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Panthers at Capitals
NHL

Florida Panthers at Washington Capitals

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
▸6
Washington Capitals
3
FinalTV NBCSWA, BSFL·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Washington Capitals 6-3. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Marc Staal's goal at 1:32 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 63% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 5.0 to 2.4; shots on goal were FLA 36, WSH 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 29 of 32 (.906), 0.6 goals below expected; Darcy Kuemper stopped 30 of 34 (.882), 1.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Carter Verhaeghe (2 A), 2. Erik Gustafsson (3 A), 3. Aleksander Barkov (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    C. Verhaeghe2 A
  2. ★★
    WSH
    E. Gustafsson3 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    A. Barkov1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA11032026636
WSHWSH06112214332

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    G. Forsling(8)
    E. Luostarinen (15), C. Verhaeghe (21)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    9:10

2nd period

  1. FLA
    M. Staal(1)
    B. Montour (36), C. Verhaeghe (22)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    1:32
  2. FLA
    C. White(7)
    A. Lundell (18)
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +10 pts
    3-0
    7:20
  3. WSH
    D. Strome(12)
    T. Oshie (8), E. Gustafsson (24)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +9 pts
    3-1
    15:51
  4. FLA
    A. Barkov(16)
    G. Smith (3)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +9 pts
    4-1
    17:03

3rd period

  1. WSH
    N. Backstrom(3)PPG
    E. Gustafsson (25)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +2 pts
    4-2
    13:04
  2. WSH
    E. Kuznetsov(9)PPG
    T. Oshie (9), E. Gustafsson (26)
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +4 pts
    4-3
    17:28
  3. FLA
    A. Lundell(8)EN
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.86win prob +5 pts
    5-3
    18:39
  4. FLA
    S. Reinhart(20)EN
    A. Lundell (19)
    wristxG 0.71
    6-3
    19:45

Penalties

FLA 12 PIM·WSH 6 PIM

1st

  • 2:24FLAGrigori Denisenko · Trippingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
  • 5:32WSHLars Eller · Interferencedrawn by Carter Verhaeghe2 min
  • 13:20FLAGustav Forsling · Holdingdrawn by Nicolas Aube-Kubel2 min

2nd

  • 18:48WSHT.J. Oshie · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Lomberg2 min
  • 18:48WSHT.J. Oshie · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 18:48FLARyan Lomberg · Roughingdrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min

3rd

  • 4:51FLAserved by C. White · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 12:21FLABrandon Montour · Holdingdrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min
  • 16:51FLAMarc Staal · Cross checkingdrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalFLA goalFinal: WSH 0%

Biggest swing: Marc Staal, 2nd 1:32 — FLA 63% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.19D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.18E. Gustafsson · Missed · xG 0.15N. Backstrom · Goal · xG 0.15L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.13N. Aube-Kubel · On goal · xG 0.12M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.11D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.10D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.10D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.10D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.08L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.08N. Aube-Kubel · On goal · xG 0.07G. Hathaway · Missed · xG 0.07E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.06N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.05E. Kuznetsov · Goal · xG 0.05L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.05D. Strome · Goal · xG 0.05L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.05L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.05A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.05N. Aube-Kubel · On goal · xG 0.04E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.03E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.03T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.03T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.03T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.03D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.03E. Gustafsson · Missed · xG 0.02N. Aube-Kubel · On goal · xG 0.02T. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.02N. Jensen · Missed · xG 0.01N. Jensen · Missed · xG 0.01N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.01T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.01L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.01D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.01D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.01T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.01
WSH3 G · 2.4 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsWSH
5.04 G
All situations
3 G2.4
1.64 G
Even strength
1 G1.9
0.60 G
Power play
2 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA48%52%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.23 – 2.36

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsWSH
36
Shots on goal
32
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/2
Power play
2/5
12
Penalty minutes
6
15
Hits
26
22
Blocked shots
9
9
Giveaways
11
10
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5A. EkbladD000+160.12130—23:39
42G. ForslingD101+320.12032—21:55
62B. MontourD011+300.03132—20:00
18M. StaalD101+310.47422—19:50
19M. TkachukL000+120.1710010019:46
7R. GudasD000+110.02100—19:12
16A. BarkovC101+340.340005619:03
27E. LuostarinenC011+110.071104518:43
15A. LundellC123+311.60000018:27
12E. StaalC000010.010205816:23
23C. VerhaegheC022+140.18010016:22
13S. ReinhartC101+251.250102016:00
28J. MahuraD000020.02010—14:56
21N. CousinsC000000.04100012:20
94R. LombergL000020.17312—11:23
6C. WhiteC101+120.310201309:28
14G. DenisenkoL000+110.01012—07:45
54G. SmithR011+110.05210—07:28
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(W)32293.9062.39-0.6160:00

Season series

FLA leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).