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Panthers at Senators
NHL

Florida Panthers at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
2
Ottawa Senators
▸5
FinalTV BSFL, SN·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Florida Panthers 5-2. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Gustav Forsling's goal at 5:58 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 15% to 30%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 2.9 to 2.6; shots on goal were FLA 34, OTT 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 22 of 26 (.846), 2.0 goals below expected; Mads Sogaard stopped 32 of 34 (.941), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Brady Tkachuk (1 G, 1 A), 2. Gustav Forsling (2 G), 3. Mads Sogaard (32 saves, .941).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    B. Tkachuk1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    FLA
    G. Forsling2 G
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    M. Sogaard32 saves, .941

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA05116113234
OTTOTT2819210527

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    B. Tkachuk(34)
    T. Chabot (30)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    9:02
  2. OTT
    D. Brassard(13)PPG
    E. Brannstrom (12)
    wristxG 0.35win prob +13 pts
    0-2
    18:55

2nd period

  1. FLA
    G. Forsling(11)
    S. Reinhart (28), E. Staal (13)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    5:58
  2. OTT
    A. DeBrincat(24)PPG
    D. Batherson (37), B. Tkachuk (43)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +14 pts
    1-3
    19:22

3rd period

  1. FLA
    G. Forsling(12)
    A. Ekblad (19), E. Luostarinen (24)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +13 pts
    2-3
    9:15
  2. OTT
    T. Stützle(36)PPG
    T. Hamonic (15), C. Giroux (43)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +5 pts
    2-4
    17:37
  3. OTT
    S. Pinto(19)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.56
    2-5
    18:30

Penalties

FLA 8 PIM·OTT 8 PIM

1st

  • 5:41FLAMarc Staal · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 13:36OTTArtem Zub · Interferencedrawn by Eetu Luostarinen2 min
  • 16:57FLAJosh Mahura · Interferencedrawn by Drake Batherson2 min
  • 19:33OTTTim Stützle · Interferencedrawn by Marc Staal2 min

2nd

  • 6:55OTTThomas Chabot · Trippingdrawn by Brandon Montour2 min
  • 17:48FLAEetu Luostarinen · Trippingdrawn by Travis Hamonic2 min

3rd

  • 6:53OTTShane Pinto · Trippingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 15:54FLAAnton Lundell · Delaying game face off violation2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalFLA goalFinal: OTT 100%

Biggest swing: Gustav Forsling, 2nd 5:58 — FLA 15% → 30%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Pinto · Goal · xG 0.56D. Brassard · Goal · xG 0.35S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.22A. DeBrincat · Goal · xG 0.16S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.13T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.12S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.12D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.10D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.09A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.08D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.07B. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.07T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.05M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.04T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.04M. Joseph · Missed · xG 0.04T. Stützle · Goal · xG 0.04S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.04J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.04A. Watson · Missed · xG 0.03T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.03J. Sanderson · Missed · xG 0.02T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.02B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.02D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01A. Watson · On goal · xG 0.00A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.00A. Watson · On goal · xG 0.00T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT5 G · 2.6 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsOTT
2.92 G
All situations
4 G2.6
1.92 G
Even strength
1 G0.9
1.00 G
Power play
3 G1.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA66%34%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.87 – 1.97

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsOTT
34
Shots on goal
27
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/4
Power play
3/4
8
Penalty minutes
8
30
Hits
23
8
Blocked shots
17
7
Giveaways
11
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
62B. MontourD000-130.12100—27:29
19M. TkachukL000050.32300—24:48
42G. ForslingD202+250.21110—23:41
16A. BarkovC000-110.152204322:32
5A. EkbladD011040.37300—21:39
23C. VerhaegheC000-140.26000020:00
18M. StaalD000-110.06222—18:10
27E. LuostarinenC011+110.002126717:50
13S. ReinhartC011000.453005717:04
12E. StaalC011+120.290005017:01
7R. GudasD000010.01510—14:15
10A. DuclairL000+130.36000—14:14
15A. LundellC000020.220023613:59
94R. LombergL000020.03000—12:07
28J. MahuraD000000.01112—09:13
21N. CousinsC000000.00300008:42
6C. WhiteC000-100.003002505:59
54G. SmithR000-100.00100—04:48
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(L)26224.8461.99-2.0159:14

Season series

FLA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).