIM·NYI 8 PIM

1st

  • 2:08WSHEvgeny Kuznetsov · Trippingdrawn by Kyle Palmieri2 min

2nd

  • 5:00NYIHudson Fasching · Holdingdrawn by Nick Jensen2 min
  • 11:09WSHCraig Smith · Holdingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min
  • 17:17WSHNicklas Backstrom · Holdingdrawn by Hudson Fasching2 min
  • 17:54NYIAnders Lee · Holdingdrawn by Conor Sheary2 min

3rd

  • 2:11NYICasey Cizikas · Slashingdrawn by Dylan Strome2 min
  • 4:28WSHNicolas Aube-Kubel · Trippingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min
  • 9:49NYIZach Parise · Slashingdrawn by Nicolas Aube-Kubel2 min
  • 19:08WSHTom Wilson · Holdingdrawn by Pierre Engvall2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalWSH goalFinal: NYI 0%

Biggest swing: Anthony Mantha, 3rd 4:15 — WSH 75% → 92%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.28B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.20S. Holmstrom · On goal · xG 0.16B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.12Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.11A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.10B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.10Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.09B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.09A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.09B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.08N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.08M. Martin · Missed · xG 0.08S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.07P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.07P. Engvall · Missed · xG 0.07C. Clutterbuck · Missed · xG 0.07C. Cizikas · Missed · xG 0.06B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.06P. Engvall · Goal · xG 0.05C. Clutterbuck · Missed · xG 0.05B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.05C. Cizikas · Missed · xG 0.05N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.04S. Holmstrom · Missed · xG 0.04R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.04C. Cizikas · Missed · xG 0.03J. Bailey · Missed · xG 0.03C. Clutterbuck · Missed · xG 0.02A. Romanov · Missed · xG 0.01A. Romanov · Missed · xG 0.01N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Martin · On goal · xG 0.01S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.01A. Romanov · Missed · xG 0.01J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.00S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.00
NYI1 G · 2.5 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsNYI
2.55 G
All situations
1 G2.5
1.75 G
Even strength
1 G1.5
0.60 G
Power play
0 G1.0
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH49%51%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.43 – 2.47

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsNYI
27
Shots on goal
18
42%
Faceoffs
58%
0/4
Power play
0/5
10
Penalty minutes
8
24
Hits
19
19
Blocked shots
11
12
Giveaways
11
3
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
38R. SandinD033+310.03030—23:27
57T. van RiemsdykD022+430.23020—23:11
42M. FehérváryD000+120.06610—21:26
92E. KuznetsovC000-120.270126419:52
8A. OvechkinL011040.44200—19:49
43T. WilsonR000+200.04412—19:49
3N. JensenD000+100.00320—19:13
77T. OshieR101+210.122002016:20
19N. BackstromC101+110.091226715:59
26N. DowdC101+120.192401815:03
17D. StromeC112+310.060203314:19
52M. IrwinD000-140.08110—13:52
39A. ManthaR112+220.59000—13:30
73C. ShearyL000+120.1100010012:54
27A. AlexeyevD000-110.01100—11:55
15S. MilanoL000+210.11100—10:52
96N. Aube-KubelR000-100.08102—10:32
16C. SmithC000+100.00002009:46
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35D. Kuemper(W)181811.0002.49+1.4959:19

Season series

WSH leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).