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Senators at Hurricanes
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
2
Carolina Hurricanes
▸3
Final/OTTV BSSO, TSN5·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Ottawa Senators 3-2 in overtime, Martin Necas scoring at 4:19. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Martin Necas's goal at 4:19 of overtime, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.7 to 2.8; shots on goal were OTT 28, CAR 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Leevi Meriläinen stopped 34 of 37 (.919), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Antti Raanta stopped 26 of 28 (.929), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Martin Necas (1 G), 2. Brady Skjei (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jesperi Kotkaniemi (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    M. Necas1 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    B. Skjei1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    J. Kotkaniemi1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
OTTOTT010191900228
CARCAR21201301012337

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    J. Kotkaniemi(16)
    B. Skjei (18), S. Noesen (22)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    1:50
  2. CAR
    B. Skjei(18)PPG
    J. Kotkaniemi (23), S. Noesen (23)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +13 pts
    0-2
    15:58

2nd period

  1. OTT
    C. Giroux(30)
    R. Greig (7), A. DeBrincat (37)
    snapxG 0.22win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    10:39

3rd period

  1. OTT
    B. Tkachuk(35)PPG
    A. DeBrincat (38), D. Batherson (38)
    tip-inxG 0.21win prob +20 pts
    2-2
    2:52

Overtime

  1. CAR
    M. Necas(28)
    S. Jarvis (22), B. Burns (43)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +49 pts
    2-3
    4:19

Penalties

OTT 10 PIM·CAR 8 PIM

1st

  • 12:12OTTPatrick Brown · High sticking double minordrawn by Shayne Gostisbehere4 min
  • 15:58OTTserved by B. Tkachuk · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 18:21CARBrett Pesce · Interferencedrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min

2nd

  • 1:35CARJordan Martinook · Trippingdrawn by Alex DeBrincat2 min
  • 15:58CARSebastian Aho · Hookingdrawn by Shane Pinto2 min
  • 18:48OTTClaude Giroux · Hookingdrawn by Jordan Staal2 min
  • 18:58OTTJake Sanderson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 1:28CARJesper Fast · Holding the stickdrawn by Nick Holden2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalOTT goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Martin Necas, OT 4:19 — CAR 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.20B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.18S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.17M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.17S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.16S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.14J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.13S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.12J. Fast · Missed · xG 0.12S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.12B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.11S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.11J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.11J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.11M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.10M. Necas · Goal · xG 0.09S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.09J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.08B. Skjei · Goal · xG 0.08J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.08S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.08J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.08S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.07M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.07B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.07J. Kotkaniemi · Goal · xG 0.07J. Fast · Missed · xG 0.06S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.06J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.06J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.05J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.05J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.04B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.04J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.04J. Fast · Missed · xG 0.04B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.04J. Drury · Missed · xG 0.03D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.03S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.03M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.02B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.02B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.02B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.02M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.02B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.01J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Chatfield · Missed · xG 0.01P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.01B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.01S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.01B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.00B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.00J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR3 G · 3.7 xG · 56 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsCAR
2.82 G
All situations
3 G3.7
2.21 G
Even strength
2 G2.1
0.61 G
Power play
1 G1.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 102 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT37%63%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.77 – 3.59

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsCAR
28
Shots on goal
37
41%
Faceoffs
59%
1/4
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
8
21
Hits
13
16
Blocked shots
12
5
Giveaways
8
4
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
85J. SandersonD000000.02112—30:34
18T. StützleC000040.38200026:16
2A. ZubD000000.00300—22:31
19D. BathersonR011040.27010—21:38
7B. TkachukL101-130.495003621:19
26E. BrannstromD000000.00030—19:58
5N. HoldenD000010.13110—19:51
12A. DeBrincatR022+130.39010—19:14
28C. GirouxR101040.320025818:40
57S. PintoC000-140.320205614:47
17R. GreigC011+110.252004013:48
16A. WatsonL000010.0312010013:43
38P. BrownC000010.17424012:40
24J. Bernard-DockerD000-100.00000—12:11
43T. KlevenD000000.00030—11:42
21M. JosephR000-120.02000—09:05
47M. KastelicC000000.001003308:40
75E. SokolovL000-100.00100—07:12
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35L. Meriläinen(O)37343.9193.68+0.6863:41

Season series

CAR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).