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Senators at Hurricanes
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
0
Carolina Hurricanes
▸4
FinalTV BSSO, TSN5·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Ottawa Senators 4-0. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Seth Jarvis's goal at 6:29 of the first period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 66% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 4.1 to 3.0; shots on goal were OTT 32, CAR 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 0.5 goals saved above expected; Antti Raanta stopped 32 of 32 (1.000), 3.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Antti Raanta (32 saves, 1.000), 2. Andrei Svechnikov (2 A), 3. Seth Jarvis (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    A. Raanta32 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    CAR
    A. Svechnikov2 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    S. Jarvis1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT07013012032
CARCAR2170726430

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    B. Burns(12)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    3:48
  2. CAR
    S. Jarvis(13)
    S. Aho (26), A. Svechnikov (29)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    6:29

3rd period

  1. CAR
    M. Necas(23)
    A. Svechnikov (30)
    slapxG 0.12win prob +2 pts
    0-3
    12:34
  2. CAR
    B. Skjei(11)EN
    S. Aho (27)
    wristxG 0.55
    0-4
    16:30

Penalties

OTT 4 PIM·CAR 10 PIM

1st

  • 15:23OTTArtem Zub · Cross checkingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min
  • 19:16CARAndrei Svechnikov · High stickingdrawn by Travis Hamonic2 min

2nd

  • 0:35CARJordan Staal · Slashingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
  • 3:32CARAndrei Svechnikov · Trippingdrawn by Julien Gauthier2 min
  • 7:08OTTThomas Chabot · Trippingdrawn by Seth Jarvis2 min
  • 8:42CARMartin Necas · Hookingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min

3rd

  • 9:53CARCalvin de Haan · Trippingdrawn by Shane Pinto2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalOTT goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Seth Jarvis, 1st 6:29 — CAR 66% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Skjei · Goal · xG 0.55D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.22S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.21S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.18J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.17D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.15A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.14M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.12S. Jarvis · Goal · xG 0.12M. Necas · Goal · xG 0.12S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.12B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.12J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.11A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.11J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.11S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.09S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.09S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.09B. Burns · Goal · xG 0.08J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.08P. Stastny · Missed · xG 0.08D. Stepan · Missed · xG 0.07P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.07J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.06S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.06B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.06S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.06A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.06D. Stepan · Missed · xG 0.05B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.05B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.05A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.05J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.05A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.05S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.05S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.04S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.03B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.03A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.03J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.02B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chatfield · Missed · xG 0.01S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.01M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.01J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR4 G · 4.1 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsCAR
3.00 G
All situations
3 G4.1
1.60 G
Even strength
3 G3.4
1.30 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 102 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT41%59%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.89 – 3.45

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsCAR
32
Shots on goal
30
41%
Faceoffs
59%
0/5
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
10
33
Hits
16
12
Blocked shots
11
5
Giveaways
9
7
Takeaways
21

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72T. ChabotD000-150.40012—25:31
18T. StützleC000-130.132005023:00
7B. TkachukL000-130.653006020:43
28C. GirouxR000-140.542004020:27
26E. BrannstromD000-100.02100—19:44
2A. ZubD000-100.01232—19:11
19D. BathersonR000-340.28100—18:28
12A. DeBrincatR000-350.41210—18:21
85J. SandersonD000-200.04110—17:17
57S. PintoC000-210.080003316:32
23T. HamonicD000-220.03100—14:59
5N. HoldenD000010.00200—13:31
21M. JosephR000-110.03020—13:27
17R. GreigC000000.005002912:15
27D. GambrellC000-110.041203311:53
61D. BrassardC000010.173003311:30
77J. GauthierR000-110.12200—10:59
16A. WatsonL000000.00520—09:11
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33C. Talbot(L)29263.8973.50+0.5059:01

Season series

CAR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).