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Washington Capitals at New York Rangers

FinalTV SN, TVAS·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Washington Capitals 5-3. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mika Zibanejad's goal at 14:45 of the first period, which took the Rangers' chances from 54% to 67%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 3.8 to 2.4; shots on goal were WSH 31, NYR 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Darcy Kuemper stopped 31 of 35 (.886), 0.6 goals below expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 28 of 31 (.903), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mika Zibanejad (2 G), 2. Patrick Kane (1 G, 1 A), 3. Igor Shesterkin (28 saves, .903).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    M. Zibanejad2 G
  2. ★★
    NYR
    P. Kane1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    I. Shesterkin28 saves, .903

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH1911616331
NYRNYR31911116536

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    snapxG 0.16win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:09
  2. WSH
    wristxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    14:29
  3. NYR
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    14:45
  4. NYR
    P. Kane(19)PPG
    A. Fox (50), V. Trocheck (32)
    slapxG 0.09win prob +13 pts
    1-3
    18:46

2nd period

  1. NYR
    V. Trocheck (33), P. Kane (31)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +9 pts
    1-4
    4:09
  2. WSH
    T. Oshie (14), R. Sandin (24)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +8 pts
    2-4
    12:08

3rd period

  1. WSH
    wristxG 0.09win prob +11 pts
    3-4
    11:48
  2. NYR
    J. Vesey(10)EN
    backhandxG 0.29win prob +6 pts
    3-5
    17:49

Penalties

WSH 6 PIM·NYR 10 PIM

1st

  • 9:23WSHNicklas Backstrom · High stickingdrawn by Alexis Lafrenière2 min
  • 17:07WSHAliaksei Protas · Trippingdrawn by Jimmy Vesey2 min

2nd

  • 1:24NYRAdam Fox · Holdingdrawn by Aliaksei Protas2 min
  • 12:43NYRK'Andre Miller · Trippingdrawn by Nicklas Backstrom2 min

3rd

  • 3:58NYRBarclay Goodrow · Roughingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 3:58WSHTom Wilson · Roughingdrawn by Barclay Goodrow2 min
  • 4:36NYRArtemi Panarin · Holdingdrawn by Nick Jensen2 min
  • 9:42NYRNiko Mikkola · Hookingdrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalWSH goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Mika Zibanejad, 1st 14:45 — NYR 54% → 67%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Vesey · Goal · xG 0.29C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.26C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.20J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.20A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.19M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.18M. Zibanejad · Goal · xG 0.16A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.16P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.14M. Zibanejad · Goal · xG 0.13K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.13V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.12J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.12P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.11C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.11K. Kakko · Missed · xG 0.10V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.10V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.10V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.09P. Kane · Goal · xG 0.09A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.08C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.08K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.07B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.06T. Motte · Missed · xG 0.06P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.06M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.06J. Trouba · Goal · xG 0.05P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.04F. Chytil · Missed · xG 0.04K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.03P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.03M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.02C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.02N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.02B. Goodrow · Missed · xG 0.02P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01K. Kakko · Missed · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.01B. Harpur · Missed · xG 0.01J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.01N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.01T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.00F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR5 G · 3.8 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsNYR
2.43 G
All situations
4 G3.8
2.23 G
Even strength
3 G2.6
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH33%67%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.26 – 3.29

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsNYR
31
Shots on goal
36
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/4
Power play
1/2
6
Penalty minutes
10
16
Hits
30
14
Blocked shots
20
8
Giveaways
7
5
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
38R. SandinD011-230.18310—26:43
92E. KuznetsovC000-100.000005521:21
43T. WilsonR000-110.14202—20:56
57T. van RiemsdykD011+110.03000—20:35
3N. JensenD000-130.05000—19:03
77T. OshieR011020.230104318:58
17D. StromeC011010.090104518:56
42M. FehérváryD000+100.02130—17:41
19N. BackstromC000-210.031025617:23
39A. ManthaR000010.08200—15:37
73C. ShearyL000010.0200010015:25
26N. DowdC101+140.761106213:03
27A. AlexeyevD000-250.13020—12:53
16C. SmithC000-130.11010012:12
96N. Aube-KubelR101-110.08310—11:44
91J. SnivelyC000+100.11000011:29
52M. IrwinD112+210.09330—11:17
59A. ProtasL011-130.21002—11:15
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35D. Kuemper(L)35314.8863.39-0.6157:50

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).