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Capitals at Panthers
NHL

Washington Capitals at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Washington Capitals
2
Florida Panthers
▸5
FinalTV NBCSWA, BSFL·FLA Live Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Washington Capitals 5-2. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nick Cousins's goal at 7:02 of the third period, which took the Panthers' chances from 80% to 95%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 4.3 to 3.4; shots on goal were WSH 43, FLA 43. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Darcy Kuemper stopped 38 of 42 (.905), 1.0 goals below expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 41 of 43 (.953), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Sergei Bobrovsky (41 saves, .953), 2. Aleksander Barkov (1 G, 2 A), 3. John Carlson (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    S. Bobrovsky41 saves, .953
  2. ★★
    FLA
    A. Barkov1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    J. Carlson1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH09112122243
FLAFLA12211437543

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    A. Barkov(4)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.17win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    5:45

2nd period

  1. FLA
    S. Reinhart(3)PPG
    A. Ekblad (1), M. Tkachuk (13)
    batxG 0.22win prob +12 pts
    0-2
    3:46
  2. WSH
    D. Strome(5)
    J. Snively (1), J. Carlson (6)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    15:04

3rd period

  1. FLA
    N. Cousins(2)
    G. Forsling (7), M. Tkachuk (14)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +14 pts
    1-3
    7:02
  2. WSH
    J. Carlson(3)
    E. Gustafsson (7), A. Mantha (5)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    2-3
    11:15
  3. FLA
    C. Verhaeghe(9)
    A. Barkov (9), B. Montour (12)
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +8 pts
    2-4
    17:00
  4. FLA
    C. Verhaeghe(10)EN
    M. Tkachuk (15), A. Barkov (10)
    wristxG 0.73
    2-5
    18:36

Penalties

WSH 4 PIM·FLA 12 PIM

1st

  • 19:44FLASam Bennett · Hookingdrawn by Evgeny Kuznetsov2 min

2nd

  • 2:39WSHLars Eller · Illegal check to headdrawn by Carter Verhaeghe2 min
  • 6:56FLAJosh Mahura · Trippingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
  • 10:46FLAJosh Mahura · Hookingdrawn by John Carlson2 min
  • 13:49WSHGarnet Hathaway · Slashingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 13:49FLAMatthew Tkachuk · Slashingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
  • 15:53FLACarter Verhaeghe · High stickingdrawn by Nic Dowd2 min

3rd

  • 12:18FLARadko Gudas · Holdingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalWSH goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Nick Cousins, 3rd 7:02 — FLA 80% → 95%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Verhaeghe · Goal · xG 0.73M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.49S. Reinhart · Goal · xG 0.22P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.22E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.21C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.20C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.17A. Barkov · Goal · xG 0.17N. Cousins · Goal · xG 0.16E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.16E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.16M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.14A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.14C. Verhaeghe · Goal · xG 0.14C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.10C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.09R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.06S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.06C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.06S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.05C. White · On goal · xG 0.04A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.04B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.04E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.04R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.03G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.03R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.03N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.03A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.02B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.02G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.02R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.02G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.02M. Staal · Missed · xG 0.02A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.01N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.01S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.01A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.01C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.01B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.01R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.01N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.01A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.00G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.00S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.00E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.00R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA5 G · 4.3 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsFLA
3.42 G
All situations
4 G4.3
2.32 G
Even strength
3 G2.2
1.10 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 110 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH55%45%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.32 – 3.01

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsFLA
43
Shots on goal
43
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/5
Power play
1/1
4
Penalty minutes
12
24
Hits
23
16
Blocked shots
17
10
Giveaways
11
4
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD112070.35040—26:36
8A. OvechkinL000-130.13400—25:31
92E. KuznetsovC000-280.441106322:37
56E. GustafssonD011000.01000—21:36
42M. FehérváryD000-110.07310—18:39
39A. ManthaR011+140.3100010018:25
3N. JensenD000-200.04120—17:27
90M. JohanssonL000-210.27100—16:51
17D. StromeC101-150.421004016:40
73C. ShearyL000-220.16010—15:35
57T. van RiemsdykD000010.03030—14:52
15S. MilanoL000030.57010—13:06
20L. EllerC000+110.092225912:52
26N. DowdC000-100.153005012:21
52M. IrwinD000030.07400—11:28
59A. ProtasL000010.14000—11:22
91J. SnivelyC011020.12100011:09
21G. HathawayR000-110.02312—11:03
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35D. Kuemper(L)42384.9053.03-0.9758:43

Season series

FLA leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).