Washington Capitals at New York Islanders
Recap
written from the game dataThe Washington Capitals beat the New York Islanders 5-1. The Islanders scored first; the Capitals answered. The Capitals led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anthony Mantha's goal at 4:15 of the third period, which took the Capitals' chances from 75% to 92%. Expected goals were close — WSH 2.5, NYI 2.5; shots on goal were WSH 27, NYI 18. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Darcy Kuemper stopped 18 of 18 (1.000), 1.5 goals saved above expected; Semyon Varlamov stopped 22 of 27 (.815), 2.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nicklas Backstrom (1 G), 2. Anthony Mantha (1 G, 1 A), 3. Dylan Strome (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★N. Backstrom1 G

- ★★A. Mantha1 G, 1 A

- ★★★D. Strome1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
6 goals1st period
0-15:18
1-16:41
2-119:13
3rd period
3-14:15
4-112:18
5-113:19
Penalties
1st
- 2:08
Evgeny Kuznetsov · Trippingdrawn by Kyle Palmieri2 min
2nd
- 5:00
Hudson Fasching · Holdingdrawn by Nick Jensen2 min
- 11:09
Craig Smith · Holdingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min
- 17:17
Nicklas Backstrom · Holdingdrawn by Hudson Fasching2 min
- 17:54
Anders Lee · Holdingdrawn by Conor Sheary2 min
3rd
- 2:11
Casey Cizikas · Slashingdrawn by Dylan Strome2 min
- 4:28
Nicolas Aube-Kubel · Trippingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min
- 9:49
Zach Parise · Slashingdrawn by Nicolas Aube-Kubel2 min
- 19:08
Tom Wilson · Holdingdrawn by Pierre Engvall2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Anthony Mantha, 3rd 4:15 — 75% → 92%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.55 G
- All situations
- 1 G2.5
- 1.75 G
- Even strength
- 1 G1.5
- 0.60 G
- Power play
- 0 G1.0
- 0.20 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.43 – 2.47
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 27
- Shots on goal
- 18
- 42%
- Faceoffs
- 58%
- 0/4
- Power play
- 0/5
- 10
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 24
- Hits
- 19
- 19
- Blocked shots
- 11
- 12
- Giveaways
- 11
- 3
- Takeaways
- 8
Box score
every player line
Season series
WSH leads 3-1
4@
3OTFinal
5@
1this game
2@
1SOFinal
2@
5Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















