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New York Rangers at Washington Capitals

FinalTV SN360, TVAS·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Washington Capitals 5-2. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alexis Lafrenière's goal at 15:19 of the first period, which took the Rangers' chances from 61% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 4.4 to 4.1; shots on goal were NYR 34, WSH 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Igor Shesterkin stopped 26 of 28 (.929), 2.1 goals saved above expected; Darcy Kuemper stopped 29 of 34 (.853), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. K'Andre Miller (1 G, 1 A), 2. Artemi Panarin (3 A), 3. John Carlson (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    K. Miller1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NYR
    A. Panarin3 A
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    J. Carlson2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR2918217534
WSHWSH0618114228

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    13:17
  2. NYR
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    15:19

2nd period

  1. NYR
    K. Miller (32), J. Trouba (22)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +11 pts
    3-0
    1:00
  2. WSH
    wristxG 0.16win prob +9 pts
    3-1
    13:23

3rd period

  1. NYR
    snapxG 0.07win prob +6 pts
    4-1
    5:53
  2. WSH
    wristxG 0.41win prob +3 pts
    4-2
    11:44
  3. NYR
    P. Kane (34), A. Panarin (62)
    snapxG 0.43win prob +2 pts
    5-2
    14:14

Penalties

NYR 19 PIM·WSH 33 PIM

1st

  • 16:27WSHNicolas Aube-Kubel · Interferencedrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min

2nd

  • 5:58WSHEvgeny Kuznetsov · Hookingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min
  • 6:51NYRAdam Fox · Hookingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 8:04NYRJimmy Vesey · Interferencedrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 19:32WSHMatt Irwin · Fightingdrawn by Jimmy Vesey5 min
  • 19:32NYRJimmy Vesey · Fightingdrawn by Matt Irwin5 min

3rd

  • 12:15WSHConor Sheary · Interferencedrawn by Filip Chytil2 min
  • 16:29WSHTom Wilson · Fightingdrawn by Barclay Goodrow5 min
  • 16:29WSHMartin Fehérváry · Fightingdrawn by Niko Mikkola5 min
  • 16:29WSHAlex Ovechkin · Misconduct10 min
  • 16:29WSHAlex Ovechkin · Cross checkingdrawn by Barclay Goodrow2 min
  • 16:29NYRNiko Mikkola · Fightingdrawn by Martin Fehérváry5 min
  • 16:29NYRBarclay Goodrow · Fightingdrawn by Tom Wilson5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalNYR goalFinal: WSH 0%

Biggest swing: Alexis Lafrenière, 1st 15:19 — NYR 61% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Protas · Goal · xG 0.42T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.29N. Aube-Kubel · On goal · xG 0.27M. Fehérváry · On goal · xG 0.22T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.21C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.18N. Backstrom · Missed · xG 0.17N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.17N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.17D. Strome · Goal · xG 0.16M. Fehérváry · On goal · xG 0.15N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.15A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.14J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.11N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.11C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.10N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.08C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.08C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.06R. Sandin · Missed · xG 0.06T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.06J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.06A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.06C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.06J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.06N. Aube-Kubel · Missed · xG 0.05T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.05C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.05C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.04D. Strome · Missed · xG 0.04S. Milano · On goal · xG 0.04N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.03E. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.03C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.03E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.03J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.03M. Fehérváry · On goal · xG 0.03N. Aube-Kubel · Missed · xG 0.02R. Sandin · Missed · xG 0.02A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.02D. Strome · Missed · xG 0.01R. Sandin · On goal · xG 0.01A. Alexeyev · Missed · xG 0.01T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.01E. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.00J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH2 G · 4.1 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsWSH
4.45 G
All situations
2 G4.1
2.84 G
Even strength
2 G3.6
1.71 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR60%40%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.31 – 3.67

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsWSH
34
Shots on goal
28
59%
Faceoffs
41%
1/4
Power play
0/2
19
Penalty minutes
33
19
Hits
24
12
Blocked shots
11
5
Giveaways
10
5
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. FoxD000-100.00012—20:26
8J. TroubaD011+420.02120—20:20
79K. MillerD112+330.52010—19:47
4B. SchneiderD000-120.06320—18:43
20C. KreiderL000000.15100—18:28
88P. KaneR011010.28000—17:42
13A. LafrenièreL101+220.24110—17:30
93M. ZibanejadC101-130.771105017:19
5B. HarpurD000010.01100—17:07
77N. MikkolaD000-100.01415—16:56
10A. PanarinL033+130.84000—16:52
72F. ChytilC011+240.430104616:35
24K. KakkoR101+130.45000—15:34
16V. TrocheckC022+240.170007815:25
91V. TarasenkoR101+240.26010—12:36
14T. MotteC000-110.07300011:55
21B. GoodrowC000-110.033056711:50
26J. VeseyL000-100.13117—10:55
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31I. Shesterkin(W)28262.9294.14+2.1460:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).