Skip to content
Panthers at Capitals
NHL

Florida Panthers at Washington Capitals

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
▸4
Washington Capitals
2
FinalTV NBCSWA, BSFL·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Washington Capitals 4-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matthew Tkachuk's goal at 19:00 of the third period, which took the Panthers' chances from 48% to 97%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 4.7 to 2.0; shots on goal were FLA 37, WSH 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. Alex Lyon stopped 22 of 24 (.917); Charlie Lindgren stopped 33 of 36 (.917), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Matthew Tkachuk (1 G, 2 A), 2. Tom Wilson (1 G, 1 A), 3. Charlie Lindgren (33 saves, .917).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    M. Tkachuk1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    WSH
    T. Wilson1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    C. Lindgren33 saves, .917

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA01029218437
WSHWSH0721403224

Scoring

6 goals

2nd period

  1. WSH
    D. Strome(21)
    T. Wilson (8), A. Protas (11)
    wristxG 0.24win prob +18 pts
    0-1
    8:51
  2. FLA
    C. Verhaeghe(41)
    B. Montour (57), A. Barkov (54)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +18 pts
    1-1
    10:56
  3. FLA
    A. Ekblad(14)PPG
    S. Reinhart (35), M. Tkachuk (67)
    wristxG 0.33win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    13:47
  4. WSH
    T. Wilson(10)
    C. Sheary (21), E. Kuznetsov (43)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +22 pts
    2-2
    16:05

3rd period

  1. FLA
    M. Tkachuk(40)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.01win prob +49 pts
    3-2
    19:00
  2. FLA
    S. Reinhart(31)EN
    M. Tkachuk (68), A. Barkov (55)
    backhandxG 0.90win prob +3 pts
    4-2
    19:20

Penalties

FLA 8 PIM·WSH 10 PIM

1st

  • 4:48FLAMatthew Tkachuk · Interferencedrawn by Conor Sheary2 min
  • 7:04WSHMartin Fehérváry · Holdingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 16:56FLARadko Gudas · Interferencedrawn by Beck Malenstyn2 min

2nd

  • 4:23FLAAleksander Barkov · Slashingdrawn by Matt Irwin2 min
  • 13:17WSHTom Wilson · High stickingdrawn by Anton Lundell2 min

3rd

  • 4:42FLAGivani Smith · Roughingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 4:42WSHTom Wilson · Roughingdrawn by Givani Smith2 min
  • 6:58WSHAliaksei Protas · Trippingdrawn by Marc Staal2 min
  • 11:52WSHAlexander Alexeyev · Trippingdrawn by Aleksander Barkov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalFLA goalFinal: WSH 0%

Biggest swing: Matthew Tkachuk, 3rd 19:00 — FLA 48% → 97%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Strome · Goal · xG 0.24E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.15S. Milano · Missed · xG 0.14T. Wilson · Goal · xG 0.12C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.11E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.11D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.10T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.09J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.09C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.09D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.08S. Milano · On goal · xG 0.08J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.06N. Aube-Kubel · On goal · xG 0.06N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.06S. Milano · On goal · xG 0.05E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.05M. Fehérváry · Missed · xG 0.05E. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.04N. Backstrom · Missed · xG 0.03N. Aube-Kubel · On goal · xG 0.03R. Sandin · Missed · xG 0.02C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.02C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.02R. Sandin · On goal · xG 0.01T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Jensen · Missed · xG 0.01N. Jensen · Missed · xG 0.01M. Fehérváry · On goal · xG 0.01M. Irwin · Missed · xG 0.01D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.01B. Malenstyn · On goal · xG 0.01T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.01
WSH2 G · 2.0 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsWSH
4.73 G
All situations
2 G2.0
2.32 G
Even strength
2 G1.3
1.51 G
Power play
0 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA78%22%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.74 – 1.96

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsWSH
37
Shots on goal
24
53%
Faceoffs
47%
1/4
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
10
10
Hits
21
14
Blocked shots
24
8
Giveaways
9
6
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5A. EkbladD101030.41020—28:33
62B. MontourD011+120.17000—26:48
16A. BarkovC022+330.383124524:47
42G. ForslingD000050.44100—23:45
19M. TkachukL123+370.72102—22:35
13S. ReinhartC112+181.650205620:05
12E. StaalC000000.001203317:34
18M. StaalD000010.01110—17:33
23C. VerhaegheC101+230.3100010016:52
15A. LundellC000-120.210106216:00
10A. DuclairL000-100.00110—13:07
7R. GudasD000+100.00112—12:57
94R. LombergL000000.13010—12:48
27E. LuostarinenC000-100.060105012:40
28J. MahuraD000010.01000—10:19
21N. CousinsC000-100.020108006:44
54G. SmithR000-100.00002—04:48
6C. WhiteC000-120.201003304:12
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34A. Lyon(W)24222.9171.99-0.0159:53

Season series

FLA leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).