Skip to content
Senators at Panthers
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
2
Florida Panthers
▸7
FinalTV BSFLX, TSN5·FLA Live Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Ottawa Senators 7-2. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 7-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brandon Montour's goal at 7:59 of the first period, which took the Panthers' chances from 54% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 5.6 to 1.6; shots on goal were OTT 58, FLA 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 94% of the time. Mads Sogaard stopped 14 of 18 (.778), 2.8 goals below expected; Alex Lyon stopped 56 of 58 (.966), 3.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Brandon Montour (1 G, 3 A), 2. Alex Lyon (56 saves, .966), 3. Aleksander Barkov (2 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    B. Montour1 G, 3 A
  2. ★★
    FLA
    A. Lyon56 saves, .966
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    A. Barkov2 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT022119117258
FLAFLA21051208730

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    B. Montour(15)
    M. Tkachuk (65), M. Staal (11)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    7:59
  2. FLA
    A. Barkov(21)PPG
    M. Tkachuk (66), B. Montour (54)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +11 pts
    0-2
    14:03

2nd period

  1. FLA
    A. Barkov(22)SHG
    S. Reinhart (34), G. Forsling (28)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +10 pts
    0-3
    1:24
  2. OTT
    C. Giroux(31)
    D. Batherson (39)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +8 pts
    1-3
    4:25
  3. FLA
    S. Reinhart(30)PPG
    B. Montour (55), A. Barkov (53)
    deflectedxG 0.13win prob +9 pts
    1-4
    7:48
  4. FLA
    E. Luostarinen(17)PPG
    A. Ekblad (23), B. Montour (56)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +4 pts
    1-5
    9:25
  5. FLA
    N. Cousins(9)
    A. Ekblad (24), R. Gudas (12)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +1 pts
    1-6
    15:38
  6. FLA
    G. Forsling(13)
    Unassisted
    slapxG 0.04
    1-7
    17:00

3rd period

  1. OTT
    R. Greig(2)
    P. Brown (8), E. Brannstrom (14)
    snapxG 0.18
    2-7
    16:19

Penalties

OTT 88 PIM·FLA 78 PIM

1st

  • 2:56OTTMark Kastelic · Fightingdrawn by Givani Smith5 min
  • 2:56FLAGivani Smith · Fightingdrawn by Mark Kastelic5 min
  • 13:54OTTErik Brannstrom · Trippingdrawn by Eetu Luostarinen2 min
  • 14:22FLAGivani Smith · High stickingdrawn by Tyler Kleven2 min
  • 19:24FLACarter Verhaeghe · Slashingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min

2nd

  • 3:13FLAMatthew Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Jake Sanderson2 min
  • 3:13OTTJake Sanderson · Roughingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 6:31OTTPatrick Brown · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Alex Lyon2 min
  • 6:31OTTPatrick Brown · Fightingdrawn by Radko Gudas5 min
  • 6:31FLARadko Gudas · Fightingdrawn by Patrick Brown5 min
  • 6:31OTTAustin Watson · Misconduct10 min
  • 8:24OTTBrady Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Marc Staal2 min
  • 8:24FLAMatthew Tkachuk · Fightingdrawn by Drake Batherson5 min
  • 8:24OTTDrake Batherson · Fightingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk5 min
  • 8:24OTTBrady Tkachuk · Fightingdrawn by Marc Staal5 min
  • 8:24FLAMarc Staal · Fightingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk5 min
  • 8:24FLAMarc Staal · Game misconduct10 min
  • 8:24OTTBrady Tkachuk · Game misconduct10 min
  • 13:27FLAAaron Ekblad · Roughingdrawn by Shane Pinto2 min
  • 13:27FLANick Cousins · Holdingdrawn by Erik Brannstrom2 min
  • 18:44FLAAnton Lundell · Trippingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min

3rd

  • 8:16FLAColin White · Roughingdrawn by Mathieu Joseph2 min
  • 11:25OTTArtem Zub · Roughingdrawn by Givani Smith2 min
  • 11:25FLAGivani Smith · Roughingdrawn by Mark Kastelic2 min
  • 11:25FLAGivani Smith · Roughingdrawn by Artem Zub2 min
  • 11:25OTTMark Kastelic · Roughingdrawn by Givani Smith2 min
  • 11:25OTTMark Kastelic · Misconduct10 min
  • 12:03OTTAlex DeBrincat · Roughingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 12:03OTTAlex DeBrincat · Misconduct10 min
  • 12:03FLAMatthew Tkachuk · Misconduct10 min
  • 13:08OTTBench · Game misconduct head coach0 min
  • 13:08OTTserved by E. Sokolov · Bench2 min
  • 16:19FLAGivani Smith · Misconduct10 min
  • 17:36OTTTim Stützle · Trippingdrawn by Josh Mahura2 min
  • 17:36FLAJosh Mahura · Misconduct10 min
  • 17:36OTTPatrick Brown · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalOTT goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Brandon Montour, 1st 7:59 — FLA 54% → 66%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Cousins · Goal · xG 0.19E. Luostarinen · Goal · xG 0.18S. Reinhart · Goal · xG 0.13A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.09M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.09C. White · On goal · xG 0.08A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.07E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.07A. Barkov · Goal · xG 0.07E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.06R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.06A. Barkov · Goal · xG 0.06N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.06B. Montour · Goal · xG 0.06G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.05G. Forsling · Goal · xG 0.04B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.03E. Staal · Missed · xG 0.03A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.03B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.02M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.02B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.02J. Mahura · Missed · xG 0.02G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.02J. Mahura · On goal · xG 0.02R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.01R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.01N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.01G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.00G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.00G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.00R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA7 G · 1.6 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsFLA
5.62 G
All situations
7 G1.6
2.82 G
Even strength
3 G0.9
2.70 G
Power play
3 G0.7
0.10 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 109 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT94%6%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 5.43 – 1.60

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsFLA
58
Shots on goal
30
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/6
Power play
3/6
88
Penalty minutes
78
24
Hits
24
12
Blocked shots
23
4
Giveaways
11
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
85J. SandersonD000-120.23012—24:46
19D. BathersonR011070.63115—23:02
18T. StützleC000-191.163023322:42
28C. GirouxR101-240.790007020:24
5N. HoldenD000-150.09210—19:51
57S. PintoC000-240.321105818:56
21M. JosephR000010.06300—18:33
26E. BrannstromD011-110.01012—18:31
2A. ZubD000010.05132—17:29
12A. DeBrincatR000-350.610012—17:13
17R. GreigC101040.431002216:49
24J. Bernard-DockerD000+140.12010—14:44
43T. KlevenD000020.08000—14:09
7B. TkachukL000040.3930175011:35
38P. BrownC011030.3710173311:08
75E. SokolovL000+100.00110—08:30
47M. KastelicC000-110.0651175007:03
16A. WatsonL000-110.182110—04:32
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40M. Sogaard18144.7781.17-2.8338:12
35L. Meriläinen(L)1293.7500.45-2.5521:24

Season series

FLA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).