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Hurricanes at Senators
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
2
Ottawa Senators
▸3
FinalTV BSSO, SNE·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Carolina Hurricanes 3-2. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Claude Giroux's goal at 9:37 of the third period, which took the Senators' chances from 56% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 3.5 to 2.6; shots on goal were CAR 29, OTT 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Frederik Andersen stopped 29 of 32 (.906); Mads Sogaard stopped 27 of 29 (.931), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Claude Giroux (2 G, 1 A), 2. Tim Stützle (1 G, 1 A), 3. Martin Necas (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    C. Giroux2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    OTT
    T. Stützle1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    M. Necas2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR0918112229
OTTOTT210012110332

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    C. Giroux(33)
    B. Tkachuk (46), T. Stützle (50)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    5:51
  2. OTT
    T. Stützle(38)
    C. Giroux (44), B. Tkachuk (47)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    17:26

2nd period

  1. CAR
    B. Pesce(5)
    M. Necas (42), B. Skjei (19)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    15:30

3rd period

  1. CAR
    B. Burns(15)PPG
    S. Jarvis (23), M. Necas (43)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +21 pts
    2-2
    2:23
  2. OTT
    C. Giroux(34)
    S. Pinto (15), E. Brannstrom (16)
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +29 pts
    2-3
    9:37

Penalties

CAR 14 PIM·OTT 12 PIM

1st

  • 3:28OTTArtem Zub · Roughing removing opponents helmetdrawn by Jesperi Kotkaniemi2 min
  • 9:02CARJordan Martinook · Trippingdrawn by Alex DeBrincat2 min

2nd

  • 3:18CARSebastian Aho · Trippingdrawn by Mathieu Joseph2 min
  • 5:49OTTJulien Gauthier · Hookingdrawn by Shayne Gostisbehere2 min
  • 7:58CARJordan Martinook · Boardingdrawn by Shane Pinto2 min
  • 14:25OTTBrady Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Jack Drury2 min
  • 14:25CARJack Drury · Roughingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
  • 16:36CARSebastian Aho · Hookingdrawn by Erik Brannstrom2 min

3rd

  • 1:17OTTTim Stützle · Kneeingdrawn by Seth Jarvis2 min
  • 7:03OTTserved by B. Tkachuk · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 8:18OTTTim Stützle · Trippingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min
  • 9:23CARStefan Noesen · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Mads Sogaard2 min
  • 9:23CARStefan Noesen · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalCAR goalFinal: OTT 100%

Biggest swing: Claude Giroux, 3rd 9:37 — OTT 56% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.47M. Joseph · Missed · xG 0.30A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.19T. Stützle · Goal · xG 0.19N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.16A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.15C. Giroux · Goal · xG 0.15C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.14T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.13S. Pinto · Missed · xG 0.13T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.11C. Giroux · Goal · xG 0.10M. Kastelic · On goal · xG 0.10C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.09E. Sokolov · On goal · xG 0.09B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.09C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.08E. Brannstrom · On goal · xG 0.07B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.07T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.07N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.07S. Pinto · Missed · xG 0.06E. Brannstrom · On goal · xG 0.05P. Brown · On goal · xG 0.05D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.04E. Brannstrom · On goal · xG 0.04B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.04B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.03M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.03T. Kleven · On goal · xG 0.02E. Brannstrom · On goal · xG 0.02P. Brown · On goal · xG 0.02A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.02C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.02E. Sokolov · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.01E. Brannstrom · Missed · xG 0.01J. Bernard-Docker · On goal · xG 0.01A. Zub · Missed · xG 0.01C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT3 G · 3.5 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsOTT
2.62 G
All situations
3 G3.5
0.81 G
Even strength
3 G1.5
1.61 G
Power play
0 G1.6
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR41%59%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.61 – 3.13

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsOTT
29
Shots on goal
32
46%
Faceoffs
54%
1/5
Power play
0/6
14
Penalty minutes
12
15
Hits
15
8
Blocked shots
18
11
Giveaways
14
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8B. BurnsD101050.10000—24:58
20S. AhoC000-120.162044622:36
76B. SkjeiD011-110.11000—22:11
88M. NecasC022+120.101002520:08
22B. PesceD101-110.14110—19:36
86T. TeravainenC000-110.04000019:17
74J. SlavinD000000.01010—19:13
24S. JarvisR011-250.83210—19:03
41S. GostisbehereD000-150.58000—16:56
11J. StaalC000-150.473106015:59
82J. KotkaniemiC000000.000002214:40
23S. NoesenR000010.010046713:39
71J. FastR000000.00220—13:00
5J. ChatfieldD000-100.06210—12:26
48J. MartinookL000000.00004—11:41
18J. DruryC000-100.00112008:59
13J. PuljujarviR000-100.00100—08:40
21D. StepanC000010.030003305:34
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31F. Andersen(L)32293.9063.18+0.1857:24

Season series

CAR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).