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Capitals at Islanders
NHL

Washington Capitals at New York Islanders

Final/OTTV NBCSWA, MSGSN·UBS Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the New York Islanders 4-3 in overtime, Dmitry Orlov scoring at 4:27. The Capitals came back from three goals down. The Islanders led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dmitry Orlov's goal at 4:27 of overtime, which took the Capitals' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 3.8 to 2.8; shots on goal were WSH 35, NYI 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Darcy Kuemper stopped 27 of 30 (.900); Ilya Sorokin stopped 31 of 35 (.886). Three stars: 1. Dmitry Orlov (1 G, 1 A), 2. Tom Wilson (1 G), 3. Matt Martin (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    D. Orlov1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WSH
    T. Wilson1 G
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    M. Martin1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
WSHWSH0521411214435
NYINYI2111601102330

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    J. Bailey (12), N. Dobson (17)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:24
  2. NYI
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    13:19

2nd period

  1. NYI
    wristxG 0.03win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    3:51
  2. WSH
    pokexG 0.19win prob +8 pts
    1-3
    10:01
  3. WSH
    wristxG 0.15win prob +12 pts
    2-3
    13:08

3rd period

  1. WSH
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +27 pts
    3-3
    5:54

Overtime

  1. WSH
    wristxG 0.27win prob +51 pts
    4-3
    4:27

Penalties

WSH 4 PIM·NYI 4 PIM

1st

  • 14:53WSHT.J. Oshie · Interferencedrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min

2nd

  • 4:34NYIAlexander Romanov · Slashingdrawn by Nick Jensen2 min
  • 12:55WSHT.J. Oshie · Roughingdrawn by Alexander Romanov2 min
  • 12:55NYIAlexander Romanov · Roughingdrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalWSH goalFinal: NYI 0%

Biggest swing: Dmitry Orlov, OT 4:27 — WSH 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.22H. Fasching · On goal · xG 0.19J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.19A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.17A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.16H. Fasching · On goal · xG 0.16C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.15H. Fasching · On goal · xG 0.13H. Fasching · On goal · xG 0.08N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.08H. Fasching · On goal · xG 0.08J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.08A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.08B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.08Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.08B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.07M. Martin · Goal · xG 0.07B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.06A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.06B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.05H. Fasching · Missed · xG 0.05N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.04Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.04M. Martin · On goal · xG 0.04N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.04S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.04M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.04S. Aho · Goal · xG 0.03J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.03R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.03R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.02H. Fasching · Goal · xG 0.02R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.02P. Wotherspoon · On goal · xG 0.02R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.01S. Mayfield · Missed · xG 0.01S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.01S. Holmstrom · Missed · xG 0.01A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.01M. Martin · Missed · xG 0.01N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.01
NYI3 G · 2.8 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsNYI
3.84 G
All situations
3 G2.8
3.54 G
Even strength
3 G2.5
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH65%35%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.66 – 2.75

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsNYI
35
Shots on goal
30
57%
Faceoffs
43%
0/1
Power play
0/1
4
Penalty minutes
4
37
Hits
38
13
Blocked shots
18
19
Giveaways
12
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
56E. GustafssonD011+130.29100—26:00
9D. OrlovD112+210.27200—25:56
57T. van RiemsdykD000-100.02110—22:18
8A. OvechkinL011+120.19500—21:25
3N. JensenD000+220.02410—20:54
17D. StromeC000000.151006118:32
19N. BackstromC011+130.200306718:29
42M. FehérváryD000-210.01920—17:41
15S. MilanoL011010.25100—17:38
39A. ManthaR000040.78000—17:36
92E. KuznetsovC011-100.000105417:09
77T. OshieR112+130.2222410017:08
43T. WilsonR101+170.82700—16:35
90M. JohanssonL011-100.030102014:45
73C. ShearyL000020.2000010014:41
21G. HathawayR101-130.21420—11:51
52M. IrwinD000-130.09000—09:46
26N. DowdC000000.00000000:57
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35D. Kuemper(W)30273.9002.79-0.2164:27

Season series

WSH leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).